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Bundesliga
RB Leipzig
5–2Finished
FC Augsburg
Sat 7 Nov 2026 · 14:30 GMTMatchday 9 · Leipzig Red Bull Arena, Leipzig

RB Leipzig v FC Augsburg match analysis

This analysis was locked at kick-off on Sat 7 Nov 2026 and has not been changed since.

Pre-match analysis · as published

Written before kick-off

RB Leipzig hold a 63% chance of winning on the model's assessment, with Augsburg at 17% and a draw at 20%. Expected goals of 2.29 for Leipzig and 1.16 for Augsburg suggest a gap of 1.13 in the hosts' favour. Leipzig have won three of their last five; Augsburg have one win in five.

How the match could end · our estimate before kick-off

  • 63%RB Leipzig win
  • 20%Draw
  • 17%FC Augsburg win

PRO analysis

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Free on every match: kick-off time, our estimate of each result, form, past meetings and whether we found a signal.

Form · newest first

RB LeipzigRB Leipzig

Last 5: 3 wins, no draws, 2 defeats

  1. lost2–3v Manchester City
  2. won2–0at FC Schalke 04
  3. won2–1at Rot-Weiß Essen
  4. won4–0v SV Elversberg
  5. lost1–4at Real Madrid
FC AugsburgFC Augsburg

Last 5: 1 win, 2 draws, 2 defeats

  1. lost1–2v SC Freiburg
  2. won4–2at SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach
  3. drew1–1v Union Berlin
  4. lost3–4at SV Elversberg
  5. drew2–2v Bayern München

Past results

From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.

Trends

  • RB Leipzig won 31 of 44 matches in which they scored first, since 9 Nov 2024.
  • FC Augsburg won 18 of 35 matches in which they scored first, since 10 Nov 2024.
  • RB Leipzig won 6 of the last 10 meetings.
  • Over 2.5 goals in 9 of RB Leipzig's last 10 home league games.

Last meetings

Meetings in the competitions Ledger covers.

10 meetings: RB Leipzig 6, draws 4, FC Augsburg 0

Goals: RB Leipzig 28, FC Augsburg 9

DateMatchScore
7 Mar 2026RB Leipzig v FC Augsburg2–1
25 Oct 2025FC Augsburg v RB Leipzig0–6
14 Feb 2025FC Augsburg v RB Leipzig0–0
28 Sep 2024RB Leipzig v FC Augsburg4–0
10 Feb 2024FC Augsburg v RB Leipzig2–2
16 Sep 2023RB Leipzig v FC Augsburg3–0
15 Apr 2023RB Leipzig v FC Augsburg3–2
22 Oct 2022FC Augsburg v RB Leipzig3–3
8 May 2022RB Leipzig v FC Augsburg4–0
15 Dec 2021FC Augsburg v RB Leipzig1–1

Home and away

RB Leipzig

RB Leipzig at home

Last 5: 4 won, 0 drawn, 1 lost

  • LostManchester CityUEFA Champions League4 Nov 20262–3
  • WonSV Elversberg24 Oct 20264–0
  • WonPSV EindhovenUEFA Champions League13 Oct 20261–0
  • WonEintracht Frankfurt10 Oct 20266–0
  • WonHamburger SV13 Sep 20265–0

RB Leipzig: home league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
33 scored, 5 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
4 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
9 of 10
Clean sheets
6 of 10
FC Augsburg

FC Augsburg away

Last 5: 3 won, 0 drawn, 2 lost

  • WonSG Sonnenhof GrossaspachDFB Pokal27 Oct 20264–2
  • LostSV Elversberg17 Oct 20263–4
  • LostWerder Bremen19 Sep 20262–3
  • WonEintracht Frankfurt6 Sep 20264–1
  • WonEnergie CottbusDFB Pokal22 Aug 20262–0

FC Augsburg: away league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
19 scored, 21 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
8 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
8 of 10
Clean sheets
0 of 10

Rest and schedule

Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.

RB Leipzig
Last match
3 days before4 Nov 2026 · v Manchester City · UEFA Champions League
Next match
14 days after21 Nov 2026 · v Union Berlin · Bundesliga
FC Augsburg
Last match
7 days before31 Oct 2026 · v SC Freiburg · Bundesliga
Next match
Not known

When the score changes

Each team's results from a given score, in its covered competitions. Every figure shows how many matches it covers.

RB Leipzig

Since 9 Nov 2024

ScoreRB LeipzigLeague sides
Scored first31 won, 5 drawn, 8 lost in 44 matches615 won, 199 drawn, 128 lost in 942 matches
Conceded first4 won, 4 drawn, 18 lost in 26 matches128 won, 199 drawn, 615 lost in 942 matches
Level at half-time10 won, 9 drawn, 5 lost in 24 matches209 won, 294 drawn, 209 lost in 712 matches
2+ goals up after 80 minutes20 won, 0 drawn, 0 lost in 20 matches363 won, 2 drawn, 1 lost in 366 matches
Level after 15 minutes26 won, 11 drawn, 16 lost in 53 matches494 won, 366 drawn, 494 lost in 1354 matches
Level after 30 minutes16 won, 10 drawn, 12 lost in 38 matches326 won, 318 drawn, 326 lost in 970 matches

Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.

Goals after 75 minutes
ScoreRB LeipzigLeague sides
All matches26 scored, 28 conceded (76)724 scored, 724 conceded (1992)
When leading after 75 minutes12 scored, 8 conceded (34)302 scored, 271 conceded (743)
When trailing after 75 minutes10 scored, 15 conceded (25)271 scored, 302 conceded (743)

After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 36 times, equalised within 15 minutes 7, by full time 14(league sides: 1,137 times, within 15 minutes 195, by full time 518)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.

FC Augsburg

Since 10 Nov 2024

ScoreFC AugsburgLeague sides
Scored first18 won, 9 drawn, 8 lost in 35 matches615 won, 199 drawn, 128 lost in 942 matches
Conceded first5 won, 3 drawn, 19 lost in 27 matches128 won, 199 drawn, 615 lost in 942 matches
Level at half-time7 won, 12 drawn, 7 lost in 26 matches209 won, 294 drawn, 209 lost in 712 matches
Level after 60 minutes6 won, 11 drawn, 5 lost in 22 matches156 won, 294 drawn, 156 lost in 606 matches
Level after 70 minutes5 won, 12 drawn, 4 lost in 21 matches108 won, 300 drawn, 108 lost in 516 matches
Level after 80 minutes4 won, 15 drawn, 3 lost in 22 matches75 won, 346 drawn, 75 lost in 496 matches
Level after 15 minutes17 won, 16 drawn, 15 lost in 48 matches494 won, 366 drawn, 494 lost in 1354 matches
Level after 30 minutes11 won, 13 drawn, 8 lost in 32 matches326 won, 318 drawn, 326 lost in 970 matches

Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.

Goals after 75 minutes
ScoreFC AugsburgLeague sides
All matches19 scored, 24 conceded (68)724 scored, 724 conceded (1992)
When leading after 75 minutes5 scored, 10 conceded (23)302 scored, 271 conceded (743)
When level after 75 minutes5 scored, 4 conceded (22)151 scored, 151 conceded (506)
When trailing after 75 minutes9 scored, 10 conceded (23)271 scored, 302 conceded (743)

After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 30 times, equalised within 15 minutes 3, by full time 9(league sides: 1,137 times, within 15 minutes 195, by full time 518)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.

League sides: every team in this league since 18 Aug 2023, both venues, each match counted once for each side. Shown for context, not as a comparison.

xG and expected points

Each team's xG and points from its own earlier league matches, before this kick-off. Facts about past matches, not a forecast for this one.

Earlier league matches

RB LeipzigFC Augsburg
67Since 9 Nov 2024Matches with xG67Since 10 Nov 2024
120.37xG for86.82
126Goals scored85
105.69xG against121.77
101Goals conceded107

RB Leipzig

xG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)Last matches with xG, oldest on the left
Show the numbers
RB Leipzig: Last matches with xG, newest first
DateOpponentxG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)
31 Oct 2026at FC Schalke 043.300.582–0
24 Oct 2026v SV Elversberg2.910.684–0
17 Oct 2026at Bayern München0.903.481–6
10 Oct 2026v Eintracht Frankfurt4.031.466–0
20 Sep 2026at Bayer Leverkusen0.972.270–2
13 Sep 2026v Hamburger SV2.431.105–0
5 Sep 2026at Werder Bremen1.500.951–3
29 Aug 2026v Borussia Mönchengladbach3.961.093–0
16 May 2026at SC Freiburg1.241.411–4
9 May 2026v FC St. Pauli1.370.792–1

FC Augsburg

xG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)Last matches with xG, oldest on the left
Show the numbers
FC Augsburg: Last matches with xG, newest first
DateOpponentxG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)
31 Oct 2026v SC Freiburg1.531.451–2
24 Oct 2026v Union Berlin1.911.241–1
17 Oct 2026at SV Elversberg3.513.693–4
10 Oct 2026v Bayern München2.374.962–2
19 Sep 2026at Werder Bremen1.122.782–3
12 Sep 2026v Bayer Leverkusen1.112.642–2
6 Sep 2026at Eintracht Frankfurt1.132.224–1
30 Aug 2026v FC Schalke 043.722.103–0
16 May 2026at Union Berlin0.613.680–4
9 May 2026v Borussia Mönchengladbach2.591.143–1

This league season

Bundesliga matches since 28 Aug 2026.

RB LeipzigFC Augsburg
8 of 8Matches with xG8 of 8
15Points in those matches9
15.36xPts9.08
20.00xG for16.40
11.61xG against21.08

Each figure is a total over the matches shown beside it.

xG: API-Football. xPts: Ledger, from xG with a Poisson model that treats the two teams' goals as independent. That model slightly under-counts draws, so xPts totals come out a little high.

PRO depth

PRO depth: RB Leipzig and FC Augsburg

  • Corners won and concededPRO
  • Shots and shots on target, for and againstPRO
  • Yellow cards, own and opponent'sPRO
  • First-half goals, scored and concededPRO
PRO: these figures for both teams

Injuries and suspensions

Team news was not available for this match.

Published 7 Nov 2026, 13:27 GMT · not changed since

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