LEDGER
Sign inGo PRO
La Liga
Real Betis
2–1Finished
Malaga
Sat 31 Oct 2026 · 17:30 GMTMatchday 11 · Estadio de la Cartuja, Seville

Real Betis v Malaga match analysis

This analysis was locked at kick-off on Sat 31 Oct 2026 and has not been changed since.

Pre-match analysis · as published

Written before kick-off

Real Betis are strong favourites, creating significantly more expected chances than Malaga (2.01 to 0.94). Betis have won two of their last five, though they face Malaga after recent defeats. Malaga arrive depleted by five injuries but showed a win in their last five matches despite heavy squad losses.

How the match could end · our estimate before kick-off

  • 62%Real Betis win
  • 22%Draw
  • 16%Malaga win

PRO analysis

The full analysis is part of PRO

PRO members can read the full analysis exactly as it was published: the evidence and the risks behind our estimate.

See PRO plans

Free on every match: kick-off time, our estimate of each result, form, past meetings and whether we found a signal.

Form · newest first

Real BetisReal Betis

Last 5: 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 defeat

  1. drew0–0at Celta Vigo
  2. won1–0v Feyenoord
  3. lost2–5v Barcelona
  4. won3–2v FC Porto
  5. won5–2v Osasuna
MalagaMalaga

Last 5: 1 win, 2 draws, 2 defeats

  1. won3–0at Alcazar
  2. drew1–1at Alaves
  3. lost2–5v Real Sociedad
  4. drew1–1v Espanyol
  5. lost0–1at Getafe

Head-to-head

Head-to-head data was not available for this match.

Past results

From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.

Trends

  • Real Betis won 32 of 50 matches in which they scored first, since 3 Nov 2024.
  • La Liga, since 11 Aug 2023: home sides leading by one goal after 70 minutes won 254 of 319.

Home and away

Real Betis

Real Betis at home

Last 5: 4 won, 0 drawn, 1 lost

  • WonFeyenoordUEFA Champions League21 Oct 20261–0
  • LostBarcelona17 Oct 20262–5
  • WonFC PortoUEFA Champions League14 Oct 20263–2
  • WonOsasuna11 Oct 20265–2
  • WonGetafe17 Sep 20261–0

Real Betis: home league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
18 scored, 10 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
5 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
5 of 10
Clean sheets
5 of 10
Malaga

Malaga away

Last 5: 1 won, 2 drawn, 2 lost

  • WonAlcazarCopa del Rey27 Oct 20263–0
  • DrawnAlaves23 Oct 20261–1
  • LostGetafe20 Sep 20260–1
  • DrawnCelta Vigo13 Sep 20261–1
  • LostReal Madrid30 Aug 20260–4

Malaga: away league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
15 scored, 13 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
5 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
4 of 10
Clean sheets
2 of 10

Rest and schedule

Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.

Real Betis
Last match
6 days before25 Oct 2026 · v Celta Vigo · La Liga
Next match
4 days after4 Nov 2026 · v Borussia Dortmund · UEFA Champions League
Malaga
Last match
4 days before27 Oct 2026 · v Alcazar · Copa del Rey
Next match
7 days after7 Nov 2026 · v Racing Santander · La Liga

When the score changes

Each team's results from a given score, in its covered competitions since 3 Nov 2024. Every figure shows how many matches it covers.

Real Betis

ScoreReal BetisLeague sides
Scored first32 won, 14 drawn, 4 lost in 50 matches772 won, 248 drawn, 145 lost in 1165 matches
Conceded first9 won, 11 drawn, 16 lost in 36 matches145 won, 248 drawn, 772 lost in 1165 matches
Level at half-time17 won, 12 drawn, 8 lost in 37 matches347 won, 378 drawn, 347 lost in 1072 matches
1 goal up after 60 minutes16 won, 5 drawn, 0 lost in 21 matches372 won, 121 drawn, 39 lost in 532 matches
Level after 60 minutes12 won, 14 drawn, 3 lost in 29 matches265 won, 386 drawn, 265 lost in 916 matches
1 goal up after 70 minutes18 won, 5 drawn, 0 lost in 23 matches401 won, 105 drawn, 26 lost in 532 matches
Level after 70 minutes5 won, 17 drawn, 3 lost in 25 matches209 won, 424 drawn, 209 lost in 842 matches
1 goal up after 80 minutes19 won, 5 drawn, 0 lost in 24 matches415 won, 90 drawn, 12 lost in 517 matches
Level after 80 minutes6 won, 19 drawn, 2 lost in 27 matches155 won, 456 drawn, 155 lost in 766 matches
Level after 15 minutes31 won, 21 drawn, 10 lost in 62 matches652 won, 492 drawn, 652 lost in 1796 matches
1 goal up after 30 minutes16 won, 5 drawn, 0 lost in 21 matches297 won, 102 drawn, 61 lost in 460 matches
Level after 30 minutes19 won, 17 drawn, 8 lost in 44 matches480 won, 428 drawn, 480 lost in 1388 matches
1 goal down after 30 minutes6 won, 6 drawn, 10 lost in 22 matches61 won, 102 drawn, 297 lost in 460 matches

Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.

Goals after 75 minutes
ScoreReal BetisLeague sides
All matches26 scored, 23 conceded (90)801 scored, 801 conceded (2482)
When leading after 75 minutes5 scored, 10 conceded (38)286 scored, 278 conceded (841)
When level after 75 minutes8 scored, 6 conceded (28)237 scored, 237 conceded (800)
When trailing after 75 minutes13 scored, 7 conceded (24)278 scored, 286 conceded (841)

After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 45 times, equalised within 15 minutes 9, by full time 28(league sides: 1,307 times, within 15 minutes 213, by full time 609)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.

League sides: every team in this league since 11 Aug 2023, both venues, each match counted once for each side. Shown for context, not as a comparison.

xG and expected points

Each team's xG and points from its own earlier league matches, before this kick-off. Facts about past matches, not a forecast for this one.

Since 3 Nov 2024

Real BetisMalaga
75Matches with xG—
107.68xG for—
121Goals scored—
103.10xG against—
103Goals conceded—

Real Betis

xG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)Last matches with xG, oldest on the left
Show the numbers
Real Betis: Last matches with xG, newest first
DateOpponentxG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)
25 Oct 2026at Celta Vigo1.150.760–0
17 Oct 2026v Barcelona1.273.132–5
11 Oct 2026v Osasuna2.891.945–2
20 Sep 2026at Deportivo La Coruna0.802.091–1
17 Sep 2026v Getafe1.890.291–0
14 Sep 2026at Villarreal3.521.892–1
4 Sep 2026v Real Madrid0.933.461–0
29 Aug 2026at Levante1.922.762–5
25 Aug 2026at Valencia0.711.121–0
21 Aug 2026v Real Sociedad1.241.361–0

This league season

La Liga matches since 15 Aug 2026.

Real BetisMalaga
10 of 10Matches with xG10 of 10
20Points in those matches5
12.88xPts8.60
16.32xG for8.27
18.80xG against16.72

Each figure is a total over the matches shown beside it.

xG: API-Football. xPts: Ledger, from xG with a Poisson model that treats the two teams' goals as independent. That model slightly under-counts draws, so xPts totals come out a little high.

PRO depth

PRO depth: Real Betis and Malaga

  • Corners won and concededPRO
  • Shots and shots on target, for and againstPRO
  • Yellow cards, own and opponent'sPRO
  • First-half goals, scored and concededPRO
PRO: these figures for both teams

Injuries and suspensions

  • Real BetisReal Betis
    Ruled out
    F. Bernal (Red Card) · J. Firpo (Groin Injury) · C. Hernandez (Calf Injury) · I. Losada (Coach's decision)
  • MalagaMalaga
    Ruled out
    J. Cruz (Muscle Injury) · J. Lobete (Knee Injury) · P. Martinez (Foot Injury) · J. Munoz (Calf Injury) · D. Murillo (Knee Injury) · A. Ochoa (Knee Injury)
    Doubtful
    A. Recio (Illness)

Published 31 Oct 2026, 16:28 GMT · not changed since

All fixtures