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Serie A
Sassuolo
2–6Finished
Lazio
Tue 27 Oct 2026 · 17:30 GMTMatchday 9 · Mapei Stadium – Città del Tricolore, Reggio Emilia

Sassuolo v Lazio match analysis

This analysis was locked at kick-off on Tue 27 Oct 2026 and has not been changed since.

Pre-match analysis · as published

Written before kick-off

Lazio arrive in excellent recent form with four wins in five matches, while Sassuolo have slumped with three defeats in their last four. Both teams face substantial injury setbacks that could affect team balance and performance. Expected goals total 2.52, with a gap of 0.26 in Lazio's favour.

How the match could end · our estimate before kick-off

  • 30%Sassuolo win
  • 28%Draw
  • 42%Lazio win

PRO analysis

The full analysis is part of PRO

PRO members can read the full analysis exactly as it was published: the evidence and the risks behind our estimate.

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Free on every match: kick-off time, our estimate of each result, form, past meetings and whether we found a signal.

Form · newest first

SassuoloSassuolo

Last 5: 1 win, 1 draw, 3 defeats

LazioLazio

Last 5: 4 wins, 1 draw, no defeats

Past results

From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.

Trends

  • Sassuolo avoided defeat in 7 of 27 matches in which their opponent scored first, since 23 Aug 2025.
  • Lazio won 36 of 46 matches in which they scored first, since 31 Oct 2024.
  • Lazio won 5 of the last 8 meetings.
  • Sassuolo unbeaten in their last 5 home games.

Last meetings

Meetings in the competitions Ledger covers.

8 meetings: Sassuolo 2, draws 1, Lazio 5

Goals: Sassuolo 6, Lazio 12

DateMatchScore
9 Mar 2026Lazio v Sassuolo2–1
14 Sep 2025Sassuolo v Lazio1–0
26 May 2024Lazio v Sassuolo1–1
21 Oct 2023Sassuolo v Lazio0–2
3 May 2023Lazio v Sassuolo2–0
15 Jan 2023Sassuolo v Lazio0–2
2 Apr 2022Lazio v Sassuolo2–1
12 Dec 2021Sassuolo v Lazio2–1

Home and away

Sassuolo

Sassuolo at home

Last 5: 3 won, 2 drawn, 0 lost

  • DrawnAC Milan11 Oct 20261–1
  • WonJuventus13 Sep 20263–2
  • DrawnFrosinoneCoppa Italia2 Sep 20261–1 PEN
  • WonTorino29 Aug 20262–1
  • WonCesenaCoppa Italia17 Aug 20263–0

Sassuolo: home league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
19 scored, 11 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
7 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
7 of 10
Clean sheets
2 of 10
Lazio

Lazio away

Last 5: 4 won, 0 drawn, 1 lost

  • WonJuventus18 Oct 20263–0
  • WonVenezia19 Sep 20262–0
  • WonUdinese7 Sep 20262–1
  • WonBologna24 Aug 20261–0
  • LostAS Roma17 May 20260–2

Lazio: away league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
14 scored, 7 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
2 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
3 of 10
Clean sheets
5 of 10

Rest and schedule

Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.

Sassuolo
Last match
3 days before24 Oct 2026 · v Como · Serie A
Next match
6 days after2 Nov 2026 · v Fiorentina · Serie A
Lazio
Last match
3 days before24 Oct 2026 · v Parma · Serie A
Next match
5 days after1 Nov 2026 · v Cagliari · Serie A

When the score changes

Each team's results from a given score, in its covered competitions. Every figure shows how many matches it covers.

Sassuolo

Since 23 Aug 2025

ScoreSassuoloLeague sides
Conceded first3 won, 4 drawn, 20 lost in 27 matches125 won, 238 drawn, 762 lost in 1125 matches
Level after 15 minutes12 won, 6 drawn, 13 lost in 31 matches621 won, 538 drawn, 621 lost in 1780 matches
Level after 30 minutes8 won, 6 drawn, 7 lost in 21 matches453 won, 424 drawn, 453 lost in 1330 matches

Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.

Goals after 75 minutes
ScoreSassuoloLeague sides
All matches10 scored, 15 conceded (46)708 scored, 708 conceded (2440)

After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 30 times, equalised within 15 minutes 5, by full time 16(league sides: 1,256 times, within 15 minutes 185, by full time 557)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.

Lazio

Since 31 Oct 2024

ScoreLazioLeague sides
Scored first36 won, 10 drawn, 0 lost in 46 matches762 won, 238 drawn, 125 lost in 1125 matches
Conceded first3 won, 8 drawn, 20 lost in 31 matches125 won, 238 drawn, 762 lost in 1125 matches
1 goal up at half-time18 won, 4 drawn, 0 lost in 22 matches336 won, 123 drawn, 56 lost in 515 matches
Level at half-time14 won, 16 drawn, 4 lost in 34 matches323 won, 394 drawn, 323 lost in 1040 matches
1 goal up after 60 minutes18 won, 6 drawn, 0 lost in 24 matches373 won, 112 drawn, 34 lost in 519 matches
Level after 60 minutes12 won, 13 drawn, 1 lost in 26 matches239 won, 406 drawn, 239 lost in 884 matches
1 goal up after 70 minutes18 won, 5 drawn, 0 lost in 23 matches391 won, 96 drawn, 23 lost in 510 matches
Level after 70 minutes10 won, 14 drawn, 0 lost in 24 matches179 won, 448 drawn, 179 lost in 806 matches
1 goal up after 80 minutes18 won, 5 drawn, 0 lost in 23 matches433 won, 85 drawn, 12 lost in 530 matches
Level after 80 minutes8 won, 16 drawn, 0 lost in 24 matches109 won, 488 drawn, 109 lost in 706 matches
Level after 15 minutes28 won, 22 drawn, 12 lost in 62 matches621 won, 538 drawn, 621 lost in 1780 matches
Level after 30 minutes19 won, 19 drawn, 9 lost in 47 matches453 won, 424 drawn, 453 lost in 1330 matches

Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.

Goals after 75 minutes
ScoreLazioLeague sides
All matches39 scored, 18 conceded (84)708 scored, 708 conceded (2440)
When leading after 75 minutes14 scored, 7 conceded (31)248 scored, 229 conceded (830)
When level after 75 minutes17 scored, 6 conceded (28)231 scored, 231 conceded (780)
When trailing after 75 minutes8 scored, 5 conceded (25)229 scored, 248 conceded (830)

After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 32 times, equalised within 15 minutes 3, by full time 12(league sides: 1,256 times, within 15 minutes 185, by full time 557)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.

League sides: every team in this league since 19 Aug 2023, both venues, each match counted once for each side. Shown for context, not as a comparison.

xG and expected points

Each team's xG and points from its own earlier league matches, before this kick-off. Facts about past matches, not a forecast for this one.

Earlier league matches

SassuoloLazio
46Since 23 Aug 2025Matches with xG75Since 31 Oct 2024
54.61xG for97.56
58Goals scored101
67.81xG against86.58
66Goals conceded82

Sassuolo

xG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)Last matches with xG, oldest on the left
Show the numbers
Sassuolo: Last matches with xG, newest first
DateOpponentxG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)
24 Oct 2026at Como0.261.690–2
16 Oct 2026at Frosinone2.042.592–4
11 Oct 2026v AC Milan1.191.181–1
18 Sep 2026at Monza1.471.511–2
13 Sep 2026v Juventus1.021.103–2
6 Sep 2026at Bologna1.621.882–2
29 Aug 2026v Torino1.851.262–1
23 Aug 2026at Atalanta2.700.881–2
24 May 2026at Parma0.911.120–1
17 May 2026v Lecce2.020.862–3

Lazio

xG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)Last matches with xG, oldest on the left
Show the numbers
Lazio: Last matches with xG, newest first
DateOpponentxG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)
24 Oct 2026v Parma1.820.872–1
18 Oct 2026at Juventus0.570.753–0
11 Oct 2026v Monza1.841.763–1
19 Sep 2026at Venezia1.601.892–0
12 Sep 2026v AC Milan2.011.252–2
7 Sep 2026at Udinese1.830.852–1
30 Aug 2026v Genoa1.620.421–0
24 Aug 2026at Bologna0.631.781–0
23 May 2026v Pisa1.111.562–1
17 May 2026at AS Roma0.691.190–2

This league season

Serie A matches since 22 Aug 2026.

SassuoloLazio
8 of 8Matches with xG8 of 8
8Points in those matches22
10.90xPts12.57
12.15xG for11.92
12.09xG against9.57

Each figure is a total over the matches shown beside it.

xG: API-Football. xPts: Ledger, from xG with a Poisson model that treats the two teams' goals as independent. That model slightly under-counts draws, so xPts totals come out a little high.

PRO depth

PRO depth: Sassuolo and Lazio

  • Corners won and concededPRO
  • Shots and shots on target, for and againstPRO
  • Yellow cards, own and opponent'sPRO
  • First-half goals, scored and concededPRO
PRO: these figures for both teams

Injuries and suspensions

  • SassuoloSassuolo
    Ruled out
    D. Boloca (Muscle Injury) · J. Idzes (Muscle Injury) · I. Kone (Broken Leg) · F. Leysen (Knee Injury) · Y. Paz (Knee Injury)
  • LazioLazio
    Ruled out
    A. Furlanetto (Knee Injury) · A. Gudmundsson (Shoulder Injury) · A. Marusic (Muscle Injury) · N. Rovella (Calf Injury)
    Doubtful
    A. Pinamonti (Illness)

Published 27 Oct 2026, 16:27 GMT · not changed since

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