BundesligaSat 10 Oct 2026 · 17:30 BST

RB Leipzig v Eintracht Frankfurt match analysis

This analysis was locked at kick-off on Sat 10 Oct 2026 and has not been changed since.

Pre-match analysis · as published

How the match could end · our estimate before kick-off

  • 56%RB Leipzig win
  • 22%Draw
  • 22%Eintracht Frankfurt win

PRO analysis

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Free on every match: kick-off time, our estimate of each result, form, past meetings and whether we found a signal.

Form · newest first

RB LeipzigRB Leipzig

Last 5: 2 wins, no draws, 3 defeats

Eintracht FrankfurtEintracht Frankfurt

Last 5: 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 defeat

Past results

From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.

Trends

  • Bundesliga, since 18 Aug 2023: home sides leading by one goal after 70 minutes won 147 of 196.
  • Eintracht Frankfurt won 27 of 47 matches in which they scored first, since 19 Oct 2024.
  • RB Leipzig won 6 of the last 10 meetings.
  • RB Leipzig unbeaten in their last 5 home games.

Last meetings

Meetings in the competitions Ledger covers.

10 meetings: RB Leipzig 6, draws 1, Eintracht Frankfurt 3

Goals: RB Leipzig 20, Eintracht Frankfurt 14

DateMatchScore
18 Apr 2026Eintracht Frankfurt v RB Leipzig1–3
6 Dec 2025RB Leipzig v Eintracht Frankfurt6–0
26 Apr 2025Eintracht Frankfurt v RB Leipzig4–0
15 Dec 2024RB Leipzig v Eintracht Frankfurt2–1
4 Dec 2024RB Leipzig v Eintracht FrankfurtDFB Pokal3–0
18 May 2024Eintracht Frankfurt v RB Leipzig2–2
13 Jan 2024RB Leipzig v Eintracht Frankfurt0–1
3 Jun 2023RB Leipzig v Eintracht FrankfurtDFB Pokal2–0
25 Feb 2023RB Leipzig v Eintracht Frankfurt2–1
3 Sep 2022Eintracht Frankfurt v RB Leipzig4–0

Home and away

RB Leipzig

RB Leipzig at home

Last 5: 5 won, 0 drawn, 0 lost

  • WonHamburger SV13 Sep 20265–0
  • WonBorussia Mönchengladbach29 Aug 20263–0
  • WonFC St. Pauli9 May 20262–1
  • WonUnion Berlin24 Apr 20263–1
  • WonBorussia Mönchengladbach11 Apr 20261–0

RB Leipzig: home league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
26 scored, 9 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
6 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
9 of 10
Clean sheets
4 of 10
Eintracht Frankfurt

Eintracht Frankfurt away

Last 5: 2 won, 2 drawn, 1 lost

  • WonFSV Mainz 0512 Sep 20263–1
  • DrawnUnion Berlin29 Aug 20263–3
  • WonSC St. TönisDFB Pokal21 Aug 202611–0
  • LostBorussia Dortmund8 May 20262–3
  • DrawnFC Augsburg25 Apr 20261–1

Eintracht Frankfurt: away league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
18 scored, 18 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
9 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
7 of 10
Clean sheets
1 of 10

Rest and schedule

Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.

RB Leipzig
Last match
20 days before20 Sep 2026 · v Bayer Leverkusen · Bundesliga
Next match
3 days after13 Oct 2026 · v PSV Eindhoven · UEFA Champions League
Eintracht Frankfurt
Last match
21 days before19 Sep 2026 · v SC Freiburg · Bundesliga
Next match
6 days after16 Oct 2026 · v 1. FC Köln · Bundesliga

When the score changes

Each team's results from a given score, in its covered competitions since 19 Oct 2024. Every figure shows how many matches it covers.

Eintracht Frankfurt

ScoreEintracht FrankfurtLeague sides
Scored first27 won, 10 drawn, 10 lost in 47 matches595 won, 195 drawn, 125 lost in 915 matches
Conceded first5 won, 10 drawn, 19 lost in 34 matches125 won, 195 drawn, 595 lost in 915 matches
Level at half-time11 won, 13 drawn, 9 lost in 33 matches197 won, 286 drawn, 197 lost in 680 matches
Level after 60 minutes8 won, 14 drawn, 4 lost in 26 matches148 won, 284 drawn, 148 lost in 580 matches
2+ goals up after 70 minutes19 won, 1 drawn, 0 lost in 20 matches326 won, 7 drawn, 3 lost in 336 matches
Level after 70 minutes2 won, 14 drawn, 4 lost in 20 matches100 won, 290 drawn, 100 lost in 490 matches
Level after 15 minutes23 won, 14 drawn, 18 lost in 55 matches481 won, 354 drawn, 481 lost in 1316 matches
1 goal up after 30 minutes10 won, 5 drawn, 6 lost in 21 matches245 won, 82 drawn, 60 lost in 387 matches
Level after 30 minutes14 won, 15 drawn, 11 lost in 40 matches315 won, 308 drawn, 315 lost in 938 matches

Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.

Goals after 75 minutes
ScoreEintracht FrankfurtLeague sides
All matches22 scored, 35 conceded (84)697 scored, 697 conceded (1932)
When leading after 75 minutes7 scored, 18 conceded (35)294 scored, 262 conceded (726)
When level after 75 minutes5 scored, 6 conceded (20)141 scored, 141 conceded (480)
When trailing after 75 minutes10 scored, 11 conceded (29)262 scored, 294 conceded (726)

After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 48 times, equalised within 15 minutes 10, by full time 23(league sides: 1,110 times, within 15 minutes 191, by full time 506)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.

League sides: every team in this league since 18 Aug 2023, both venues, each match counted once for each side. Shown for context, not as a comparison.

xG and expected points

Each team's xG and points from its own earlier league matches, before this kick-off. Facts about past matches, not a forecast for this one.

Since 19 Oct 2024

RB LeipzigEintracht Frankfurt
66Matches with xG66
113.48xG for106.84
119Goals scored124
104.03xG against98.04
98Goals conceded112

RB Leipzig

xG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)Last matches with xG, oldest on the left
Show the numbers
RB Leipzig: Last matches with xG, newest first
DateOpponentxG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)
20 Sep 2026at Bayer Leverkusen0.972.270–2
13 Sep 2026v Hamburger SV2.431.105–0
5 Sep 2026at Werder Bremen1.500.951–3
29 Aug 2026v Borussia Mönchengladbach3.961.093–0
16 May 2026at SC Freiburg1.241.411–4
9 May 2026v FC St. Pauli1.370.792–1
2 May 2026at Bayer Leverkusen1.174.421–4
24 Apr 2026v Union Berlin4.490.193–1
18 Apr 2026at Eintracht Frankfurt2.091.453–1
11 Apr 2026v Borussia Mönchengladbach2.431.781–0

Eintracht Frankfurt

xG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)Last matches with xG, oldest on the left
Show the numbers
Eintracht Frankfurt: Last matches with xG, newest first
DateOpponentxG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)
19 Sep 2026v SC Freiburg2.183.092–2
12 Sep 2026at FSV Mainz 052.042.123–1
6 Sep 2026v FC Augsburg2.221.131–4
29 Aug 2026at Union Berlin1.471.843–3
16 May 2026v VfB Stuttgart2.561.322–2
8 May 2026at Borussia Dortmund1.121.942–3
2 May 2026v Hamburger SV0.650.621–2
25 Apr 2026at FC Augsburg1.112.001–1
18 Apr 2026v RB Leipzig1.452.091–3
11 Apr 2026at VfL Wolfsburg1.292.332–1

Each figure is a total over the matches shown beside it.

xG: API-Football. xPts: Ledger, from xG with a Poisson model that treats the two teams' goals as independent. That model slightly under-counts draws, so xPts totals come out a little high.

PRO depth

PRO depth: RB Leipzig and Eintracht Frankfurt

  • Corners won and concededPRO
  • Shots and shots on target, for and againstPRO
  • Yellow cards, own and opponent'sPRO
  • First-half goals, scored and concededPRO
PRO: these figures for both teams

Injuries and suspensions

  • RB LeipzigRB LeipzigC. Baumgartner (Thigh Injury) · M. Guiu (Hamstring Injury) · A. Ouedraogo (Shoulder Injury) · R. Reitz (Muscle Injury) · B. Gruda (Muscle Injury)
  • Eintracht FrankfurtEintracht FrankfurtJ. Maluze (Illness) · M. Pimpong (Injury) · F. Chaibi (Lacking Match Fitness)

Published 10 Oct 2026, 05:38 BST · not changed since

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