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Ligue 1
Rennes
4–1Finished
Auxerre
Sun 11 Oct 2026 · 16:15 BSTMatchday 6

Rennes v Auxerre match analysis

This analysis was locked at kick-off on Sun 11 Oct 2026 and has not been changed since.

Pre-match analysis · as published

Written before kick-off

Rennes are slight favourites to beat depleted Auxerre, with a model estimate of 51% for a home win. The hosts boast better form and are expected to dominate possession metrics, but Auxerre's recent 4-0 home victory over Rennes shows they remain capable of surprises.

How the match could end · our estimate before kick-off

  • 51%Rennes win
  • 25%Draw
  • 24%Auxerre win

PRO analysis

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PRO members can read the full analysis exactly as it was published: the evidence and the risks behind our estimate.

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Free on every match: kick-off time, our estimate of each result, form, past meetings and whether we found a signal.

Form · newest first

RennesRennes

Last 5: 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 defeat

AuxerreAuxerre

Last 5: 2 wins, no draws, 3 defeats

Past results

From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.

Trends

  • Rennes won 27 of 36 matches in which they scored first, since 19 Oct 2024.
  • Auxerre won 17 of 28 matches in which they scored first, since 20 Oct 2024.
  • Rennes unbeaten in their last 5 home games.
  • Over 2.5 goals in 7 of Rennes's last 10 home league games.

Last meetings

Meetings in the competitions Ledger covers.

6 meetings: Rennes 2, draws 2, Auxerre 2

Goals: Rennes 10, Auxerre 7

DateMatchScore
22 Feb 2026Auxerre v Rennes0–3
19 Oct 2025Rennes v Auxerre2–2
6 Apr 2025Rennes v Auxerre0–1
3 Nov 2024Auxerre v Rennes4–0
11 Mar 2023Auxerre v Rennes0–0
11 Sep 2022Rennes v Auxerre5–0

Home and away

Rennes

Rennes at home

Last 5: 4 won, 1 drawn, 0 lost

  • WonMarseille11 Sep 20261–0
  • WonLe Mans30 Aug 20263–2
  • DrawnParis Saint Germain23 Aug 20262–2
  • WonParis FC10 May 20262–1
  • WonNantes26 Apr 20262–1

Rennes: home league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
17 scored, 10 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
7 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
7 of 10
Clean sheets
3 of 10
Auxerre

Auxerre away

Last 5: 1 won, 1 drawn, 3 lost

  • LostLyon4 Sep 20261–3
  • LostLens22 Aug 20262–5
  • WonLille17 May 20262–0
  • LostLyon25 Apr 20262–3
  • DrawnMonaco19 Apr 20262–2

Auxerre: away league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
15 scored, 18 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
7 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
6 of 10
Clean sheets
2 of 10

Rest and schedule

Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.

Rennes
Last match
22 days before19 Sep 2026 · v Lyon · Ligue 1
Next match
4 days after15 Oct 2026 · v OFI · UEFA Europa League
Auxerre
Last match
21 days before20 Sep 2026 · v Stade Brestois 29 · Ligue 1
Next match
7 days after18 Oct 2026 · v Le Havre · Ligue 1

When the score changes

Each team's results from a given score, in its covered competitions. Every figure shows how many matches it covers.

Rennes

Since 19 Oct 2024

ScoreRennesLeague sides
Scored first27 won, 5 drawn, 4 lost in 36 matches632 won, 165 drawn, 109 lost in 906 matches
Conceded first4 won, 3 drawn, 21 lost in 28 matches109 won, 165 drawn, 632 lost in 906 matches
Level at half-time8 won, 7 drawn, 7 lost in 22 matches250 won, 276 drawn, 250 lost in 776 matches
Level after 15 minutes17 won, 8 drawn, 14 lost in 39 matches509 won, 354 drawn, 509 lost in 1372 matches
Level after 30 minutes11 won, 7 drawn, 11 lost in 29 matches343 won, 314 drawn, 343 lost in 1000 matches

Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.

Goals after 75 minutes
ScoreRennesLeague sides
All matches24 scored, 22 conceded (67)643 scored, 643 conceded (1950)
When leading after 75 minutes10 scored, 6 conceded (28)270 scored, 219 conceded (701)
When trailing after 75 minutes8 scored, 11 conceded (24)219 scored, 270 conceded (701)

After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 32 times, equalised within 15 minutes 4, by full time 11(league sides: 1,054 times, within 15 minutes 158, by full time 460)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.

Auxerre

Since 20 Oct 2024

ScoreAuxerreLeague sides
Scored first17 won, 8 drawn, 3 lost in 28 matches632 won, 165 drawn, 109 lost in 906 matches
Conceded first2 won, 4 drawn, 25 lost in 31 matches109 won, 165 drawn, 632 lost in 906 matches
Level at half-time6 won, 13 drawn, 12 lost in 31 matches250 won, 276 drawn, 250 lost in 776 matches
Level after 60 minutes6 won, 15 drawn, 10 lost in 31 matches175 won, 282 drawn, 175 lost in 632 matches
Level after 70 minutes5 won, 15 drawn, 4 lost in 24 matches139 won, 296 drawn, 139 lost in 574 matches
Level after 80 minutes4 won, 17 drawn, 3 lost in 24 matches116 won, 332 drawn, 116 lost in 564 matches
Level after 15 minutes14 won, 15 drawn, 20 lost in 49 matches509 won, 354 drawn, 509 lost in 1372 matches
Level after 30 minutes11 won, 15 drawn, 14 lost in 40 matches343 won, 314 drawn, 343 lost in 1000 matches

Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.

Goals after 75 minutes
ScoreAuxerreLeague sides
All matches16 scored, 23 conceded (66)643 scored, 643 conceded (1950)
When level after 75 minutes4 scored, 4 conceded (24)154 scored, 154 conceded (548)
When trailing after 75 minutes4 scored, 9 conceded (23)219 scored, 270 conceded (701)

After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 38 times, equalised within 15 minutes 5, by full time 16(league sides: 1,054 times, within 15 minutes 158, by full time 460)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.

League sides: every team in this league since 11 Aug 2023, both venues, each match counted once for each side. Shown for context, not as a comparison.

xG and expected points

Each team's xG and points from its own earlier league matches, before this kick-off. Facts about past matches, not a forecast for this one.

Earlier league matches

RennesAuxerre
66Since 19 Oct 2024Matches with xG66Since 20 Oct 2024
103.26xG for75.70
107Goals scored80
102.12xG against103.23
98Goals conceded92

Rennes

xG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)Last matches with xG, oldest on the left
Show the numbers
Rennes: Last matches with xG, newest first
DateOpponentxG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)
19 Sep 2026at Lyon1.373.130–4
11 Sep 2026v Marseille1.881.341–0
6 Sep 2026at Angers1.541.662–1
30 Aug 2026v Le Mans3.123.063–2
23 Aug 2026v Paris Saint Germain0.872.162–2
17 May 2026at Marseille2.492.921–3
10 May 2026v Paris FC1.771.202–1
3 May 2026at Lyon0.843.172–4
26 Apr 2026v Nantes1.302.172–1
19 Apr 2026at Strasbourg4.251.003–0

Auxerre

xG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)Last matches with xG, oldest on the left
Show the numbers
Auxerre: Last matches with xG, newest first
DateOpponentxG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)
20 Sep 2026v Stade Brestois 290.960.342–1
12 Sep 2026v Nice1.741.081–0
4 Sep 2026at Lyon0.712.851–3
29 Aug 2026v Angers1.811.551–3
22 Aug 2026at Lens1.844.412–5
17 May 2026at Lille0.541.722–0
10 May 2026v Nice0.841.332–1
3 May 2026v Angers2.032.203–1
25 Apr 2026at Lyon0.522.122–3
19 Apr 2026at Monaco0.652.242–2

This league season

Ligue 1 matches since 21 Aug 2026.

RennesAuxerre
5 of 5Matches with xG5 of 5
10Points in those matches6
5.64xPts5.97
8.78xG for7.06
11.35xG against10.23

Each figure is a total over the matches shown beside it.

xG: API-Football. xPts: Ledger, from xG with a Poisson model that treats the two teams' goals as independent. That model slightly under-counts draws, so xPts totals come out a little high.

PRO depth

PRO depth: Rennes and Auxerre

  • Corners won and concededPRO
  • Shots and shots on target, for and againstPRO
  • Yellow cards, own and opponent'sPRO
  • First-half goals, scored and concededPRO
PRO: these figures for both teams

Injuries and suspensions

  • RennesRennesNo injuries or suspensions reported.
  • AuxerreAuxerre
    Ruled out
    A. Diousse (Knee Injury) · S. Fofana (Groin Injury) · C. Makosso (Yellow Cards) · R. Mandengue (Muscle Injury) · B. Okoh (Knee Injury) · M. Senaya (Hamstring Injury) · T. Siwe (Muscle Injury)

Published 11 Oct 2026, 15:13 BST · not changed since

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