Real Sociedad v Deportivo La Coruna match analysis
This analysis was locked at kick-off on Sun 11 Oct 2026 and has not been changed since.
Pre-match analysis · as published
Written before kick-off
Real Sociedad are slight favourites at 41% to beat Deportivo La Coruna, with a draw at 28% and an away win at 31%. The model expects 2.65 goals, though both teams face multiple injury absences that could reshape the encounter.
How the match could end · our estimate before kick-off
- 41%Real Sociedad win
- 28%Draw
- 31%Deportivo La Coruna win
PRO analysis
The full analysis is part of PRO
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Form · newest first
Real SociedadLast 5: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 defeats
Deportivo La CorunaLast 5: 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 defeat
Head-to-head
Head-to-head data was not available for this match.
Past results
From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.
Trends
- La Liga, since 11 Aug 2023: home sides leading by one goal after 70 minutes won 247 of 311.
- Deportivo La Coruna unbeaten in their last 5 away games.
- Over 2.5 goals in 7 of Real Sociedad's last 10 home league games.
- Under 2.5 goals in 7 of Deportivo La Coruna's last 10 away league games.
Home and away
Real SociedadReal Sociedad at home
Last 5: 1 won, 1 drawn, 3 lost
- LostBournemouthUEFA Europa League17 Sep 20261–2
- LostAtletico Madrid13 Sep 20260–3
- DrawnCelta Vigo3 Sep 20260–0
- WonEspanyol29 Aug 20262–1
- LostValencia17 May 20263–4
Real Sociedad: home league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 18 scored, 18 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 6 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 7 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 10
Deportivo La CorunaDeportivo La Coruna away
Last 5: 3 won, 2 drawn, 0 lost
- DrawnGetafe13 Sep 20261–1
- WonVillarreal5 Sep 20263–2
- DrawnMalaga24 Aug 20261–1
- WonValladolidSegunda División24 May 20262–0
- WonCadizSegunda División8 May 20261–0
Deportivo La Coruna: away league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 16 scored, 10 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 8 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 3 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 10
Rest and schedule
Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.
Real Sociedad- Last match
- 21 days before20 Sep 2026 · v Valencia · La Liga
- Next match
- 4 days after15 Oct 2026 · v Union St. Gilloise · UEFA Europa League
Deportivo La Coruna- Last match
- 21 days before20 Sep 2026 · v Real Betis · La Liga
- Next match
- 5 days after16 Oct 2026 · v Levante · La Liga
xG and expected points
Each team's xG and points from its own earlier league matches, before this kick-off. Facts about past matches, not a forecast for this one.
Since 19 Oct 2024
| Real Sociedad | Deportivo La Coruna | |
|---|---|---|
| 74 | Matches with xG | — |
| 93.96 | xG for | — |
| 96 | Goals scored | — |
| 101.98 | xG against | — |
| 112 | Goals conceded | — |
Real Sociedad
Show the numbers
| Date | Opponent | xG for | xG against | Goals (tick; no tick = 0) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep 2026 | — | 2.65 | 1.55 | 3–2 |
| 13 Sep 2026 | — | 0.27 | 2.05 | 0–3 |
| 7 Sep 2026 | — | 0.58 | 2.47 | 3–2 |
| 3 Sep 2026 | — | 1.05 | 0.43 | 0–0 |
| 29 Aug 2026 | — | 1.82 | 0.77 | 2–1 |
| 26 Aug 2026 | — | 0.57 | 3.14 | 1–4 |
| 21 Aug 2026 | — | 1.36 | 1.24 | 0–1 |
| 23 May 2026 | — | 1.40 | 2.41 | 1–1 |
| 17 May 2026 | — | 1.15 | 1.67 | 3–4 |
| 14 May 2026 | — | 0.33 | 2.11 | 1–1 |
This league season
La Liga matches since 15 Aug 2026.
| Real Sociedad | Deportivo La Coruna | |
|---|---|---|
| 7 of 7 | Matches with xG | 7 of 7 |
| 10 | Points in those matches | 10 |
| 8.26 | xPts | 8.21 |
| 8.30 | xG for | 6.77 |
| 11.65 | xG against | 8.03 |
Each figure is a total over the matches shown beside it.
xG: API-Football. xPts: Ledger, from xG with a Poisson model that treats the two teams' goals as independent. That model slightly under-counts draws, so xPts totals come out a little high.
PRO depth
PRO depth: Real Sociedad and Deportivo La Coruna
- Corners won and concededPRO
- Shots and shots on target, for and againstPRO
- Yellow cards, own and opponent'sPRO
- First-half goals, scored and concededPRO
Injuries and suspensions
- Ruled out
- J. Aramburu (Muscle Injury) · A. Odriozola (Knee Injury) · O. Oskarsson (Red Card)
- Ruled out
- P. Aubameyang (Knee Injury) · M. Casado (Collarbone injury) · Z. Eddahchouri (Wrist Injury)
Published 11 Oct 2026, 14:52 BST · not changed since
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