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Championship
Preston
15:00
Southampton
Sat 7 Nov 2026 · GMTMatchday 15 · Deepdale Stadium, Preston

Preston v Southampton · analysis and preview

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Most likely: Southampton win

Southampton are favoured to win, with the model assessing a 56% chance of an away victory. Preston have struggled recently with only one win in their last five matches, while Southampton have shown improvement with two wins in the same period. Southampton's expected goals output of 1.83 exceeds Preston's 1.01, creating a gap of 0.82 in the visitors' favour.

How the match could end · our estimate

  • 20%Preston win
  • 24%Draw
  • 56%Southampton win

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Form · newest first

PrestonPreston

Last 5: no wins, 1 draw, 4 defeats

  1. lost2–3v Sheffield Utd
  2. lost0–2at Stoke City
  3. drew1–1v West Brom
  4. lost1–4at Wrexham
  5. lost0–4at Birmingham
SouthamptonSouthampton

Last 5: 3 wins, 2 draws, no defeats

  1. drew1–1at West Brom
  2. won4–1v QPR
  3. won3–2at West Ham
  4. drew0–0v Bolton
  5. won1–0at Norwich

Past results

From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.

Trends

  • Preston won 19 of 41 matches in which they scored first, since 9 Nov 2024.
  • Championship, since 4 Aug 2023: home sides leading by one goal after 70 minutes won 329 of 423.
  • Southampton won 2 of the last 4 meetings.
  • Both teams scored in 7 of Preston's last 10 home league games.

Last meetings

Meetings in the competitions Ledger covers.

4 meetings: Preston 1, draws 1, Southampton 2

Goals: Preston 5, Southampton 8

DateMatchScore
2 May 2026Preston v Southampton1–3
1 Nov 2025Southampton v Preston0–2
16 Apr 2024Southampton v Preston3–0
25 Oct 2023Preston v Southampton2–2

Home and away

Preston

Preston at home

Last 5: 1 won, 1 drawn, 3 lost

  • LostSheffield Utd3 Nov 20262–3
  • DrawnWest Brom24 Oct 20261–1
  • LostMillwall10 Oct 20260–1
  • LostLincoln12 Sep 20260–1
  • WonBlackburn5 Sep 20262–1

Preston: home league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
9 scored, 19 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
7 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
5 of 10
Clean sheets
0 of 10
Southampton

Southampton away

Last 5: 2 won, 2 drawn, 1 lost

  • DrawnWest Brom3 Nov 20261–1
  • WonWest Ham24 Oct 20263–2
  • WonNorwich14 Oct 20261–0
  • LostWrexham19 Sep 20261–2
  • DrawnLincoln5 Sep 20261–1

Southampton: away league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
14 scored, 11 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
8 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
5 of 10
Clean sheets
2 of 10

Rest and schedule

Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.

Preston
Last match
4 days before3 Nov 2026 · v Sheffield Utd · Championship
Next match
Not known
Southampton
Last match
4 days before3 Nov 2026 · v West Brom · Championship
Next match
Not known

When the score changes

Each team's results from a given score, in its covered competitions since 9 Nov 2024. Every figure shows how many matches it covers.

Preston

ScorePrestonLeague sides
Scored first19 won, 17 drawn, 5 lost in 41 matches1138 won, 353 drawn, 221 lost in 1712 matches
Conceded first4 won, 8 drawn, 33 lost in 45 matches221 won, 353 drawn, 1138 lost in 1712 matches
1 goal up at half-time13 won, 9 drawn, 4 lost in 26 matches518 won, 167 drawn, 96 lost in 781 matches
Level at half-time6 won, 15 drawn, 9 lost in 30 matches467 won, 584 drawn, 467 lost in 1518 matches
1 goal down at half-time2 won, 5 drawn, 15 lost in 22 matches96 won, 167 drawn, 518 lost in 781 matches
1 goal up after 60 minutes13 won, 8 drawn, 2 lost in 23 matches549 won, 172 drawn, 68 lost in 789 matches
Level after 60 minutes6 won, 18 drawn, 8 lost in 32 matches344 won, 590 drawn, 344 lost in 1278 matches
1 goal up after 70 minutes13 won, 11 drawn, 1 lost in 25 matches576 won, 153 drawn, 47 lost in 776 matches
Level after 70 minutes4 won, 18 drawn, 7 lost in 29 matches279 won, 640 drawn, 279 lost in 1198 matches
1 goal up after 80 minutes15 won, 9 drawn, 0 lost in 24 matches654 won, 121 drawn, 19 lost in 794 matches
Level after 80 minutes1 won, 21 drawn, 5 lost in 27 matches175 won, 712 drawn, 175 lost in 1062 matches
Level after 15 minutes14 won, 23 drawn, 27 lost in 64 matches937 won, 750 drawn, 937 lost in 2624 matches
1 goal up after 30 minutes11 won, 10 drawn, 2 lost in 23 matches445 won, 149 drawn, 108 lost in 702 matches
Level after 30 minutes8 won, 15 drawn, 21 lost in 44 matches669 won, 640 drawn, 669 lost in 1978 matches

Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.

Goals after 75 minutes
ScorePrestonLeague sides
All matches24 scored, 34 conceded (92)1065 scored, 1065 conceded (3678)
When leading after 75 minutes6 scored, 14 conceded (29)356 scored, 386 conceded (1286)
When level after 75 minutes8 scored, 12 conceded (31)323 scored, 323 conceded (1106)
When trailing after 75 minutes10 scored, 8 conceded (32)386 scored, 356 conceded (1286)

After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 48 times, equalised within 15 minutes 11, by full time 18(league sides: 1,929 times, within 15 minutes 327, by full time 852)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.

League sides: every team in this league since 4 Aug 2023, both venues, each match counted once for each side. Shown for context, not as a comparison.

xG and expected points

Each team's xG and points from its own earlier league matches, before this kick-off. Facts about past matches, not a forecast for this one.

Since 9 Nov 2024

PrestonSouthampton
92Matches with xG89
107.17xG for124.00
101Goals scored130
133.22xG against143.94
131Goals conceded137

Preston

xG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)Last matches with xG, oldest on the left
Show the numbers
Preston: Last matches with xG, newest first
DateOpponentxG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)
3 Nov 2026v Sheffield Utd0.962.022–3
31 Oct 2026at Stoke City0.162.220–2
24 Oct 2026v West Brom1.832.091–1
17 Oct 2026at Wrexham0.791.971–4
13 Oct 2026at Birmingham0.492.240–4
10 Oct 2026v Millwall0.651.090–1
19 Sep 2026at QPR1.502.542–2
12 Sep 2026v Lincoln0.580.660–1
8 Sep 2026at Watford2.441.261–2
5 Sep 2026v Blackburn2.191.092–1

Southampton

xG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)Last matches with xG, oldest on the left
Show the numbers
Southampton: Last matches with xG, newest first
DateOpponentxG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)
3 Nov 2026at West Brom1.402.511–1
31 Oct 2026v QPR1.250.784–1
24 Oct 2026at West Ham1.611.603–2
17 Oct 2026v Bolton1.911.240–0
14 Oct 2026at Norwich2.161.261–0
11 Oct 2026v Portsmouth1.281.181–0
19 Sep 2026at Wrexham2.080.541–2
12 Sep 2026v Bristol City1.712.244–1
8 Sep 2026v Swansea1.441.223–1
5 Sep 2026at Lincoln0.772.271–1

Southampton: 1 without xG left out

This league season

Championship matches since 14 Aug 2026. Play-off rounds count here as league matches.

PrestonSouthampton
14 of 14Matches with xG14 of 14
5Points in those matches28
15.69xPts22.31
16.60xG for24.28
22.34xG against19.48

Each figure is a total over the matches shown beside it.

xG: API-Football. xPts: Ledger, from xG with a Poisson model that treats the two teams' goals as independent. That model slightly under-counts draws, so xPts totals come out a little high.

PRO depth

PRO depth: Preston and Southampton

  • Corners won and concededPRO
  • Shots and shots on target, for and againstPRO
  • Yellow cards, own and opponent'sPRO
  • First-half goals, scored and concededPRO
PRO: these figures for both teams

Injuries and suspensions

Team news not available yet.

Updated 7 Nov 2026, 00:23 GMT

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