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La Liga
Real Betis
2–5Finished
Barcelona
Sat 17 Oct 2026 · 17:30 BSTMatchday 9 · Estadio de la Cartuja, Seville

Real Betis v Barcelona match analysis

This analysis was locked at kick-off on Sat 17 Oct 2026 and has not been changed since.

Pre-match analysis · as published

Written before kick-off

Barcelona are model favourites to win at 54%, with both sides in strong form. The model expects 3.31 goals in the match, with Barcelona projected to dominate possession and chances.

How the match could end · our estimate before kick-off

  • 24%Real Betis win
  • 22%Draw
  • 54%Barcelona win

PRO analysis

The full analysis is part of PRO

PRO members can read the full analysis exactly as it was published: the evidence and the risks behind our estimate.

See PRO plans

Free on every match: kick-off time, our estimate of each result, form, past meetings and whether we found a signal.

Form · newest first

Real BetisReal Betis

Last 5: 4 wins, 1 draw, no defeats

BarcelonaBarcelona

Last 5: 5 wins, no draws, no defeats

Past results

From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.

Trends

  • Real Betis won 33 of 51 matches in which they scored first, since 19 Oct 2024.
  • Barcelona won 59 of 69 matches in which they scored first, since 20 Oct 2024.
  • Barcelona won 8 of the last 10 meetings.
  • Real Betis unbeaten in their last 5 home games.

Last meetings

Meetings in the competitions Ledger covers.

10 meetings: Real Betis 0, draws 2, Barcelona 8

Goals: Real Betis 12, Barcelona 33

DateMatchScore
17 May 2026Barcelona v Real Betis3–1
6 Dec 2025Real Betis v Barcelona3–5
5 Apr 2025Barcelona v Real Betis1–1
15 Jan 2025Barcelona v Real BetisCopa del Rey5–1
7 Dec 2024Real Betis v Barcelona2–2
21 Jan 2024Real Betis v Barcelona2–4
16 Sep 2023Barcelona v Real Betis5–0
29 Apr 2023Barcelona v Real Betis4–0
1 Feb 2023Real Betis v Barcelona1–2
7 May 2022Real Betis v Barcelona1–2

Home and away

Real Betis

Real Betis at home

Last 5: 5 won, 0 drawn, 0 lost

  • WonFC PortoUEFA Champions League14 Oct 20263–2
  • WonOsasuna11 Oct 20265–2
  • WonGetafe17 Sep 20261–0
  • WonReal Madrid4 Sep 20261–0
  • WonReal Sociedad21 Aug 20261–0

Real Betis: home league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
17 scored, 6 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
5 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
4 of 10
Clean sheets
5 of 10
Barcelona

Barcelona away

Last 5: 5 won, 0 drawn, 0 lost

  • WonGalatasarayUEFA Champions League13 Oct 20264–1
  • WonSevilla19 Sep 20263–1
  • WonLevante13 Sep 20264–2
  • WonValencia6 Sep 20265–0
  • WonElche23 Aug 20265–0

Barcelona: away league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
25 scored, 9 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
5 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
7 of 10
Clean sheets
4 of 10

Rest and schedule

Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.

Real Betis
Last match
3 days before14 Oct 2026 · v FC Porto · UEFA Champions League
Next match
4 days after21 Oct 2026 · v Feyenoord · UEFA Champions League
Barcelona
Last match
4 days before13 Oct 2026 · v Galatasaray · UEFA Champions League
Next match
3 days after20 Oct 2026 · v Paris Saint Germain · UEFA Champions League

When the score changes

Each team's results from a given score, in its covered competitions. Every figure shows how many matches it covers.

Real Betis

Since 19 Oct 2024

ScoreReal BetisLeague sides
Scored first33 won, 14 drawn, 4 lost in 51 matches758 won, 246 drawn, 143 lost in 1147 matches
Conceded first9 won, 11 drawn, 15 lost in 35 matches143 won, 246 drawn, 758 lost in 1147 matches
1 goal up at half-time12 won, 7 drawn, 1 lost in 20 matches326 won, 125 drawn, 60 lost in 511 matches
Level at half-time16 won, 11 drawn, 8 lost in 35 matches343 won, 372 drawn, 343 lost in 1058 matches
1 goal up after 60 minutes16 won, 5 drawn, 0 lost in 21 matches363 won, 120 drawn, 38 lost in 521 matches
Level after 60 minutes13 won, 13 drawn, 3 lost in 29 matches264 won, 378 drawn, 264 lost in 906 matches
1 goal up after 70 minutes18 won, 5 drawn, 0 lost in 23 matches394 won, 104 drawn, 26 lost in 524 matches
Level after 70 minutes6 won, 16 drawn, 3 lost in 25 matches206 won, 416 drawn, 206 lost in 828 matches
1 goal up after 80 minutes20 won, 5 drawn, 0 lost in 25 matches409 won, 89 drawn, 12 lost in 510 matches
Level after 80 minutes6 won, 18 drawn, 2 lost in 26 matches152 won, 448 drawn, 152 lost in 752 matches
Level after 15 minutes30 won, 20 drawn, 10 lost in 60 matches640 won, 484 drawn, 640 lost in 1764 matches
1 goal up after 30 minutes18 won, 5 drawn, 0 lost in 23 matches291 won, 101 drawn, 61 lost in 453 matches
Level after 30 minutes18 won, 16 drawn, 7 lost in 41 matches472 won, 420 drawn, 472 lost in 1364 matches
1 goal down after 30 minutes6 won, 6 drawn, 10 lost in 22 matches61 won, 101 drawn, 291 lost in 453 matches

Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.

Goals after 75 minutes
ScoreReal BetisLeague sides
All matches26 scored, 22 conceded (89)789 scored, 789 conceded (2440)
When leading after 75 minutes5 scored, 10 conceded (39)280 scored, 275 conceded (827)
When level after 75 minutes8 scored, 6 conceded (27)234 scored, 234 conceded (786)
When trailing after 75 minutes13 scored, 6 conceded (23)275 scored, 280 conceded (827)

After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 43 times, equalised within 15 minutes 9, by full time 27(league sides: 1,287 times, within 15 minutes 212, by full time 602)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.

Barcelona

Since 20 Oct 2024

ScoreBarcelonaLeague sides
Scored first59 won, 6 drawn, 4 lost in 69 matches758 won, 246 drawn, 143 lost in 1147 matches
Conceded first17 won, 4 drawn, 11 lost in 32 matches143 won, 246 drawn, 758 lost in 1147 matches
2+ goals up at half-time25 won, 0 drawn, 0 lost in 25 matches167 won, 8 drawn, 5 lost in 180 matches
1 goal up at half-time20 won, 3 drawn, 2 lost in 25 matches326 won, 125 drawn, 60 lost in 511 matches
Level at half-time24 won, 5 drawn, 4 lost in 33 matches343 won, 372 drawn, 343 lost in 1058 matches
2+ goals up after 60 minutes30 won, 0 drawn, 0 lost in 30 matches233 won, 10 drawn, 3 lost in 246 matches
1 goal up after 60 minutes28 won, 4 drawn, 1 lost in 33 matches363 won, 120 drawn, 38 lost in 521 matches
Level after 60 minutes15 won, 5 drawn, 4 lost in 24 matches264 won, 378 drawn, 264 lost in 906 matches
2+ goals up after 70 minutes38 won, 1 drawn, 0 lost in 39 matches274 won, 7 drawn, 1 lost in 282 matches
1 goal up after 70 minutes29 won, 0 drawn, 0 lost in 29 matches394 won, 104 drawn, 26 lost in 524 matches
Level after 70 minutes7 won, 8 drawn, 6 lost in 21 matches206 won, 416 drawn, 206 lost in 828 matches
2+ goals up after 80 minutes46 won, 1 drawn, 0 lost in 47 matches327 won, 6 drawn, 1 lost in 334 matches
1 goal up after 80 minutes21 won, 0 drawn, 0 lost in 21 matches409 won, 89 drawn, 12 lost in 510 matches
Level after 80 minutes8 won, 9 drawn, 3 lost in 20 matches152 won, 448 drawn, 152 lost in 752 matches
1 goal up after 15 minutes26 won, 3 drawn, 0 lost in 29 matches190 won, 75 drawn, 58 lost in 323 matches
Level after 15 minutes42 won, 6 drawn, 11 lost in 59 matches640 won, 484 drawn, 640 lost in 1764 matches
1 goal up after 30 minutes20 won, 2 drawn, 2 lost in 24 matches291 won, 101 drawn, 61 lost in 453 matches
Level after 30 minutes32 won, 5 drawn, 7 lost in 44 matches472 won, 420 drawn, 472 lost in 1364 matches

Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.

Goals after 75 minutes
ScoreBarcelonaLeague sides
All matches61 scored, 25 conceded (101)789 scored, 789 conceded (2440)
When leading after 75 minutes43 scored, 13 conceded (70)280 scored, 275 conceded (827)

After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 40 times, equalised within 15 minutes 13, by full time 29(league sides: 1,287 times, within 15 minutes 212, by full time 602)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.

League sides: every team in this league since 11 Aug 2023, both venues, each match counted once for each side. Shown for context, not as a comparison.

xG and expected points

Each team's xG and points from its own earlier league matches, before this kick-off. Facts about past matches, not a forecast for this one.

Earlier league matches

Real BetisBarcelona
75Since 19 Oct 2024Matches with xG75Since 20 Oct 2024
109.62xG for184.70
122Goals scored203
101.81xG against84.64
99Goals conceded73

Real Betis

xG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)Last matches with xG, oldest on the left
Show the numbers
Real Betis: Last matches with xG, newest first
DateOpponentxG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)
11 Oct 2026v Osasuna2.891.945–2
20 Sep 2026at Deportivo La Coruna0.802.091–1
17 Sep 2026v Getafe1.890.291–0
14 Sep 2026at Villarreal3.521.892–1
4 Sep 2026v Real Madrid0.933.461–0
29 Aug 2026at Levante1.922.762–5
25 Aug 2026at Valencia0.711.121–0
21 Aug 2026v Real Sociedad1.241.361–0
23 May 2026v Levante1.512.282–1
17 May 2026at Barcelona0.971.121–3

Barcelona

xG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)Last matches with xG, oldest on the left
Show the numbers
Barcelona: Last matches with xG, newest first
DateOpponentxG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)
10 Oct 2026v Getafe1.930.143–0
19 Sep 2026at Sevilla3.470.403–1
16 Sep 2026v Racing Santander6.741.987–2
13 Sep 2026at Levante2.582.424–2
6 Sep 2026at Valencia4.080.665–0
31 Aug 2026v Rayo Vallecano3.041.215–2
27 Aug 2026v Athletic Club4.230.252–0
23 Aug 2026at Elche4.380.705–0
23 May 2026at Valencia1.521.481–3
17 May 2026v Real Betis1.120.973–1

This league season

La Liga matches since 15 Aug 2026.

Real BetisBarcelona
8 of 8Matches with xG8 of 8
19Points in those matches24
10.72xPts20.72
13.90xG for30.45
14.91xG against7.76

Each figure is a total over the matches shown beside it.

xG: API-Football. xPts: Ledger, from xG with a Poisson model that treats the two teams' goals as independent. That model slightly under-counts draws, so xPts totals come out a little high.

PRO depth

PRO depth: Real Betis and Barcelona

  • Corners won and concededPRO
  • Shots and shots on target, for and againstPRO
  • Yellow cards, own and opponent'sPRO
  • First-half goals, scored and concededPRO
PRO: these figures for both teams

Injuries and suspensions

  • Real BetisReal Betis
    Ruled out
    J. Firpo (Groin Injury) · I. Losada (Inactive) · A. Ruibal (Knee Injury)
  • BarcelonaBarcelona
    Ruled out
    R. Bardghji (Knee Injury) · A. Christensen (Muscle Injury)

Published 17 Oct 2026, 17:22 BST · not changed since

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