Real Sociedad v Levante match analysis
This analysis was locked at kick-off on Sun 25 Oct 2026 and has not been changed since.
Pre-match analysis · as published
Written before kick-off
Real Sociedad are heavily favoured at home with a 57% winning chance against a Levante side in poor form. The hosts have won four of their last five and lead recent head-to-head records, though injuries to three defenders could provide Levante with opportunities.
How the match could end · our estimate before kick-off
- 57%Real Sociedad win
- 23%Draw
- 20%Levante win
PRO analysis
The full analysis is part of PRO
PRO members can read the full analysis exactly as it was published: the evidence and the risks behind our estimate.
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Form · newest first
Real SociedadLast 5: 4 wins, 1 draw, no defeats
LevanteLast 5: 1 win, 2 draws, 2 defeats
Past results
From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.
Trends
- La Liga, since 11 Aug 2023: home sides leading by one goal after 70 minutes won 252 of 317.
- Levante avoided defeat in 7 of 27 matches in which their opponent scored first, since 16 Aug 2025.
- Real Sociedad won 2 of the last 4 meetings.
- Levante without a win in their last 5 away games.
Last meetings
Meetings in the competitions Ledger covers.
4 meetings: Real Sociedad 2, draws 1, Levante 1
Goals: Real Sociedad 5, Levante 3
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 4 Apr 2026 | Real Sociedad v Levante | 2–0 |
| 20 Dec 2025 | Levante v Real Sociedad | 1–1 |
| 6 May 2022 | Levante v Real Sociedad | 2–1 |
| 28 Aug 2021 | Real Sociedad v Levante | 1–0 |
Home and away
Real SociedadReal Sociedad at home
Last 5: 2 won, 1 drawn, 2 lost
- WonDeportivo La Coruna11 Oct 20263–2
- LostBournemouthUEFA Europa League17 Sep 20261–2
- LostAtletico Madrid13 Sep 20260–3
- DrawnCelta Vigo3 Sep 20260–0
- WonEspanyol29 Aug 20262–1
Real Sociedad: home league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 18 scored, 17 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 6 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 7 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 10
LevanteLevante away
Last 5: 0 won, 3 drawn, 2 lost
- DrawnDeportivo La Coruna16 Oct 20261–1
- LostVillarreal20 Sep 20261–3
- DrawnMalaga6 Sep 20260–0
- DrawnOsasuna24 Aug 20260–0
- LostEspanyol16 Aug 20260–3
Levante: away league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 7 scored, 18 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 5 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 5 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 10
Rest and schedule
Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.
Real Sociedad- Last match
- 3 days before22 Oct 2026 · v Lillestrom · UEFA Europa League
- Next match
- 7 days after1 Nov 2026 · v Athletic Club · La Liga
Levante- Last match
- 4 days before21 Oct 2026 · v Athletic Club · La Liga
- Next match
- 6 days after31 Oct 2026 · v Atletico Madrid · La Liga
When the score changes
Each team's results from a given score, in its covered competitions since 16 Aug 2025. Every figure shows how many matches it covers.
Levante
| Score | Levante | League sides |
|---|---|---|
| Conceded first | 3 won, 4 drawn, 20 lost in 27 matches | 145 won, 248 drawn, 767 lost in 1160 matches |
| Level at half-time | 6 won, 7 drawn, 8 lost in 21 matches | 346 won, 376 drawn, 346 lost in 1068 matches |
| Level after 15 minutes | 9 won, 11 drawn, 12 lost in 32 matches | 648 won, 490 drawn, 648 lost in 1786 matches |
| Level after 30 minutes | 6 won, 9 drawn, 10 lost in 25 matches | 477 won, 426 drawn, 477 lost in 1380 matches |
Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.
| Score | Levante | League sides |
|---|---|---|
| All matches | 21 scored, 21 conceded (47) | 799 scored, 799 conceded (2470) |
| When trailing after 75 minutes | 8 scored, 12 conceded (20) | 278 scored, 285 conceded (837) |
After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 31 times, equalised within 15 minutes 5, by full time 14(league sides: 1,301 times, within 15 minutes 213, by full time 607)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.
League sides: every team in this league since 11 Aug 2023, both venues, each match counted once for each side. Shown for context, not as a comparison.
xG and expected points
Each team's xG and points from its own earlier league matches, before this kick-off. Facts about past matches, not a forecast for this one.
Earlier league matches
| Real Sociedad | Levante | |
|---|---|---|
| 75Since 27 Oct 2024 | Matches with xG | 47Since 16 Aug 2025 |
| 96.10 | xG for | 65.04 |
| 103 | Goals scored | 62 |
| 104.96 | xG against | 78.16 |
| 116 | Goals conceded | 78 |
Real Sociedad
Show the numbers
| Date | Opponent | xG for | xG against | Goals (tick; no tick = 0) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct 2026 | at Malaga | 2.44 | 1.24 | 5–2 |
| 11 Oct 2026 | v Deportivo La Coruna | 1.44 | 2.13 | 3–2 |
| 20 Sep 2026 | at Valencia | 2.65 | 1.55 | 3–2 |
| 13 Sep 2026 | v Atletico Madrid | 0.27 | 2.05 | 0–3 |
| 7 Sep 2026 | at Elche | 0.58 | 2.47 | 3–2 |
| 3 Sep 2026 | v Celta Vigo | 1.05 | 0.43 | 0–0 |
| 29 Aug 2026 | v Espanyol | 1.82 | 0.77 | 2–1 |
| 26 Aug 2026 | at Real Madrid | 0.57 | 3.14 | 1–4 |
| 21 Aug 2026 | at Real Betis | 1.36 | 1.24 | 0–1 |
| 23 May 2026 | at Espanyol | 1.40 | 2.41 | 1–1 |
Levante
Show the numbers
| Date | Opponent | xG for | xG against | Goals (tick; no tick = 0) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct 2026 | v Athletic Club | 2.04 | 1.95 | 3–1 |
| 16 Oct 2026 | at Deportivo La Coruna | 0.85 | 1.15 | 1–1 |
| 12 Oct 2026 | v Sevilla | 1.82 | 2.20 | 3–3 |
| 20 Sep 2026 | at Villarreal | 0.45 | 4.27 | 1–3 |
| 13 Sep 2026 | v Barcelona | 2.42 | 2.58 | 2–4 |
| 6 Sep 2026 | at Malaga | 0.81 | 1.46 | 0–0 |
| 29 Aug 2026 | v Real Betis | 2.76 | 1.92 | 5–2 |
| 24 Aug 2026 | at Osasuna | 1.28 | 0.70 | 0–0 |
| 16 Aug 2026 | at Espanyol | 0.28 | 1.55 | 0–3 |
| 23 May 2026 | at Real Betis | 2.28 | 1.51 | 1–2 |
This league season
La Liga matches since 15 Aug 2026.
| Real Sociedad | Levante | |
|---|---|---|
| 9 of 9 | Matches with xG | 9 of 9 |
| 16 | Points in those matches | 10 |
| 11.33 | xPts | 10.11 |
| 12.18 | xG for | 12.71 |
| 15.02 | xG against | 17.78 |
Each figure is a total over the matches shown beside it.
xG: API-Football. xPts: Ledger, from xG with a Poisson model that treats the two teams' goals as independent. That model slightly under-counts draws, so xPts totals come out a little high.
PRO depth
PRO depth: Real Sociedad and Levante
- Corners won and concededPRO
- Shots and shots on target, for and againstPRO
- Yellow cards, own and opponent'sPRO
- First-half goals, scored and concededPRO
Injuries and suspensions
- Ruled out
- L. Beitia (Ankle Injury) · A. Odriozola (Knee Injury)
- Ruled out
- E. Bardeli (Muscle Injury) · Dela (Overload)
Published 25 Oct 2026, 16:28 GMT · not changed since
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