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Championship
Preston
1–1Finished
West Brom
Sat 24 Oct 2026 · 15:00 BSTMatchday 12 · Deepdale Stadium, Preston

Preston v West Brom match analysis

This analysis was locked at kick-off on Sat 24 Oct 2026 and has not been changed since.

Pre-match analysis · as published

Written before kick-off

The model gives West Brom a 42% chance of victory against Preston's 30%, with the Baggies favoured by their superior attacking expected goals of 1.38 to 1.12. Preston's recent form is concerning with three losses in four matches, while West Brom have won two of their last five, though both squads face injury concerns.

How the match could end · our estimate before kick-off

  • 30%Preston win
  • 28%Draw
  • 42%West Brom win

PRO analysis

The full analysis is part of PRO

PRO members can read the full analysis exactly as it was published: the evidence and the risks behind our estimate.

See PRO plans

Free on every match: kick-off time, our estimate of each result, form, past meetings and whether we found a signal.

Form · newest first

PrestonPreston

Last 5: no wins, 1 draw, 4 defeats

West BromWest Brom

Last 5: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 defeats

Past results

From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.

Trends

  • Preston won 19 of 40 matches in which they scored first, since 26 Oct 2024.
  • West Brom won 24 of 41 matches in which they scored first, since 26 Oct 2024.
  • West Brom won 6 of the last 10 meetings.
  • Both teams scored in 7 of Preston's last 10 home league games.

Last meetings

Meetings in the competitions Ledger covers.

10 meetings: Preston 2, draws 2, West Brom 6

Goals: Preston 7, West Brom 18

DateMatchScore
18 Apr 2026Preston v West Brom0–2
18 Oct 2025West Brom v Preston2–1
1 Jan 2025West Brom v Preston3–1
30 Nov 2024Preston v West Brom1–1
4 May 2024West Brom v Preston3–0
30 Sep 2023Preston v West Brom0–4
29 Dec 2022West Brom v Preston2–0
5 Oct 2022Preston v West Brom1–0
26 Jan 2022West Brom v Preston0–2
18 Sep 2021Preston v West Brom1–1

Home and away

Preston

Preston at home

Last 5: 1 won, 0 drawn, 4 lost

  • LostMillwall10 Oct 20260–1
  • LostLincoln12 Sep 20260–1
  • WonBlackburn5 Sep 20262–1
  • LostBristol City1 Sep 20261–3
  • LostEvertonLeague Cup26 Aug 20260–4

Preston: home league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
10 scored, 19 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
7 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
6 of 10
Clean sheets
0 of 10
West Brom

West Brom away

Last 5: 2 won, 0 drawn, 3 lost

  • WonWrexham13 Oct 20262–1
  • LostWolves20 Sep 20260–1
  • WonDerby9 Sep 20261–0
  • LostMiddlesbrough29 Aug 20261–3
  • LostNewcastleLeague Cup26 Aug 20262–3

West Brom: away league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
11 scored, 9 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
5 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
4 of 10
Clean sheets
4 of 10

Rest and schedule

Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.

Preston
Last match
7 days before17 Oct 2026 · v Wrexham · Championship
Next match
7 days after31 Oct 2026 · v Stoke City · Championship
West Brom
Last match
7 days before17 Oct 2026 · v Blackburn · Championship
Next match
7 days after31 Oct 2026 · v West Ham · Championship

When the score changes

Each team's results from a given score, in its covered competitions since 26 Oct 2024. Every figure shows how many matches it covers.

Preston

ScorePrestonLeague sides
Scored first19 won, 17 drawn, 4 lost in 40 matches1116 won, 348 drawn, 215 lost in 1679 matches
Conceded first4 won, 8 drawn, 33 lost in 45 matches215 won, 348 drawn, 1116 lost in 1679 matches
1 goal up at half-time13 won, 9 drawn, 4 lost in 26 matches508 won, 164 drawn, 95 lost in 767 matches
Level at half-time6 won, 15 drawn, 9 lost in 30 matches460 won, 578 drawn, 460 lost in 1498 matches
1 goal down at half-time2 won, 5 drawn, 15 lost in 22 matches95 won, 164 drawn, 508 lost in 767 matches
1 goal up after 60 minutes13 won, 8 drawn, 2 lost in 23 matches539 won, 170 drawn, 65 lost in 774 matches
Level after 60 minutes6 won, 18 drawn, 8 lost in 32 matches342 won, 582 drawn, 342 lost in 1266 matches
1 goal down after 60 minutes0 won, 3 drawn, 17 lost in 20 matches65 won, 170 drawn, 539 lost in 774 matches
1 goal up after 70 minutes13 won, 11 drawn, 1 lost in 25 matches565 won, 151 drawn, 45 lost in 761 matches
Level after 70 minutes4 won, 18 drawn, 7 lost in 29 matches277 won, 630 drawn, 277 lost in 1184 matches
1 goal up after 80 minutes15 won, 8 drawn, 0 lost in 23 matches645 won, 119 drawn, 17 lost in 781 matches
Level after 80 minutes1 won, 22 drawn, 5 lost in 28 matches174 won, 702 drawn, 174 lost in 1050 matches
Level after 15 minutes14 won, 24 drawn, 26 lost in 64 matches923 won, 738 drawn, 923 lost in 2584 matches
1 goal up after 30 minutes11 won, 11 drawn, 2 lost in 24 matches437 won, 147 drawn, 107 lost in 691 matches
Level after 30 minutes8 won, 15 drawn, 20 lost in 43 matches656 won, 630 drawn, 656 lost in 1942 matches

Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.

Goals after 75 minutes
ScorePrestonLeague sides
All matches22 scored, 36 conceded (92)1042 scored, 1042 conceded (3608)
When leading after 75 minutes6 scored, 16 conceded (30)347 scored, 375 conceded (1257)
When level after 75 minutes7 scored, 11 conceded (31)320 scored, 320 conceded (1094)
When trailing after 75 minutes9 scored, 9 conceded (31)375 scored, 347 conceded (1257)

After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 48 times, equalised within 15 minutes 11, by full time 19(league sides: 1,891 times, within 15 minutes 323, by full time 838)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.

West Brom

ScoreWest BromLeague sides
Scored first24 won, 14 drawn, 3 lost in 41 matches1116 won, 348 drawn, 215 lost in 1679 matches
Conceded first5 won, 7 drawn, 29 lost in 41 matches215 won, 348 drawn, 1116 lost in 1679 matches
1 goal up at half-time14 won, 7 drawn, 1 lost in 22 matches508 won, 164 drawn, 95 lost in 767 matches
Level at half-time8 won, 20 drawn, 12 lost in 40 matches460 won, 578 drawn, 460 lost in 1498 matches
1 goal up after 60 minutes16 won, 6 drawn, 0 lost in 22 matches539 won, 170 drawn, 65 lost in 774 matches
Level after 60 minutes6 won, 21 drawn, 8 lost in 35 matches342 won, 582 drawn, 342 lost in 1266 matches
Level after 70 minutes4 won, 23 drawn, 9 lost in 36 matches277 won, 630 drawn, 277 lost in 1184 matches
Level after 80 minutes3 won, 26 drawn, 8 lost in 37 matches174 won, 702 drawn, 174 lost in 1050 matches
Level after 15 minutes19 won, 25 drawn, 25 lost in 69 matches923 won, 738 drawn, 923 lost in 2584 matches
1 goal up after 30 minutes16 won, 6 drawn, 1 lost in 23 matches437 won, 147 drawn, 107 lost in 691 matches
Level after 30 minutes10 won, 22 drawn, 18 lost in 50 matches656 won, 630 drawn, 656 lost in 1942 matches

Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.

Goals after 75 minutes
ScoreWest BromLeague sides
All matches19 scored, 26 conceded (92)1042 scored, 1042 conceded (3608)
When leading after 75 minutes6 scored, 14 conceded (32)347 scored, 375 conceded (1257)
When level after 75 minutes2 scored, 6 conceded (32)320 scored, 320 conceded (1094)
When trailing after 75 minutes11 scored, 6 conceded (28)375 scored, 347 conceded (1257)

After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 42 times, equalised within 15 minutes 7, by full time 18(league sides: 1,891 times, within 15 minutes 323, by full time 838)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.

League sides: every team in this league since 4 Aug 2023, both venues, each match counted once for each side. Shown for context, not as a comparison.

xG and expected points

Each team's xG and points from its own earlier league matches, before this kick-off. Facts about past matches, not a forecast for this one.

Since 26 Oct 2024

PrestonWest Brom
92Matches with xG92
108.40xG for115.42
102Goals scored107
129.80xG against98.40
131Goals conceded110

Preston

xG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)Last matches with xG, oldest on the left
Show the numbers
Preston: Last matches with xG, newest first
DateOpponentxG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)
17 Oct 2026at Wrexham0.791.971–4
13 Oct 2026at Birmingham0.492.240–4
10 Oct 2026v Millwall0.651.090–1
19 Sep 2026at QPR1.502.542–2
12 Sep 2026v Lincoln0.580.660–1
8 Sep 2026at Watford2.441.261–2
5 Sep 2026v Blackburn2.191.092–1
1 Sep 2026v Bristol City1.911.781–3
29 Aug 2026at Charlton1.320.740–1
22 Aug 2026v Wolves0.661.541–3

West Brom

xG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)Last matches with xG, oldest on the left
Show the numbers
West Brom: Last matches with xG, newest first
DateOpponentxG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)
17 Oct 2026v Blackburn3.720.843–2
13 Oct 2026at Wrexham0.940.382–1
10 Oct 2026v Birmingham1.052.550–1
20 Sep 2026at Wolves0.291.950–1
12 Sep 2026v QPR1.220.621–1
9 Sep 2026at Derby0.381.271–0
5 Sep 2026v Watford1.141.261–0
2 Sep 2026v Charlton0.570.391–1
29 Aug 2026at Middlesbrough1.322.551–3
23 Aug 2026v Burnley1.631.183–1

This league season

Championship matches since 14 Aug 2026. Play-off rounds count here as league matches.

PrestonWest Brom
11 of 11Matches with xG11 of 11
4Points in those matches20
13.54xPts13.85
13.65xG for14.11
16.01xG against15.95

Each figure is a total over the matches shown beside it.

xG: API-Football. xPts: Ledger, from xG with a Poisson model that treats the two teams' goals as independent. That model slightly under-counts draws, so xPts totals come out a little high.

PRO depth

PRO depth: Preston and West Brom

  • Corners won and concededPRO
  • Shots and shots on target, for and againstPRO
  • Yellow cards, own and opponent'sPRO
  • First-half goals, scored and concededPRO
PRO: these figures for both teams

Injuries and suspensions

  • PrestonPreston
    Ruled out
    H. Clarke (Knee Injury) · L. Gibbs (Muscle Injury) · L. Gibson (Inactive) · A. McCann (Hamstring Injury)
    Doubtful
    T. Carroll (Ankle Injury) · L. Lindsay (Injury) · C. Wiley (Injury)
  • West BromWest Brom
    Ruled out
    T. Collyer (Injury) · N. Galves (Knee Injury) · M. Johnston (Broken Leg)

Published 24 Oct 2026, 13:58 BST · not changed since

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