PEC Zwolle v GO Ahead Eagles match analysis
This analysis was locked at kick-off on Sun 18 Oct 2026 and has not been changed since.
Pre-match analysis · as published
Written before kick-off
GO Ahead Eagles hold a 48% model chance of victory against PEC Zwolle's 28%. Eagles' expected goals of 1.86 exceed Zwolle's 1.36, with a total of 3.22 expected. Both teams are in poor form: Zwolle have lost four of five, while Eagles drew four straight before their latest defeat.
How the match could end · our estimate before kick-off
- 28%PEC Zwolle win
- 24%Draw
- 48%GO Ahead Eagles win
PRO analysis
The full analysis is part of PRO
PRO members can read the full analysis exactly as it was published: the evidence and the risks behind our estimate.
See PRO plansFree on every match: kick-off time, our estimate of each result, form, past meetings and whether we found a signal.
Form · newest first
PEC ZwolleLast 5: no wins, 1 draw, 4 defeats
GO Ahead EaglesLast 5: no wins, 4 draws, 1 defeat
Past results
From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.
Trends
- PEC Zwolle won 17 of 33 matches in which they scored first, since 20 Oct 2024.
- GO Ahead Eagles won 18 of 34 matches in which they scored first, since 19 Oct 2024.
- GO Ahead Eagles won 4 of the last 8 meetings.
- PEC Zwolle without a win in their last 5 home games.
Last meetings
Meetings in the competitions Ledger covers.
8 meetings: PEC Zwolle 0, draws 4, GO Ahead Eagles 4
Goals: PEC Zwolle 5, GO Ahead Eagles 14
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 5 Apr 2026 | GO Ahead Eagles v PEC Zwolle | 5–0 |
| 21 Sep 2025 | PEC Zwolle v GO Ahead Eagles | 0–2 |
| 11 May 2025 | PEC Zwolle v GO Ahead Eagles | 1–1 |
| 3 Nov 2024 | GO Ahead Eagles v PEC Zwolle | 2–2 |
| 11 Feb 2024 | GO Ahead Eagles v PEC Zwolle | 1–1 |
| 17 Sep 2023 | PEC Zwolle v GO Ahead Eagles | 1–1 |
| 3 Apr 2022 | PEC Zwolle v GO Ahead Eagles | 0–1 |
| 19 Sep 2021 | GO Ahead Eagles v PEC Zwolle | 1–0 |
Home and away
PEC ZwollePEC Zwolle at home
Last 5: 0 won, 0 drawn, 5 lost
- LostCambuur11 Oct 20260–1
- LostFeyenoord13 Sep 20260–7
- LostNEC Nijmegen29 Aug 20261–3
- LostAjax9 Aug 20260–2
- LostFeyenoord17 May 20260–2
PEC Zwolle: home league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 7 scored, 19 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 4 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 4 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 10
GO Ahead EaglesGO Ahead Eagles away
Last 5: 0 won, 3 drawn, 2 lost
- DrawnNEC Nijmegen20 Sep 20261–1
- DrawnUtrecht5 Sep 20263–3
- LostAZ Alkmaar29 Aug 20262–5
- DrawnFeyenoord16 Aug 20262–2
- LostNEC Nijmegen17 May 20261–2
GO Ahead Eagles: away league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 12 scored, 18 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 6 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 5 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 10
Rest and schedule
Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.
PEC Zwolle- Last match
- 7 days before11 Oct 2026 · v Cambuur · Eredivisie
- Next match
- 6 days after24 Oct 2026 · v Utrecht · Eredivisie
GO Ahead Eagles- Last match
- 8 days before10 Oct 2026 · v Sparta Rotterdam · Eredivisie
- Next match
- 5 days after23 Oct 2026 · v Telstar · Eredivisie
When the score changes
Each team's results from a given score, in its covered competitions. Every figure shows how many matches it covers.
PEC Zwolle
Since 20 Oct 2024
| Score | PEC Zwolle | League sides |
|---|---|---|
| Scored first | 17 won, 11 drawn, 5 lost in 33 matches | 644 won, 223 drawn, 118 lost in 985 matches |
| Conceded first | 1 won, 7 drawn, 25 lost in 33 matches | 118 won, 223 drawn, 644 lost in 985 matches |
| Level at half-time | 4 won, 13 drawn, 11 lost in 28 matches | 230 won, 296 drawn, 230 lost in 756 matches |
| Level after 60 minutes | 2 won, 13 drawn, 9 lost in 24 matches | 166 won, 286 drawn, 166 lost in 618 matches |
| Level after 70 minutes | 1 won, 12 drawn, 7 lost in 20 matches | 121 won, 320 drawn, 121 lost in 562 matches |
| Level after 15 minutes | 12 won, 14 drawn, 19 lost in 45 matches | 481 won, 392 drawn, 481 lost in 1354 matches |
| Level after 30 minutes | 9 won, 12 drawn, 9 lost in 30 matches | 339 won, 312 drawn, 339 lost in 990 matches |
Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.
| Score | PEC Zwolle | League sides |
|---|---|---|
| All matches | 15 scored, 30 conceded (68) | 750 scored, 750 conceded (2052) |
| When leading after 75 minutes | 7 scored, 6 conceded (22) | 332 scored, 236 conceded (763) |
| When level after 75 minutes | 3 scored, 12 conceded (21) | 182 scored, 182 conceded (526) |
| When trailing after 75 minutes | 5 scored, 12 conceded (25) | 236 scored, 332 conceded (763) |
After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 37 times, equalised within 15 minutes 6, by full time 14(league sides: 1,171 times, within 15 minutes 199, by full time 539)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.
GO Ahead Eagles
Since 19 Oct 2024
| Score | GO Ahead Eagles | League sides |
|---|---|---|
| Scored first | 18 won, 12 drawn, 4 lost in 34 matches | 644 won, 223 drawn, 118 lost in 985 matches |
| Conceded first | 4 won, 12 drawn, 22 lost in 38 matches | 118 won, 223 drawn, 644 lost in 985 matches |
| Level at half-time | 9 won, 13 drawn, 8 lost in 30 matches | 230 won, 296 drawn, 230 lost in 756 matches |
| Level after 60 minutes | 6 won, 12 drawn, 3 lost in 21 matches | 166 won, 286 drawn, 166 lost in 618 matches |
| 1 goal down after 60 minutes | 2 won, 8 drawn, 13 lost in 23 matches | 27 won, 100 drawn, 286 lost in 413 matches |
| Level after 70 minutes | 4 won, 16 drawn, 3 lost in 23 matches | 121 won, 320 drawn, 121 lost in 562 matches |
| 1 goal down after 70 minutes | 2 won, 8 drawn, 11 lost in 21 matches | 18 won, 93 drawn, 274 lost in 385 matches |
| Level after 80 minutes | 5 won, 19 drawn, 3 lost in 27 matches | 75 won, 340 drawn, 75 lost in 490 matches |
| Level after 15 minutes | 12 won, 19 drawn, 16 lost in 47 matches | 481 won, 392 drawn, 481 lost in 1354 matches |
| Level after 30 minutes | 11 won, 16 drawn, 12 lost in 39 matches | 339 won, 312 drawn, 339 lost in 990 matches |
Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.
| Score | GO Ahead Eagles | League sides |
|---|---|---|
| All matches | 28 scored, 27 conceded (76) | 750 scored, 750 conceded (2052) |
| When level after 75 minutes | 10 scored, 5 conceded (24) | 182 scored, 182 conceded (526) |
| When trailing after 75 minutes | 13 scored, 14 conceded (33) | 236 scored, 332 conceded (763) |
After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 51 times, equalised within 15 minutes 8, by full time 28(league sides: 1,171 times, within 15 minutes 199, by full time 539)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.
League sides: every team in this league since 11 Aug 2023, both venues, each match counted once for each side. Shown for context, not as a comparison.
xG and expected points
Each team's xG and points from its own earlier league matches, before this kick-off. Facts about past matches, not a forecast for this one.
Earlier league matches
| PEC Zwolle | GO Ahead Eagles | |
|---|---|---|
| 67Since 20 Oct 2024 | Matches with xG | 67Since 19 Oct 2024 |
| 77.80 | xG for | 96.89 |
| 83 | Goals scored | 119 |
| 117.67 | xG against | 116.22 |
| 129 | Goals conceded | 111 |
PEC Zwolle
Show the numbers
| Date | Opponent | xG for | xG against | Goals (tick; no tick = 0) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct 2026 | v Cambuur | 0.98 | 0.82 | 0–1 |
| 18 Sep 2026 | at Groningen | 0.43 | 1.39 | 0–3 |
| 13 Sep 2026 | v Feyenoord | 0.19 | 3.40 | 0–7 |
| 4 Sep 2026 | at Sparta Rotterdam | 1.07 | 2.23 | 2–2 |
| 29 Aug 2026 | v NEC Nijmegen | 2.03 | 1.94 | 1–3 |
| 22 Aug 2026 | at Heerenveen | 1.55 | 0.85 | 2–0 |
| 16 Aug 2026 | at Twente | 0.68 | 2.08 | 1–3 |
| 9 Aug 2026 | v Ajax | 0.59 | 1.54 | 0–2 |
| 17 May 2026 | v Feyenoord | 0.80 | 3.21 | 0–2 |
| 3 May 2026 | v Heracles | 0.62 | 1.00 | 1–0 |
GO Ahead Eagles
Show the numbers
| Date | Opponent | xG for | xG against | Goals (tick; no tick = 0) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct 2026 | v Sparta Rotterdam | 1.29 | 2.36 | 3–3 |
| 20 Sep 2026 | at NEC Nijmegen | 2.31 | 1.04 | 1–1 |
| 12 Sep 2026 | v Groningen | 2.23 | 0.16 | 1–1 |
| 5 Sep 2026 | at Utrecht | 1.79 | 2.47 | 3–3 |
| 29 Aug 2026 | at AZ Alkmaar | 1.66 | 2.37 | 2–5 |
| 23 Aug 2026 | v ADO Den Haag | 0.85 | 0.83 | 3–1 |
| 16 Aug 2026 | at Feyenoord | 1.51 | 2.89 | 2–2 |
| 8 Aug 2026 | v Willem II | 2.43 | 1.51 | 4–1 |
| 17 May 2026 | at NEC Nijmegen | 0.32 | 4.44 | 1–2 |
| 3 May 2026 | at Sparta Rotterdam | 2.08 | 1.89 | 2–2 |
PEC Zwolle: 1 without xG left outGO Ahead Eagles: 1 without xG left out
This league season
Eredivisie matches since 7 Aug 2026. Play-off rounds count here as league matches.
| PEC Zwolle | GO Ahead Eagles | |
|---|---|---|
| 8 of 8 | Matches with xG | 8 of 8 |
| 4 | Points in those matches | 11 |
| 7.37 | xPts | 11.63 |
| 7.52 | xG for | 14.07 |
| 14.25 | xG against | 13.63 |
Each figure is a total over the matches shown beside it.
xG: API-Football. xPts: Ledger, from xG with a Poisson model that treats the two teams' goals as independent. That model slightly under-counts draws, so xPts totals come out a little high.
PRO depth
PRO depth: PEC Zwolle and GO Ahead Eagles
- Corners won and concededPRO
- Shots and shots on target, for and againstPRO
- Yellow cards, own and opponent'sPRO
- First-half goals, scored and concededPRO
Injuries and suspensions
- Ruled out
- F. Krastev (Achilles Tendon Injury) · Y. Namli (Knee Injury)
- Ruled out
- J. Dirksen (Inactive) · P. Saathof (Knee Injury)
Published 18 Oct 2026, 10:12 BST · not changed since
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