RB Leipzig v Eintracht Frankfurt match analysis
This analysis was locked at kick-off on Sat 10 Oct 2026 and has not been changed since.
Pre-match analysis · as published
How the match could end · our estimate before kick-off
- 56%RB Leipzig win
- 22%Draw
- 22%Eintracht Frankfurt win
PRO analysis
The full analysis is part of PRO
PRO members can read the full analysis exactly as it was published: the evidence and the risks behind our estimate.
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Form · newest first
Last 5: 2 wins, no draws, 3 defeats
Last 5: 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 defeat
Past results
From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.
Trends
- Bundesliga, since 18 Aug 2023: home sides leading by one goal after 70 minutes won 147 of 196.
- Eintracht Frankfurt won 27 of 47 matches in which they scored first, since 19 Oct 2024.
- RB Leipzig won 6 of the last 10 meetings.
- RB Leipzig unbeaten in their last 5 home games.
Last meetings
Meetings in the competitions Ledger covers.
10 meetings: RB Leipzig 6, draws 1, Eintracht Frankfurt 3
Goals: RB Leipzig 20, Eintracht Frankfurt 14
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr 2026 | Eintracht Frankfurt v RB Leipzig | 1–3 |
| 6 Dec 2025 | RB Leipzig v Eintracht Frankfurt | 6–0 |
| 26 Apr 2025 | Eintracht Frankfurt v RB Leipzig | 4–0 |
| 15 Dec 2024 | RB Leipzig v Eintracht Frankfurt | 2–1 |
| 4 Dec 2024 | RB Leipzig v Eintracht FrankfurtDFB Pokal | 3–0 |
| 18 May 2024 | Eintracht Frankfurt v RB Leipzig | 2–2 |
| 13 Jan 2024 | RB Leipzig v Eintracht Frankfurt | 0–1 |
| 3 Jun 2023 | RB Leipzig v Eintracht FrankfurtDFB Pokal | 2–0 |
| 25 Feb 2023 | RB Leipzig v Eintracht Frankfurt | 2–1 |
| 3 Sep 2022 | Eintracht Frankfurt v RB Leipzig | 4–0 |
Home and away
RB Leipzig at home
Last 5: 5 won, 0 drawn, 0 lost
- WonHamburger SV13 Sep 20265–0
- WonBorussia Mönchengladbach29 Aug 20263–0
- WonFC St. Pauli9 May 20262–1
- WonUnion Berlin24 Apr 20263–1
- WonBorussia Mönchengladbach11 Apr 20261–0
RB Leipzig: home league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 26 scored, 9 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 6 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 9 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 4 of 10
Eintracht Frankfurt away
Last 5: 2 won, 2 drawn, 1 lost
- WonFSV Mainz 0512 Sep 20263–1
- DrawnUnion Berlin29 Aug 20263–3
- WonSC St. TönisDFB Pokal21 Aug 202611–0
- LostBorussia Dortmund8 May 20262–3
- DrawnFC Augsburg25 Apr 20261–1
Eintracht Frankfurt: away league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 18 scored, 18 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 9 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 7 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 10
Rest and schedule
Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.
- Last match
- 20 days before20 Sep 2026 · v Bayer Leverkusen · Bundesliga
- Next match
- 3 days after13 Oct 2026 · v PSV Eindhoven · UEFA Champions League
- Last match
- 21 days before19 Sep 2026 · v SC Freiburg · Bundesliga
- Next match
- 6 days after16 Oct 2026 · v 1. FC Köln · Bundesliga
When the score changes
Each team's results from a given score, in its covered competitions since 19 Oct 2024. Every figure shows how many matches it covers.
Eintracht Frankfurt
| Score | Eintracht Frankfurt | League sides |
|---|---|---|
| Scored first | 27 won, 10 drawn, 10 lost in 47 matches | 595 won, 195 drawn, 125 lost in 915 matches |
| Conceded first | 5 won, 10 drawn, 19 lost in 34 matches | 125 won, 195 drawn, 595 lost in 915 matches |
| Level at half-time | 11 won, 13 drawn, 9 lost in 33 matches | 197 won, 286 drawn, 197 lost in 680 matches |
| Level after 60 minutes | 8 won, 14 drawn, 4 lost in 26 matches | 148 won, 284 drawn, 148 lost in 580 matches |
| 2+ goals up after 70 minutes | 19 won, 1 drawn, 0 lost in 20 matches | 326 won, 7 drawn, 3 lost in 336 matches |
| Level after 70 minutes | 2 won, 14 drawn, 4 lost in 20 matches | 100 won, 290 drawn, 100 lost in 490 matches |
| Level after 15 minutes | 23 won, 14 drawn, 18 lost in 55 matches | 481 won, 354 drawn, 481 lost in 1316 matches |
| 1 goal up after 30 minutes | 10 won, 5 drawn, 6 lost in 21 matches | 245 won, 82 drawn, 60 lost in 387 matches |
| Level after 30 minutes | 14 won, 15 drawn, 11 lost in 40 matches | 315 won, 308 drawn, 315 lost in 938 matches |
Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.
| Score | Eintracht Frankfurt | League sides |
|---|---|---|
| All matches | 22 scored, 35 conceded (84) | 697 scored, 697 conceded (1932) |
| When leading after 75 minutes | 7 scored, 18 conceded (35) | 294 scored, 262 conceded (726) |
| When level after 75 minutes | 5 scored, 6 conceded (20) | 141 scored, 141 conceded (480) |
| When trailing after 75 minutes | 10 scored, 11 conceded (29) | 262 scored, 294 conceded (726) |
After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 48 times, equalised within 15 minutes 10, by full time 23(league sides: 1,110 times, within 15 minutes 191, by full time 506)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.
League sides: every team in this league since 18 Aug 2023, both venues, each match counted once for each side. Shown for context, not as a comparison.
xG and expected points
Each team's xG and points from its own earlier league matches, before this kick-off. Facts about past matches, not a forecast for this one.
Since 19 Oct 2024
| Eintracht Frankfurt | ||
|---|---|---|
| 66 | Matches with xG | 66 |
| 113.48 | xG for | 106.84 |
| 119 | Goals scored | 124 |
| 104.03 | xG against | 98.04 |
| 98 | Goals conceded | 112 |
RB Leipzig
Show the numbers
| Date | Opponent | xG for | xG against | Goals (tick; no tick = 0) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep 2026 | at Bayer Leverkusen | 0.97 | 2.27 | 0–2 |
| 13 Sep 2026 | v Hamburger SV | 2.43 | 1.10 | 5–0 |
| 5 Sep 2026 | at Werder Bremen | 1.50 | 0.95 | 1–3 |
| 29 Aug 2026 | v Borussia Mönchengladbach | 3.96 | 1.09 | 3–0 |
| 16 May 2026 | at SC Freiburg | 1.24 | 1.41 | 1–4 |
| 9 May 2026 | v FC St. Pauli | 1.37 | 0.79 | 2–1 |
| 2 May 2026 | at Bayer Leverkusen | 1.17 | 4.42 | 1–4 |
| 24 Apr 2026 | v Union Berlin | 4.49 | 0.19 | 3–1 |
| 18 Apr 2026 | at Eintracht Frankfurt | 2.09 | 1.45 | 3–1 |
| 11 Apr 2026 | v Borussia Mönchengladbach | 2.43 | 1.78 | 1–0 |
Eintracht Frankfurt
Show the numbers
| Date | Opponent | xG for | xG against | Goals (tick; no tick = 0) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep 2026 | v SC Freiburg | 2.18 | 3.09 | 2–2 |
| 12 Sep 2026 | at FSV Mainz 05 | 2.04 | 2.12 | 3–1 |
| 6 Sep 2026 | v FC Augsburg | 2.22 | 1.13 | 1–4 |
| 29 Aug 2026 | at Union Berlin | 1.47 | 1.84 | 3–3 |
| 16 May 2026 | v VfB Stuttgart | 2.56 | 1.32 | 2–2 |
| 8 May 2026 | at Borussia Dortmund | 1.12 | 1.94 | 2–3 |
| 2 May 2026 | v Hamburger SV | 0.65 | 0.62 | 1–2 |
| 25 Apr 2026 | at FC Augsburg | 1.11 | 2.00 | 1–1 |
| 18 Apr 2026 | v RB Leipzig | 1.45 | 2.09 | 1–3 |
| 11 Apr 2026 | at VfL Wolfsburg | 1.29 | 2.33 | 2–1 |
Each figure is a total over the matches shown beside it.
xG: API-Football. xPts: Ledger, from xG with a Poisson model that treats the two teams' goals as independent. That model slightly under-counts draws, so xPts totals come out a little high.
PRO depth
PRO depth: RB Leipzig and Eintracht Frankfurt
- Corners won and concededPRO
- Shots and shots on target, for and againstPRO
- Yellow cards, own and opponent'sPRO
- First-half goals, scored and concededPRO
Injuries and suspensions
RB LeipzigC. Baumgartner (Thigh Injury) · M. Guiu (Hamstring Injury) · A. Ouedraogo (Shoulder Injury) · R. Reitz (Muscle Injury) · B. Gruda (Muscle Injury)
Eintracht FrankfurtJ. Maluze (Illness) · M. Pimpong (Injury) · F. Chaibi (Lacking Match Fitness)
Published 10 Oct 2026, 05:38 BST · not changed since
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