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Primera División · Uruguay
Progreso
2–0Finished
Juventud
Sat 17 Oct 2026 · 14:00 BSTClausura · Matchday 11

Progreso v Juventud match analysis

This analysis was locked at kick-off on Sat 17 Oct 2026 and has not been changed since.

Pre-match analysis · as published

Written before kick-off

Juventud are favoured to take this match with a 44% win probability against Progreso's 27%, with a draw at 29%. The model expects 2.39 goals, reflecting Juventud's recent unbeaten run against Progreso's struggles with just one win in five.

How the match could end · our estimate before kick-off

  • 27%Progreso win
  • 29%Draw
  • 44%Juventud win

PRO analysis

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PRO members can read the full analysis exactly as it was published: the evidence and the risks behind our estimate.

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Free on every match: kick-off time, our estimate of each result, form, past meetings and whether we found a signal.

Form · newest first

ProgresoProgreso

Last 5: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 defeats

JuventudJuventud

Last 5: 2 wins, 3 draws, no defeats

Past results

From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.

Trends

  • Juventud won 4 of the last 4 meetings.
  • Juventud unbeaten in their last 5 away games.

Last meetings

Meetings in the competitions Ledger covers.

4 meetings: Progreso 0, draws 0, Juventud 4

Goals: Progreso 1, Juventud 7

DateMatchScore
16 May 2026Juventud v Progreso2–0
12 Apr 2026Juventud v Progreso1–0
29 Jun 2025Juventud v Progreso2–0
18 May 2025Progreso v Juventud1–2

Home and away

Progreso

Progreso at home

Last 5: 3 won, 0 drawn, 2 lost

  • WonRacing Montevideo26 Sep 20262–1
  • LostCerro13 Sep 20261–3
  • WonDanubio29 Aug 20261–0
  • LostDeportivo Maldonado16 Aug 20260–2
  • WonDeportivo Maldonado18 Jul 20261–0

Progreso: home league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
9 scored, 14 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
5 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
5 of 10
Clean sheets
2 of 10
Juventud

Juventud away

Last 5: 2 won, 3 drawn, 0 lost

  • DrawnBoston River4 Oct 20260–0
  • WonAlbion FC20 Sep 20263–1
  • DrawnClub Nacional6 Sep 20262–2
  • WonCentral Espanol22 Aug 20261–0
  • DrawnCerro Largo7 Aug 20261–1

Juventud: away league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
12 scored, 8 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
6 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
4 of 10
Clean sheets
4 of 10

Rest and schedule

Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.

Progreso
Last match
7 days before10 Oct 2026 · v Penarol · Primera División · Uruguay
Next match
8 days after25 Oct 2026 · v Wanderers · Primera División · Uruguay
Juventud
Last match
6 days before11 Oct 2026 · v Racing Montevideo · Primera División · Uruguay
Next match
6 days after24 Oct 2026 · v Penarol · Primera División · Uruguay

Injuries and suspensions

Team news was not available for this match.

Published 17 Oct 2026, 12:57 BST · not changed since

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