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Süper Lig
Samsunspor
0–3Finished
Trabzonspor
Sat 10 Oct 2026 · 14:00 BST

Samsunspor v Trabzonspor match analysis

This analysis was locked at kick-off on Sat 10 Oct 2026 and has not been changed since.

Pre-match analysis · as published

How the match could end · our estimate before kick-off

  • 35%Samsunspor win
  • 27%Draw
  • 38%Trabzonspor win

PRO analysis

The full analysis is part of PRO

PRO members can read the full analysis exactly as it was published: the evidence and the risks behind our estimate.

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Free on every match: kick-off time, our estimate of each result, form, past meetings and whether we found a signal.

Form · newest first

SamsunsporSamsunspor

Last 5: 1 win, no draws, 4 defeats

TrabzonsporTrabzonspor

Last 5: 2 wins, no draws, 3 defeats

Past results

From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.

Trends

  • Samsunspor won 21 of 30 matches in which they scored first, since 20 Oct 2024.
  • Trabzonspor won 30 of 41 matches in which they scored first, since 19 Oct 2024.
  • Over 2.5 goals in 8 of Samsunspor's last 10 home league games.
  • Both teams scored in 7 of Trabzonspor's last 10 away league games.

Last meetings

Meetings in the competitions Ledger covers.

6 meetings: Samsunspor 2, draws 2, Trabzonspor 2

Goals: Samsunspor 9, Trabzonspor 10

DateMatchScore
7 Feb 2026Samsunspor v Trabzonspor0–3
31 Aug 2025Trabzonspor v Samsunspor1–1
25 May 2025Trabzonspor v Samsunspor2–2
4 Jan 2025Samsunspor v Trabzonspor2–1
4 May 2024Samsunspor v Trabzonspor3–1
11 Jan 2024Trabzonspor v Samsunspor2–1

Home and away

Samsunspor

Samsunspor at home

Last 5: 2 won, 1 drawn, 2 lost

  • LostÇorum FK12 Sep 20261–5
  • LostFenerbahçe30 Aug 20260–2
  • DrawnGöztepe17 Aug 20263–3
  • WonGöztepe16 May 20263–0
  • WonGalatasaray2 May 20264–1

Samsunspor: home league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
17 scored, 18 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
6 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
8 of 10
Clean sheets
2 of 10
Trabzonspor

Trabzonspor away

Last 5: 1 won, 1 drawn, 3 lost

  • LostKonyaspor12 Sep 20260–1
  • LostAmed31 Aug 20261–2
  • LostFerencvarosi TCUEFA Europa League27 Aug 20260–4
  • DrawnKasımpaşa15 Aug 20261–1
  • WonBeşiktaş9 May 20262–1

Trabzonspor: away league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
15 scored, 10 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
7 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
6 of 10
Clean sheets
2 of 10

Rest and schedule

Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.

Samsunspor
Last match
20 days before20 Sep 2026 · v Erzurumspor FK · Süper Lig
Next match
8 days after18 Oct 2026 · v Kasımpaşa · Süper Lig
Trabzonspor
Last match
21 days before19 Sep 2026 · v Galatasaray · Süper Lig
Next match
5 days after15 Oct 2026 · v KuPS · UEFA Europa Conference League

When the score changes

Each team's results from a given score, in its covered competitions. Every figure shows how many matches it covers.

Samsunspor

Since 20 Oct 2024

ScoreSamsunsporLeague sides
Scored first21 won, 6 drawn, 3 lost in 30 matches658 won, 197 drawn, 145 lost in 1000 matches
Conceded first6 won, 6 drawn, 19 lost in 31 matches145 won, 197 drawn, 658 lost in 1000 matches
1 goal up at half-time15 won, 6 drawn, 1 lost in 22 matches305 won, 108 drawn, 55 lost in 468 matches
Level at half-time6 won, 12 drawn, 4 lost in 22 matches270 won, 322 drawn, 270 lost in 862 matches
Level after 60 minutes6 won, 15 drawn, 3 lost in 24 matches196 won, 332 drawn, 196 lost in 724 matches
Level after 70 minutes7 won, 14 drawn, 2 lost in 23 matches155 won, 376 drawn, 155 lost in 686 matches
Level after 80 minutes6 won, 15 drawn, 1 lost in 22 matches116 won, 412 drawn, 116 lost in 644 matches
Level after 15 minutes18 won, 17 drawn, 14 lost in 49 matches538 won, 454 drawn, 538 lost in 1530 matches
Level after 30 minutes18 won, 14 drawn, 7 lost in 39 matches391 won, 352 drawn, 391 lost in 1134 matches

Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.

Goals after 75 minutes
ScoreSamsunsporLeague sides
All matches27 scored, 24 conceded (70)734 scored, 734 conceded (2166)
When leading after 75 minutes10 scored, 15 conceded (25)288 scored, 258 conceded (754)
When level after 75 minutes5 scored, 1 conceded (20)188 scored, 188 conceded (658)
When trailing after 75 minutes12 scored, 8 conceded (25)258 scored, 288 conceded (754)

After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 36 times, equalised within 15 minutes 5, by full time 18(league sides: 1,156 times, within 15 minutes 202, by full time 518)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.

Trabzonspor

Since 19 Oct 2024

ScoreTrabzonsporLeague sides
Scored first30 won, 5 drawn, 6 lost in 41 matches658 won, 197 drawn, 145 lost in 1000 matches
Conceded first5 won, 9 drawn, 14 lost in 28 matches145 won, 197 drawn, 658 lost in 1000 matches
Level at half-time15 won, 5 drawn, 8 lost in 28 matches270 won, 322 drawn, 270 lost in 862 matches
Level after 60 minutes7 won, 7 drawn, 8 lost in 22 matches196 won, 332 drawn, 196 lost in 724 matches
Level after 70 minutes5 won, 9 drawn, 6 lost in 20 matches155 won, 376 drawn, 155 lost in 686 matches
Level after 80 minutes4 won, 11 drawn, 5 lost in 20 matches116 won, 412 drawn, 116 lost in 644 matches
Level after 15 minutes23 won, 14 drawn, 15 lost in 52 matches538 won, 454 drawn, 538 lost in 1530 matches
Level after 30 minutes18 won, 10 drawn, 9 lost in 37 matches391 won, 352 drawn, 391 lost in 1134 matches

Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.

Goals after 75 minutes
ScoreTrabzonsporLeague sides
All matches27 scored, 22 conceded (71)734 scored, 734 conceded (2166)
When leading after 75 minutes12 scored, 8 conceded (32)288 scored, 258 conceded (754)
When trailing after 75 minutes11 scored, 9 conceded (21)258 scored, 288 conceded (754)

After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 38 times, equalised within 15 minutes 8, by full time 23(league sides: 1,156 times, within 15 minutes 202, by full time 518)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.

League sides: every team in this league since 11 Aug 2023, both venues, each match counted once for each side. Shown for context, not as a comparison.

xG and expected points

Each team's xG and points from its own earlier league matches, before this kick-off. Facts about past matches, not a forecast for this one.

Earlier league matches

SamsunsporTrabzonspor
67Since 20 Oct 2024Matches with xG69Since 19 Oct 2024
87.33xG for104.78
92Goals scored125
82.21xG against95.05
91Goals conceded83

Samsunspor

xG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)Last matches with xG, oldest on the left
Show the numbers
Samsunspor: Last matches with xG, newest first
DateOpponentxG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)
20 Sep 2026at Erzurumspor FK0.360.720–1
12 Sep 2026v Çorum FK1.231.731–5
6 Sep 2026at Kocaelispor1.741.590–1
30 Aug 2026v Fenerbahçe0.461.560–2
22 Aug 2026at Rizespor0.331.852–0
17 Aug 2026v Göztepe2.801.713–3
16 May 2026v Göztepe2.112.203–0
9 May 2026at Başakşehir0.323.310–3
2 May 2026v Galatasaray1.370.894–1
27 Apr 2026at Alanyaspor1.541.103–2

Trabzonspor

xG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)Last matches with xG, oldest on the left
Show the numbers
Trabzonspor: Last matches with xG, newest first
DateOpponentxG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)
19 Sep 2026v Galatasaray2.200.964–0
12 Sep 2026at Konyaspor0.831.010–1
6 Sep 2026v Gençlerbirliği S.K.3.210.865–0
31 Aug 2026at Amed0.932.691–2
23 Aug 2026v Başakşehir2.271.952–1
15 Aug 2026at Kasımpaşa0.851.861–1
17 May 2026v Gençlerbirliği S.K.0.571.580–3
9 May 2026at Beşiktaş0.692.222–1
2 May 2026v Göztepe0.791.541–1
27 Apr 2026at Konyaspor2.111.181–2

Samsunspor: 1 without xG left out

This league season

Süper Lig matches since 14 Aug 2026.

SamsunsporTrabzonspor
6 of 6Matches with xG6 of 6
4Points in those matches10
6.39xPts8.70
6.92xG for10.29
9.16xG against9.33

Each figure is a total over the matches shown beside it.

xG: API-Football. xPts: Ledger, from xG with a Poisson model that treats the two teams' goals as independent. That model slightly under-counts draws, so xPts totals come out a little high.

PRO depth

PRO depth: Samsunspor and Trabzonspor

  • Corners won and concededPRO
  • Shots and shots on target, for and againstPRO
  • Yellow cards, own and opponent'sPRO
  • First-half goals, scored and concededPRO
PRO: these figures for both teams

Injuries and suspensions

  • SamsunsporSamsunsporJ. Assoumou (Muscle Injury) · F. Kaya (Muscle Injury) · O. Ohlenschlaeger (Knee Injury) · A. Sousa (Muscle Injury) · E. Tavsan (Muscle Injury)
  • TrabzonsporTrabzonsporA. Batagov (Knee Injury) · T. Jabol-Folcarelli (Knee Injury) · R. Malinovskyi (Knee Injury)

Published 10 Oct 2026, 12:57 BST · not changed since

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