Rizespor v Trabzonspor match analysis
This analysis was locked at kick-off on Mon 26 Oct 2026 and has not been changed since.
Pre-match analysis · as published
Written before kick-off
The model gives Trabzonspor a 46% chance of victory, Rizespor 28% and a draw 26%. Trabzonspor have won three of their last five, while Rizespor have lost three of five; Trabzonspor expect to create a gap of 0.41 in expected goals. However, Trabzonspor are missing five players and have two others doubtful, while Rizespor have one absentee.
How the match could end · our estimate before kick-off
- 28%Rizespor win
- 26%Draw
- 46%Trabzonspor win
PRO analysis
The full analysis is part of PRO
PRO members can read the full analysis exactly as it was published: the evidence and the risks behind our estimate.
See PRO plansFree on every match: kick-off time, our estimate of each result, form, past meetings and whether we found a signal.
Form · newest first
RizesporLast 5: 1 win, 1 draw, 3 defeats
TrabzonsporLast 5: 4 wins, no draws, 1 defeat
Past results
From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.
Trends
- Rizespor won 20 of 33 matches in which they scored first, since 2 Nov 2024.
- Trabzonspor won 31 of 42 matches in which they scored first, since 26 Oct 2024.
- Both teams scored in 7 of Trabzonspor's last 10 away league games.
Last meetings
Meetings in the competitions Ledger covers.
8 meetings: Rizespor 4, draws 0, Trabzonspor 4
Goals: Rizespor 12, Trabzonspor 12
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar 2026 | Trabzonspor v Rizespor | 1–0 |
| 18 Oct 2025 | Rizespor v Trabzonspor | 1–2 |
| 13 Apr 2025 | Trabzonspor v Rizespor | 2–0 |
| 9 Nov 2024 | Rizespor v Trabzonspor | 3–1 |
| 25 Jan 2024 | Rizespor v Trabzonspor | 1–0 |
| 26 Aug 2023 | Trabzonspor v Rizespor | 2–3 |
| 18 Mar 2022 | Rizespor v Trabzonspor | 3–2 |
| 29 Oct 2021 | Trabzonspor v Rizespor | 2–1 |
Home and away
RizesporRizespor at home
Last 5: 1 won, 1 drawn, 3 lost
- LostFenerbahçe10 Oct 20260–3
- LostAlanyaspor7 Sep 20260–1
- LostSamsunspor22 Aug 20260–2
- DrawnBeşiktaş15 May 20262–2
- WonKonyaspor1 May 20263–2
Rizespor: home league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 14 scored, 15 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 4 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 6 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 10
TrabzonsporTrabzonspor away
Last 5: 2 won, 0 drawn, 3 lost
- WonKuPSUEFA Europa Conference League15 Oct 20264–2
- WonSamsunspor10 Oct 20263–0
- LostKonyaspor12 Sep 20260–1
- LostAmed31 Aug 20261–2
- LostFerencvarosi TCUEFA Europa League27 Aug 20260–4
Trabzonspor: away league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 15 scored, 10 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 7 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 6 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 10
Rest and schedule
Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.
Rizespor- Last match
- 10 days before16 Oct 2026 · v Çorum FK · Süper Lig
- Next match
- 5 days after31 Oct 2026 · v Kocaelispor · Süper Lig
Trabzonspor- Last match
- 4 days before22 Oct 2026 · v Heart Of Midlothian · UEFA Europa Conference League
- Next match
- 6 days after1 Nov 2026 · v Gaziantep FK · Süper Lig
When the score changes
Each team's results from a given score, in its covered competitions. Every figure shows how many matches it covers.
Rizespor
Since 2 Nov 2024
| Score | Rizespor | League sides |
|---|---|---|
| Scored first | 20 won, 8 drawn, 5 lost in 33 matches | 676 won, 198 drawn, 147 lost in 1021 matches |
| Conceded first | 5 won, 5 drawn, 24 lost in 34 matches | 147 won, 198 drawn, 676 lost in 1021 matches |
| Level at half-time | 11 won, 10 drawn, 10 lost in 31 matches | 274 won, 326 drawn, 274 lost in 874 matches |
| Level after 60 minutes | 9 won, 9 drawn, 9 lost in 27 matches | 199 won, 338 drawn, 199 lost in 736 matches |
| Level after 70 minutes | 9 won, 10 drawn, 5 lost in 24 matches | 159 won, 380 drawn, 159 lost in 698 matches |
| Level after 80 minutes | 5 won, 12 drawn, 4 lost in 21 matches | 120 won, 416 drawn, 120 lost in 656 matches |
| Level after 15 minutes | 19 won, 12 drawn, 22 lost in 53 matches | 554 won, 460 drawn, 554 lost in 1568 matches |
| Level after 30 minutes | 14 won, 10 drawn, 16 lost in 40 matches | 400 won, 356 drawn, 400 lost in 1156 matches |
Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.
| Score | Rizespor | League sides |
|---|---|---|
| All matches | 29 scored, 33 conceded (69) | 748 scored, 748 conceded (2212) |
| When leading after 75 minutes | 13 scored, 13 conceded (21) | 295 scored, 260 conceded (770) |
| When level after 75 minutes | 9 scored, 9 conceded (24) | 193 scored, 193 conceded (672) |
| When trailing after 75 minutes | 7 scored, 11 conceded (24) | 260 scored, 295 conceded (770) |
After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 37 times, equalised within 15 minutes 3, by full time 16(league sides: 1,177 times, within 15 minutes 204, by full time 524)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.
Trabzonspor
Since 26 Oct 2024
| Score | Trabzonspor | League sides |
|---|---|---|
| Scored first | 31 won, 5 drawn, 6 lost in 42 matches | 676 won, 198 drawn, 147 lost in 1021 matches |
| Conceded first | 5 won, 9 drawn, 14 lost in 28 matches | 147 won, 198 drawn, 676 lost in 1021 matches |
| Level at half-time | 14 won, 5 drawn, 8 lost in 27 matches | 274 won, 326 drawn, 274 lost in 874 matches |
| Level after 60 minutes | 6 won, 7 drawn, 8 lost in 21 matches | 199 won, 338 drawn, 199 lost in 736 matches |
| Level after 15 minutes | 24 won, 14 drawn, 15 lost in 53 matches | 554 won, 460 drawn, 554 lost in 1568 matches |
| Level after 30 minutes | 17 won, 10 drawn, 9 lost in 36 matches | 400 won, 356 drawn, 400 lost in 1156 matches |
Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.
| Score | Trabzonspor | League sides |
|---|---|---|
| All matches | 26 scored, 22 conceded (72) | 748 scored, 748 conceded (2212) |
| When leading after 75 minutes | 12 scored, 8 conceded (34) | 295 scored, 260 conceded (770) |
| When trailing after 75 minutes | 11 scored, 9 conceded (21) | 260 scored, 295 conceded (770) |
After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 38 times, equalised within 15 minutes 8, by full time 23(league sides: 1,177 times, within 15 minutes 204, by full time 524)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.
League sides: every team in this league since 11 Aug 2023, both venues, each match counted once for each side. Shown for context, not as a comparison.
xG and expected points
Each team's xG and points from its own earlier league matches, before this kick-off. Facts about past matches, not a forecast for this one.
Earlier league matches
| Rizespor | Trabzonspor | |
|---|---|---|
| 69Since 2 Nov 2024 | Matches with xG | 70Since 26 Oct 2024 |
| 101.09 | xG for | 108.08 |
| 100 | Goals scored | 129 |
| 87.31 | xG against | 97.45 |
| 105 | Goals conceded | 83 |
Rizespor
Show the numbers
| Date | Opponent | xG for | xG against | Goals (tick; no tick = 0) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct 2026 | at Çorum FK | 0.81 | 0.66 | 1–2 |
| 10 Oct 2026 | v Fenerbahçe | 1.52 | 0.96 | 0–3 |
| 20 Sep 2026 | at Göztepe | 0.78 | 2.78 | 2–2 |
| 12 Sep 2026 | at Eyüpspor | 2.05 | 1.42 | 2–0 |
| 7 Sep 2026 | v Alanyaspor | 1.28 | 2.07 | 0–1 |
| 29 Aug 2026 | at Gaziantep FK | 1.17 | 0.79 | 2–1 |
| 22 Aug 2026 | v Samsunspor | 1.85 | 0.33 | 0–2 |
| 15 Aug 2026 | at Konyaspor | 1.52 | 0.62 | 1–0 |
| 15 May 2026 | v Beşiktaş | 2.87 | 1.82 | 2–2 |
| 9 May 2026 | at Eyüpspor | 0.75 | 1.67 | 0–4 |
Trabzonspor
Show the numbers
| Date | Opponent | xG for | xG against | Goals (tick; no tick = 0) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct 2026 | v Beşiktaş | 2.35 | 1.19 | 2–0 |
| 10 Oct 2026 | at Samsunspor | 2.02 | 1.66 | 3–0 |
| 19 Sep 2026 | v Galatasaray | 2.20 | 0.96 | 4–0 |
| 12 Sep 2026 | at Konyaspor | 0.83 | 1.01 | 0–1 |
| 6 Sep 2026 | v Gençlerbirliği S.K. | 3.21 | 0.86 | 5–0 |
| 31 Aug 2026 | at Amed | 0.93 | 2.69 | 1–2 |
| 23 Aug 2026 | v Başakşehir | 2.27 | 1.95 | 2–1 |
| 15 Aug 2026 | at Kasımpaşa | 0.85 | 1.86 | 1–1 |
| 17 May 2026 | v Gençlerbirliği S.K. | 0.57 | 1.58 | 0–3 |
| 9 May 2026 | at Beşiktaş | 0.69 | 2.22 | 2–1 |
This league season
Süper Lig matches since 14 Aug 2026.
| Rizespor | Trabzonspor | |
|---|---|---|
| 8 of 8 | Matches with xG | 8 of 8 |
| 10 | Points in those matches | 16 |
| 12.39 | xPts | 12.40 |
| 10.98 | xG for | 14.66 |
| 9.63 | xG against | 12.18 |
Each figure is a total over the matches shown beside it.
xG: API-Football. xPts: Ledger, from xG with a Poisson model that treats the two teams' goals as independent. That model slightly under-counts draws, so xPts totals come out a little high.
PRO depth
PRO depth: Rizespor and Trabzonspor
- Corners won and concededPRO
- Shots and shots on target, for and againstPRO
- Yellow cards, own and opponent'sPRO
- First-half goals, scored and concededPRO
Injuries and suspensions
- Ruled out
- K. Alikulov (Knee Injury)
- Ruled out
- A. Batagov (Knee Injury) · O. Cevikkan (Tendon Injury) · R. Malinovskyi (Knee Injury) · P. Onuachu (Muscle Injury) · O. Yokuslu (Knee Injury)
- Doubtful
- S. Savic (Inactive) · N. Saviolo (Injury)
Published 26 Oct 2026, 13:13 GMT · not changed since
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