Penarol v Progreso match analysis
This analysis was locked at kick-off on Sat 10 Oct 2026 and has not been changed since.
Pre-match analysis · as published
How the match could end · our estimate before kick-off
- 59%Penarol win
- 24%Draw
- 17%Progreso win
PRO analysis
The full analysis is part of PRO
PRO members can read the full analysis exactly as it was published: the evidence and the risks behind our estimate.
See PRO plansFree on every match: kick-off time, our estimate of each result, form, past meetings and whether we found a signal.
Form · newest first
Last 5: 4 wins, 1 draw, no defeats
Last 5: 3 wins, no draws, 2 defeats
Past results
From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.
Trends
- Penarol won 5 of the last 5 meetings.
- Over 2.5 goals in 7 of Penarol's last 10 home league games.
Last meetings
Meetings in the competitions Ledger covers.
5 meetings: Penarol 5, draws 0, Progreso 0
Goals: Penarol 11, Progreso 2
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 4 Apr 2026 | Progreso v Penarol | 0–2 |
| 1 Feb 2025 | Progreso v Penarol | 1–3 |
| 22 Jun 2024 | Progreso v Penarol | 0–2 |
| 24 May 2024 | Penarol v Progreso | 3–1 |
| 14 Aug 2021 | Penarol v Progreso | 1–0 |
Home and away
Penarol at home
Last 5: 4 won, 0 drawn, 1 lost
- WonBoston River26 Sep 20262–1
- WonAlbion FC13 Sep 20263–1
- LostClub Nacional30 Aug 20260–1
- WonCentral Espanol16 Aug 20262–1
- WonWanderers6 Aug 20265–1
Penarol: home league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 21 scored, 8 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 6 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 7 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 10
Progreso away
Last 5: 2 won, 0 drawn, 3 lost
- LostLiverpool Montevideo3 Oct 20262–3
- WonBoston River19 Sep 20262–1
- WonAlbion FC7 Sep 20261–0
- LostClub Nacional23 Aug 20260–1
- LostCentral Espanol8 Aug 20260–1
Progreso: away league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 9 scored, 15 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 5 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 5 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 10
Rest and schedule
Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.
- Last match
- 6 days before4 Oct 2026 · v Racing Montevideo · Primera División · Uruguay
- Next match
- 8 days after18 Oct 2026 · v Liverpool Montevideo · Primera División · Uruguay
- Last match
- 7 days before3 Oct 2026 · v Liverpool Montevideo · Primera División · Uruguay
- Next match
- 7 days after17 Oct 2026 · v Juventud · Primera División · Uruguay
Injuries and suspensions
Team news was not available for this match.
Published 10 Oct 2026, 21:12 BST · not changed since
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