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Championship
Preston
2–3Finished
Sheffield Utd
Tue 3 Nov 2026 · 19:45 GMTMatchday 14 · Deepdale Stadium, Preston

Preston v Sheffield Utd match analysis

This analysis was locked at kick-off on Tue 3 Nov 2026 and has not been changed since.

Pre-match analysis · as published

Written before kick-off

The model gives Sheffield United a 45% chance of winning, with Preston at 28% and a draw at 27%. Sheffield United have won three of their last five matches and average 1.51 expected goals, while Preston have lost four of five with 1.13 expected goals. Both teams face significant absentees, though Preston's injury list is longer.

How the match could end · our estimate before kick-off

  • 28%Preston win
  • 27%Draw
  • 45%Sheffield Utd win

PRO analysis

The full analysis is part of PRO

PRO members can read the full analysis exactly as it was published: the evidence and the risks behind our estimate.

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Free on every match: kick-off time, our estimate of each result, form, past meetings and whether we found a signal.

Form · newest first

PrestonPreston

Last 5: no wins, 1 draw, 4 defeats

  1. lost0–2at Stoke City
  2. drew1–1v West Brom
  3. lost1–4at Wrexham
  4. lost0–4at Birmingham
  5. lost0–1v Millwall
Sheffield UtdSheffield Utd

Last 5: 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 defeat

  1. won1–0v Wrexham
  2. drew1–1v Derby
  3. won1–0at Bristol City
  4. lost2–3at Portsmouth
  5. won3–0v Lincoln

Past results

From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.

Trends

  • Preston won 19 of 40 matches in which they scored first, since 6 Nov 2024.
  • Sheffield Utd won 37 of 55 matches in which they scored first, since 5 Nov 2024.
  • Sheffield Utd won 4 of the last 8 meetings.
  • Both teams scored in 7 of Preston's last 10 home league games.

Last meetings

Meetings in the competitions Ledger covers.

8 meetings: Preston 2, draws 2, Sheffield Utd 4

Goals: Preston 11, Sheffield Utd 17

DateMatchScore
25 Apr 2026Sheffield Utd v Preston2–3
24 Oct 2025Preston v Sheffield Utd3–2
8 Mar 2025Sheffield Utd v Preston1–0
9 Aug 2024Preston v Sheffield Utd0–2
29 Apr 2023Sheffield Utd v Preston4–1
17 Sep 2022Preston v Sheffield Utd0–2
18 Jan 2022Preston v Sheffield Utd2–2
14 Sep 2021Sheffield Utd v Preston2–2

Home and away

Preston

Preston at home

Last 5: 1 won, 1 drawn, 3 lost

  • DrawnWest Brom24 Oct 20261–1
  • LostMillwall10 Oct 20260–1
  • LostLincoln12 Sep 20260–1
  • WonBlackburn5 Sep 20262–1
  • LostBristol City1 Sep 20261–3

Preston: home league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
10 scored, 17 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
7 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
5 of 10
Clean sheets
0 of 10
Sheffield Utd

Sheffield Utd away

Last 5: 2 won, 0 drawn, 3 lost

  • WonBristol City17 Oct 20261–0
  • LostPortsmouth14 Oct 20262–3
  • LostStoke City19 Sep 20261–2
  • LostFleetwood TownLeague Cup16 Sep 20260–1
  • WonBlackburn8 Sep 20262–1

Sheffield Utd: away league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
13 scored, 11 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
6 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
5 of 10
Clean sheets
3 of 10

Rest and schedule

Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.

Preston
Last match
3 days before31 Oct 2026 · v Stoke City · Championship
Next match
4 days after7 Nov 2026 · v Southampton · Championship
Sheffield Utd
Last match
4 days before30 Oct 2026 · v Wrexham · Championship
Next match
4 days after7 Nov 2026 · v Charlton · Championship

When the score changes

Each team's results from a given score, in its covered competitions. Every figure shows how many matches it covers.

Preston

Since 6 Nov 2024

ScorePrestonLeague sides
Scored first19 won, 17 drawn, 4 lost in 40 matches1131 won, 350 drawn, 219 lost in 1700 matches
Conceded first4 won, 8 drawn, 33 lost in 45 matches219 won, 350 drawn, 1131 lost in 1700 matches
1 goal up at half-time13 won, 9 drawn, 4 lost in 26 matches515 won, 165 drawn, 95 lost in 775 matches
Level at half-time6 won, 16 drawn, 9 lost in 31 matches465 won, 584 drawn, 465 lost in 1514 matches
1 goal down at half-time2 won, 5 drawn, 15 lost in 22 matches95 won, 165 drawn, 515 lost in 775 matches
1 goal up after 60 minutes13 won, 8 drawn, 2 lost in 23 matches545 won, 171 drawn, 67 lost in 783 matches
Level after 60 minutes6 won, 19 drawn, 8 lost in 33 matches343 won, 588 drawn, 343 lost in 1274 matches
1 goal up after 70 minutes13 won, 11 drawn, 1 lost in 25 matches572 won, 152 drawn, 46 lost in 770 matches
Level after 70 minutes4 won, 19 drawn, 7 lost in 30 matches279 won, 636 drawn, 279 lost in 1194 matches
1 goal up after 80 minutes15 won, 9 drawn, 0 lost in 24 matches649 won, 120 drawn, 18 lost in 787 matches
Level after 80 minutes1 won, 22 drawn, 5 lost in 28 matches175 won, 708 drawn, 175 lost in 1058 matches
Level after 15 minutes14 won, 24 drawn, 27 lost in 65 matches931 won, 746 drawn, 931 lost in 2608 matches
1 goal up after 30 minutes11 won, 10 drawn, 2 lost in 23 matches444 won, 147 drawn, 108 lost in 699 matches
Level after 30 minutes8 won, 16 drawn, 20 lost in 44 matches663 won, 638 drawn, 663 lost in 1964 matches

Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.

Goals after 75 minutes
ScorePrestonLeague sides
All matches23 scored, 34 conceded (92)1056 scored, 1056 conceded (3654)
When leading after 75 minutes6 scored, 14 conceded (29)353 scored, 380 conceded (1276)
When level after 75 minutes8 scored, 12 conceded (32)323 scored, 323 conceded (1102)
When trailing after 75 minutes9 scored, 8 conceded (31)380 scored, 353 conceded (1276)

After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 47 times, equalised within 15 minutes 11, by full time 18(league sides: 1,916 times, within 15 minutes 327, by full time 846)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.

Sheffield Utd

Since 5 Nov 2024

ScoreSheffield UtdLeague sides
Scored first37 won, 7 drawn, 11 lost in 55 matches1131 won, 350 drawn, 219 lost in 1700 matches
Conceded first8 won, 5 drawn, 24 lost in 37 matches219 won, 350 drawn, 1131 lost in 1700 matches
1 goal up at half-time15 won, 2 drawn, 8 lost in 25 matches515 won, 165 drawn, 95 lost in 775 matches
Level at half-time18 won, 12 drawn, 9 lost in 39 matches465 won, 584 drawn, 465 lost in 1514 matches
1 goal down at half-time4 won, 1 drawn, 15 lost in 20 matches95 won, 165 drawn, 515 lost in 775 matches
1 goal up after 60 minutes15 won, 5 drawn, 5 lost in 25 matches545 won, 171 drawn, 67 lost in 783 matches
Level after 60 minutes13 won, 9 drawn, 6 lost in 28 matches343 won, 588 drawn, 343 lost in 1274 matches
1 goal down after 60 minutes2 won, 1 drawn, 17 lost in 20 matches67 won, 171 drawn, 545 lost in 783 matches
1 goal up after 70 minutes22 won, 3 drawn, 4 lost in 29 matches572 won, 152 drawn, 46 lost in 770 matches
Level after 70 minutes7 won, 10 drawn, 6 lost in 23 matches279 won, 636 drawn, 279 lost in 1194 matches
1 goal up after 80 minutes24 won, 3 drawn, 1 lost in 28 matches649 won, 120 drawn, 18 lost in 787 matches
Level after 80 minutes3 won, 12 drawn, 7 lost in 22 matches175 won, 708 drawn, 175 lost in 1058 matches
1 goal down after 80 minutes2 won, 0 drawn, 18 lost in 20 matches18 won, 120 drawn, 649 lost in 787 matches
Level after 15 minutes31 won, 13 drawn, 27 lost in 71 matches931 won, 746 drawn, 931 lost in 2608 matches
Level after 30 minutes27 won, 11 drawn, 15 lost in 53 matches663 won, 638 drawn, 663 lost in 1964 matches

Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.

Goals after 75 minutes
ScoreSheffield UtdLeague sides
All matches22 scored, 26 conceded (95)1056 scored, 1056 conceded (3654)
When leading after 75 minutes12 scored, 13 conceded (46)353 scored, 380 conceded (1276)
When level after 75 minutes4 scored, 9 conceded (21)323 scored, 323 conceded (1102)
When trailing after 75 minutes6 scored, 4 conceded (28)380 scored, 353 conceded (1276)

After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 44 times, equalised within 15 minutes 12, by full time 19(league sides: 1,916 times, within 15 minutes 327, by full time 846)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.

League sides: every team in this league since 4 Aug 2023, both venues, each match counted once for each side. Shown for context, not as a comparison.

xG and expected points

Each team's xG and points from its own earlier league matches, before this kick-off. Facts about past matches, not a forecast for this one.

Earlier league matches

PrestonSheffield Utd
92Since 6 Nov 2024Matches with xG95Since 5 Nov 2024
107.71xG for139.24
99Goals scored137
131.92xG against113.79
128Goals conceded113

Preston

xG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)Last matches with xG, oldest on the left
Show the numbers
Preston: Last matches with xG, newest first
DateOpponentxG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)
31 Oct 2026at Stoke City0.162.220–2
24 Oct 2026v West Brom1.832.091–1
17 Oct 2026at Wrexham0.791.971–4
13 Oct 2026at Birmingham0.492.240–4
10 Oct 2026v Millwall0.651.090–1
19 Sep 2026at QPR1.502.542–2
12 Sep 2026v Lincoln0.580.660–1
8 Sep 2026at Watford2.441.261–2
5 Sep 2026v Blackburn2.191.092–1
1 Sep 2026v Bristol City1.911.781–3

Sheffield Utd

xG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)Last matches with xG, oldest on the left
Show the numbers
Sheffield Utd: Last matches with xG, newest first
DateOpponentxG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)
30 Oct 2026v Wrexham1.330.701–0
24 Oct 2026v Derby2.551.151–1
17 Oct 2026at Bristol City1.230.581–0
14 Oct 2026at Portsmouth1.802.012–3
10 Oct 2026v Lincoln0.681.393–0
19 Sep 2026at Stoke City0.360.651–2
13 Sep 2026v Wolves0.631.570–1
8 Sep 2026at Blackburn0.471.602–1
5 Sep 2026v Norwich0.793.041–3
1 Sep 2026v Bolton2.211.913–2

This league season

Championship matches since 14 Aug 2026. Play-off rounds count here as league matches.

PrestonSheffield Utd
13 of 13Matches with xG13 of 13
5Points in those matches19
14.97xPts15.80
15.64xG for15.08
20.32xG against18.18

Each figure is a total over the matches shown beside it.

xG: API-Football. xPts: Ledger, from xG with a Poisson model that treats the two teams' goals as independent. That model slightly under-counts draws, so xPts totals come out a little high.

PRO depth

PRO depth: Preston and Sheffield Utd

  • Corners won and concededPRO
  • Shots and shots on target, for and againstPRO
  • Yellow cards, own and opponent'sPRO
  • First-half goals, scored and concededPRO
PRO: these figures for both teams

Injuries and suspensions

  • PrestonPreston
    Ruled out
    H. Clarke (Knee Injury) · L. Gibbs (Muscle Injury) · L. Gibson (Inactive) · A. McCann (Hamstring Injury)
  • Sheffield UtdSheffield Utd
    Ruled out
    M. Doherty (Injury) · L. Kitching (Yellow Cards) · R. One (Inactive) · J. Shackleton (Health problems)
    Doubtful
    P. Bamford (Inactive) · A. Davies (Inactive) · K. Phillips (Inactive) · J. Rothwell (Inactive)

Published 3 Nov 2026, 18:42 GMT · not changed since

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