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Ligue 1
Rennes
3–0Finished
Strasbourg
Sun 25 Oct 2026 · 16:15 GMTMatchday 8 · Roazhon Park, Rennes

Rennes v Strasbourg match analysis

This analysis was locked at kick-off on Sun 25 Oct 2026 and has not been changed since.

Pre-match analysis · as published

How the match could end · our estimate before kick-off

  • 45%Rennes win
  • 24%Draw
  • 31%Strasbourg win

PRO analysis

The full analysis is part of PRO

PRO members can read the full analysis exactly as it was published: the evidence and the risks behind our estimate.

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Free on every match: kick-off time, our estimate of each result, form, past meetings and whether we found a signal.

Form · newest first

RennesRennes

Last 5: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 defeats

StrasbourgStrasbourg

Last 5: 1 win, 1 draw, 3 defeats

Past results

From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.

Trends

  • Rennes won 28 of 37 matches in which they scored first, since 25 Oct 2024.
  • Ligue 1, since 11 Aug 2023: home sides leading by one goal after 70 minutes won 183 of 235.
  • Rennes won 6 of the last 10 meetings.
  • Rennes unbeaten in their last 5 home games.

Last meetings

Meetings in the competitions Ledger covers.

10 meetings: Rennes 6, draws 1, Strasbourg 3

Goals: Rennes 18, Strasbourg 10

DateMatchScore
19 Apr 2026Strasbourg v Rennes0–3
2 Nov 2025Rennes v Strasbourg4–1
2 Feb 2025Rennes v Strasbourg1–0
25 Aug 2024Strasbourg v Rennes3–1
31 Mar 2024Strasbourg v Rennes2–0
29 Oct 2023Rennes v Strasbourg1–1
1 Feb 2023Rennes v Strasbourg3–0
1 Oct 2022Strasbourg v Rennes1–3
20 Apr 2022Strasbourg v Rennes2–1
24 Oct 2021Rennes v Strasbourg1–0

Home and away

Rennes

Rennes at home

Last 5: 4 won, 1 drawn, 0 lost

  • WonOFIUEFA Europa League15 Oct 20262–1
  • WonAuxerre11 Oct 20264–1
  • WonMarseille11 Sep 20261–0
  • WonLe Mans30 Aug 20263–2
  • DrawnParis Saint Germain23 Aug 20262–2

Rennes: home league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
18 scored, 10 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
7 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
7 of 10
Clean sheets
3 of 10
Strasbourg

Strasbourg away

Last 5: 2 won, 0 drawn, 3 lost

  • LostNice11 Oct 20261–2
  • LostParis FC19 Sep 20261–2
  • WonEstac Troyes6 Sep 20266–2
  • LostMarseille21 Aug 20260–4
  • WonStade Brestois 2913 May 20262–1

Strasbourg: away league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
19 scored, 18 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
8 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
8 of 10
Clean sheets
1 of 10

Rest and schedule

Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.

Rennes
Last match
3 days before22 Oct 2026 · v Juventus · UEFA Europa League
Next match
5 days after30 Oct 2026 · v Nice · Ligue 1
Strasbourg
Last match
8 days before17 Oct 2026 · v Paris Saint Germain · Ligue 1
Next match
7 days after1 Nov 2026 · v Auxerre · Ligue 1

When the score changes

Each team's results from a given score, in its covered competitions since 25 Oct 2024. Every figure shows how many matches it covers.

Rennes

ScoreRennesLeague sides
Scored first28 won, 5 drawn, 4 lost in 37 matches639 won, 166 drawn, 115 lost in 920 matches
Conceded first5 won, 3 drawn, 22 lost in 30 matches115 won, 166 drawn, 639 lost in 920 matches
Level at half-time9 won, 6 drawn, 7 lost in 22 matches255 won, 276 drawn, 255 lost in 786 matches
Level after 15 minutes17 won, 8 drawn, 14 lost in 39 matches517 won, 354 drawn, 517 lost in 1388 matches
Level after 30 minutes12 won, 7 drawn, 12 lost in 31 matches352 won, 314 drawn, 352 lost in 1018 matches

Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.

Goals after 75 minutes
ScoreRennesLeague sides
All matches28 scored, 24 conceded (70)659 scored, 659 conceded (1978)
When leading after 75 minutes12 scored, 6 conceded (29)277 scored, 222 conceded (710)
When trailing after 75 minutes9 scored, 11 conceded (24)222 scored, 277 conceded (710)

After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 35 times, equalised within 15 minutes 6, by full time 14(league sides: 1,073 times, within 15 minutes 163, by full time 471)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.

League sides: every team in this league since 11 Aug 2023, both venues, each match counted once for each side. Shown for context, not as a comparison.

xG and expected points

Each team's xG and points from its own earlier league matches, before this kick-off. Facts about past matches, not a forecast for this one.

Earlier league matches

RennesStrasbourg
67Since 25 Oct 2024Matches with xG67Since 27 Oct 2024
108.01xG for96.60
113Goals scored110
106.03xG against102.58
102Goals conceded90

Rennes

xG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)Last matches with xG, oldest on the left
Show the numbers
Rennes: Last matches with xG, newest first
DateOpponentxG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)
18 Oct 2026at Paris FC3.353.623–4
11 Oct 2026v Auxerre2.561.764–1
19 Sep 2026at Lyon1.373.130–4
11 Sep 2026v Marseille1.881.341–0
6 Sep 2026at Angers1.541.662–1
30 Aug 2026v Le Mans3.123.063–2
23 Aug 2026v Paris Saint Germain0.872.162–2
17 May 2026at Marseille2.492.921–3
10 May 2026v Paris FC1.771.202–1
3 May 2026at Lyon0.843.172–4

Strasbourg

xG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)Last matches with xG, oldest on the left
Show the numbers
Strasbourg: Last matches with xG, newest first
DateOpponentxG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)
17 Oct 2026v Paris Saint Germain1.552.751–3
11 Oct 2026at Nice0.631.251–2
19 Sep 2026at Paris FC0.241.051–2
12 Sep 2026v Monaco1.021.051–1
6 Sep 2026at Estac Troyes2.952.946–2
29 Aug 2026v Lens1.832.912–1
21 Aug 2026at Marseille0.181.860–4
17 May 2026v Monaco1.501.135–4
13 May 2026at Stade Brestois 292.023.062–1
10 May 2026at Angers2.020.591–1

This league season

Ligue 1 matches since 21 Aug 2026.

RennesStrasbourg
7 of 7Matches with xG7 of 7
13Points in those matches7
8.79xPts6.10
14.69xG for8.40
16.73xG against13.81

Each figure is a total over the matches shown beside it.

xG: API-Football. xPts: Ledger, from xG with a Poisson model that treats the two teams' goals as independent. That model slightly under-counts draws, so xPts totals come out a little high.

PRO depth

PRO depth: Rennes and Strasbourg

  • Corners won and concededPRO
  • Shots and shots on target, for and againstPRO
  • Yellow cards, own and opponent'sPRO
  • First-half goals, scored and concededPRO
PRO: these figures for both teams

Injuries and suspensions

  • RennesRennes
    Ruled out
    E. Lepaul (Ankle Injury)
  • StrasbourgStrasbourg
    Ruled out
    F. Balde (Leg Injury) · I. Doukoure (Inactive) · S. Nanasi (Injury) · J. Panichelli (Knee Injury)

Published 25 Oct 2026, 15:13 GMT · not changed since

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