Primera División · UruguaySat 10 Oct 2026 · 22:30 BST

Penarol v Progreso match analysis

This analysis was locked at kick-off on Sat 10 Oct 2026 and has not been changed since.

Pre-match analysis · as published

How the match could end · our estimate before kick-off

  • 59%Penarol win
  • 24%Draw
  • 17%Progreso win

PRO analysis

The full analysis is part of PRO

PRO members can read the full analysis exactly as it was published: the evidence and the risks behind our estimate.

See PRO plans

Free on every match: kick-off time, our estimate of each result, form, past meetings and whether we found a signal.

Form · newest first

PenarolPenarol

Last 5: 4 wins, 1 draw, no defeats

ProgresoProgreso

Last 5: 3 wins, no draws, 2 defeats

Past results

From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.

Trends

  • Penarol won 5 of the last 5 meetings.
  • Over 2.5 goals in 7 of Penarol's last 10 home league games.

Last meetings

Meetings in the competitions Ledger covers.

5 meetings: Penarol 5, draws 0, Progreso 0

Goals: Penarol 11, Progreso 2

DateMatchScore
4 Apr 2026Progreso v Penarol0–2
1 Feb 2025Progreso v Penarol1–3
22 Jun 2024Progreso v Penarol0–2
24 May 2024Penarol v Progreso3–1
14 Aug 2021Penarol v Progreso1–0

Home and away

Penarol

Penarol at home

Last 5: 4 won, 0 drawn, 1 lost

  • WonBoston River26 Sep 20262–1
  • WonAlbion FC13 Sep 20263–1
  • LostClub Nacional30 Aug 20260–1
  • WonCentral Espanol16 Aug 20262–1
  • WonWanderers6 Aug 20265–1

Penarol: home league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
21 scored, 8 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
6 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
7 of 10
Clean sheets
2 of 10
Progreso

Progreso away

Last 5: 2 won, 0 drawn, 3 lost

  • LostLiverpool Montevideo3 Oct 20262–3
  • WonBoston River19 Sep 20262–1
  • WonAlbion FC7 Sep 20261–0
  • LostClub Nacional23 Aug 20260–1
  • LostCentral Espanol8 Aug 20260–1

Progreso: away league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
9 scored, 15 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
5 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
5 of 10
Clean sheets
1 of 10

Rest and schedule

Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.

Penarol
Last match
6 days before4 Oct 2026 · v Racing Montevideo · Primera División · Uruguay
Next match
8 days after18 Oct 2026 · v Liverpool Montevideo · Primera División · Uruguay
Progreso
Last match
7 days before3 Oct 2026 · v Liverpool Montevideo · Primera División · Uruguay
Next match
7 days after17 Oct 2026 · v Juventud · Primera División · Uruguay

Injuries and suspensions

Team news was not available for this match.

Published 10 Oct 2026, 21:12 BST · not changed since

All fixtures