EredivisieSun 25 Oct 2026 · 13:30 GMTMatchday 10 · Philips Stadion, Eindhoven

PSV Eindhoven v Feyenoord match analysis

This analysis was locked at kick-off on Sun 25 Oct 2026 and has not been changed since.

Pre-match analysis · as published

Written before kick-off

The model gives PSV a 56% chance of beating Feyenoord in this Eindhoven clash. PSV are expected to create more chances, but both teams have injury concerns heading into the match.

How the match could end · our estimate before kick-off

  • 56%PSV Eindhoven win
  • 21%Draw
  • 23%Feyenoord win

PRO analysis

The full analysis is part of PRO

PRO members can read the full analysis exactly as it was published: the evidence and the risks behind our estimate.

See PRO plans

Free on every match: kick-off time, our estimate of each result, form, past meetings and whether we found a signal.

Form · newest first

PSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven

Last 5: 2 wins, no draws, 3 defeats

FeyenoordFeyenoord

Last 5: 4 wins, no draws, 1 defeat

Past results

From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.

Trends

  • PSV Eindhoven won 41 of 50 matches in which they scored first, since 26 Oct 2024.
  • Feyenoord won 39 of 47 matches in which they scored first, since 27 Oct 2024.
  • PSV Eindhoven won 7 of the last 10 meetings.
  • PSV Eindhoven unbeaten in their last 5 home games.

Last meetings

Meetings in the competitions Ledger covers.

10 meetings: PSV Eindhoven 7, draws 2, Feyenoord 1

Goals: PSV Eindhoven 24, Feyenoord 13

DateMatchScore
1 Feb 2026PSV Eindhoven v Feyenoord3–0
26 Oct 2025Feyenoord v PSV Eindhoven2–3
11 May 2025Feyenoord v PSV Eindhoven2–3
5 Feb 2025PSV Eindhoven v FeyenoordKNVB Beker2–0
22 Dec 2024PSV Eindhoven v Feyenoord3–0
3 Mar 2024PSV Eindhoven v Feyenoord2–2
24 Jan 2024Feyenoord v PSV EindhovenKNVB Beker1–0
3 Dec 2023Feyenoord v PSV Eindhoven1–2
5 Feb 2023Feyenoord v PSV Eindhoven2–2
18 Sep 2022PSV Eindhoven v Feyenoord4–3

Home and away

PSV Eindhoven

PSV Eindhoven at home

Last 5: 3 won, 2 drawn, 0 lost

  • WonHeerenveen9 Oct 20262–0
  • WonSparta Rotterdam13 Sep 20264–1
  • DrawnShakhtar DonetskUEFA Champions League10 Sep 20261–1
  • WonGroningen23 Aug 20265–1
  • DrawnFortuna Sittard8 Aug 20262–2

PSV Eindhoven: home league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
35 scored, 14 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
9 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
9 of 10
Clean sheets
1 of 10
Feyenoord

Feyenoord away

Last 5: 3 won, 0 drawn, 2 lost

  • LostReal BetisUEFA Champions League21 Oct 20260–1
  • WonTelstar17 Oct 20264–3
  • WonPEC Zwolle13 Sep 20267–0
  • LostBarcelonaUEFA Champions League9 Sep 20261–5
  • WonNEC Nijmegen5 Sep 20263–1

Feyenoord: away league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
28 scored, 11 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
6 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
6 of 10
Clean sheets
4 of 10

Rest and schedule

Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.

PSV Eindhoven
Last match
5 days before20 Oct 2026 · v FC Porto · UEFA Champions League
Next match
6 days after31 Oct 2026 · v Willem II · Eredivisie
Feyenoord
Last match
4 days before21 Oct 2026 · v Real Betis · UEFA Champions League
Next match
6 days after31 Oct 2026 · v Fortuna Sittard · Eredivisie

When the score changes

Each team's results from a given score, in its covered competitions. Every figure shows how many matches it covers.

PSV Eindhoven

Since 26 Oct 2024

ScorePSV EindhovenLeague sides
Scored first41 won, 6 drawn, 3 lost in 50 matches648 won, 226 drawn, 120 lost in 994 matches
Conceded first16 won, 6 drawn, 16 lost in 38 matches120 won, 226 drawn, 648 lost in 994 matches
2+ goals up at half-time22 won, 0 drawn, 0 lost in 22 matches186 won, 14 drawn, 2 lost in 202 matches
1 goal up at half-time20 won, 0 drawn, 3 lost in 23 matches297 won, 103 drawn, 53 lost in 453 matches
Level at half-time10 won, 6 drawn, 6 lost in 22 matches230 won, 300 drawn, 230 lost in 760 matches
2+ goals up after 60 minutes30 won, 0 drawn, 0 lost in 30 matches284 won, 21 drawn, 1 lost in 306 matches
1 goal up after 60 minutes19 won, 1 drawn, 3 lost in 23 matches289 won, 102 drawn, 27 lost in 418 matches
2+ goals up after 70 minutes31 won, 0 drawn, 0 lost in 31 matches354 won, 11 drawn, 0 lost in 365 matches
1 goal up after 70 minutes18 won, 1 drawn, 2 lost in 21 matches275 won, 95 drawn, 18 lost in 388 matches
2+ goals up after 80 minutes34 won, 1 drawn, 0 lost in 35 matches382 won, 3 drawn, 0 lost in 385 matches
1 goal up after 80 minutes19 won, 3 drawn, 0 lost in 22 matches307 won, 94 drawn, 4 lost in 405 matches
1 goal up after 15 minutes17 won, 2 drawn, 1 lost in 20 matches200 won, 66 drawn, 48 lost in 314 matches
Level after 15 minutes30 won, 9 drawn, 14 lost in 53 matches485 won, 396 drawn, 485 lost in 1366 matches
1 goal up after 30 minutes17 won, 2 drawn, 4 lost in 23 matches264 won, 98 drawn, 62 lost in 424 matches
Level after 30 minutes19 won, 9 drawn, 10 lost in 38 matches339 won, 318 drawn, 339 lost in 996 matches

Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.

Goals after 75 minutes
ScorePSV EindhovenLeague sides
All matches52 scored, 24 conceded (88)758 scored, 758 conceded (2070)
When leading after 75 minutes32 scored, 14 conceded (54)334 scored, 242 conceded (772)
When trailing after 75 minutes12 scored, 5 conceded (20)242 scored, 334 conceded (772)

After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 47 times, equalised within 15 minutes 20, by full time 34(league sides: 1,184 times, within 15 minutes 200, by full time 546)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.

Feyenoord

Since 27 Oct 2024

ScoreFeyenoordLeague sides
Scored first39 won, 5 drawn, 3 lost in 47 matches648 won, 226 drawn, 120 lost in 994 matches
Conceded first9 won, 8 drawn, 23 lost in 40 matches120 won, 226 drawn, 648 lost in 994 matches
1 goal up at half-time21 won, 3 drawn, 1 lost in 25 matches297 won, 103 drawn, 53 lost in 453 matches
Level at half-time11 won, 5 drawn, 7 lost in 23 matches230 won, 300 drawn, 230 lost in 760 matches
1 goal down at half-time2 won, 7 drawn, 11 lost in 20 matches53 won, 103 drawn, 297 lost in 453 matches
1 goal up after 60 minutes25 won, 3 drawn, 3 lost in 31 matches289 won, 102 drawn, 27 lost in 418 matches
2+ goals up after 70 minutes22 won, 0 drawn, 0 lost in 22 matches354 won, 11 drawn, 0 lost in 365 matches
1 goal up after 70 minutes21 won, 4 drawn, 2 lost in 27 matches275 won, 95 drawn, 18 lost in 388 matches
2+ goals up after 80 minutes23 won, 0 drawn, 0 lost in 23 matches382 won, 3 drawn, 0 lost in 385 matches
1 goal up after 80 minutes22 won, 3 drawn, 1 lost in 26 matches307 won, 94 drawn, 4 lost in 405 matches
Level after 15 minutes28 won, 13 drawn, 16 lost in 57 matches485 won, 396 drawn, 485 lost in 1366 matches
Level after 30 minutes20 won, 9 drawn, 13 lost in 42 matches339 won, 318 drawn, 339 lost in 996 matches

Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.

Goals after 75 minutes
ScoreFeyenoordLeague sides
All matches44 scored, 36 conceded (90)758 scored, 758 conceded (2070)
When leading after 75 minutes25 scored, 16 conceded (49)334 scored, 242 conceded (772)
When trailing after 75 minutes14 scored, 12 conceded (24)242 scored, 334 conceded (772)

After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 45 times, equalised within 15 minutes 8, by full time 26(league sides: 1,184 times, within 15 minutes 200, by full time 546)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.

League sides: every team in this league since 11 Aug 2023, both venues, each match counted once for each side. Shown for context, not as a comparison.

xG and expected points

Each team's xG and points from its own earlier league matches, before this kick-off. Facts about past matches, not a forecast for this one.

Earlier league matches

PSV EindhovenFeyenoord
67Since 26 Oct 2024Matches with xG68Since 27 Oct 2024
156.34xG for140.87
198Goals scored157
76.77xG against74.85
89Goals conceded83

PSV Eindhoven

xG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)Last matches with xG, oldest on the left
Show the numbers
PSV Eindhoven: Last matches with xG, newest first
DateOpponentxG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)
17 Oct 2026at ADO Den Haag1.071.431–2
9 Oct 2026v Heerenveen2.381.572–0
20 Sep 2026at Twente1.022.402–3
13 Sep 2026v Sparta Rotterdam3.752.294–1
5 Sep 2026at Ajax2.551.993–1
30 Aug 2026at Utrecht3.580.306–1
23 Aug 2026v Groningen4.401.095–1
15 Aug 2026at Excelsior2.240.512–1
8 Aug 2026v Fortuna Sittard2.311.012–2
17 May 2026v Twente2.491.415–1

Feyenoord

xG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)Last matches with xG, oldest on the left
Show the numbers
Feyenoord: Last matches with xG, newest first
DateOpponentxG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)
17 Oct 2026at Telstar3.831.434–3
10 Oct 2026v AZ Alkmaar2.300.772–0
20 Sep 2026v Utrecht3.410.585–0
13 Sep 2026at PEC Zwolle3.400.197–0
5 Sep 2026at NEC Nijmegen1.110.743–1
30 Aug 2026v ADO Den Haag2.470.242–2
23 Aug 2026at Cambuur2.620.965–2
16 Aug 2026v GO Ahead Eagles2.891.512–2
9 Aug 2026at Sparta Rotterdam3.531.011–0
17 May 2026at PEC Zwolle3.210.802–0

PSV Eindhoven: 1 without xG left outFeyenoord: 1 without xG left out

This league season

Eredivisie matches since 7 Aug 2026. Play-off rounds count here as league matches.

PSV EindhovenFeyenoord
9 of 9Matches with xG9 of 9
19Points in those matches23
17.65xPts21.89
23.30xG for25.56
12.59xG against7.43

Each figure is a total over the matches shown beside it.

xG: API-Football. xPts: Ledger, from xG with a Poisson model that treats the two teams' goals as independent. That model slightly under-counts draws, so xPts totals come out a little high.

PRO depth

PRO depth: PSV Eindhoven and Feyenoord

  • Corners won and concededPRO
  • Shots and shots on target, for and againstPRO
  • Yellow cards, own and opponent'sPRO
  • First-half goals, scored and concededPRO
PRO: these figures for both teams

Injuries and suspensions

  • PSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven
    Ruled out
    S. Mijnans (Red Card) · A. Nagalo (Injury) · A. Plea (Surgery) · J. Schouten (Knee Injury) · K. Sildillia (Surgery)
    Doubtful
    S. Lammers (Lacking Match Fitness) · S. Ouaissa (Muscle Injury) · R. Pepi (Injury) · P. Wanner (Foot Injury) · R. van Bommel (Inactive)
  • FeyenoordFeyenoord
    Ruled out
    T. Beelen (Broken Leg) · J. Bos (Knee Injury)
    Doubtful
    J. Moder (Knee Injury) · R. Nelson (Muscle Injury) · B. Nieuwkoop (Knee Injury) · G. Smal (Ankle Injury) · S. van Persie (Knock)

Published 25 Oct 2026, 12:27 GMT · not changed since

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