LEDGER
Sign inGo PRO
Championship
Sheffield Utd
15:00
Watford
Sat 21 Nov 2026 · GMTMatchday 16 · Bramall Lane, Sheffield

Sheffield Utd v Watford · analysis and preview

Add to Journal

No signal on this match

Most likely: Sheffield Utd win

How the match could end · our estimate

  • 58%Sheffield Utd win
  • 24%Draw
  • 18%Watford win

PRO analysis

This analysis is part of PRO

PRO shows the full analysis of every match: our estimate next to the bookmaker’s price for each market, the written preview and the risks, and a signal whenever a match qualifies.

See PRO plans

Free on every match: kick-off time, our estimate of each result, form, past meetings and whether we found a signal.

Form · newest first

Sheffield UtdSheffield Utd

Last 5: 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 defeat

  1. lost1–2at Charlton
  2. won3–2at Preston
  3. won1–0v Wrexham
  4. drew1–1v Derby
  5. won1–0at Bristol City
WatfordWatford

Last 5: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 defeats

  1. drew0–0v Middlesbrough
  2. won1–0v Lincoln
  3. lost2–3at Norwich
  4. lost0–1at Wolves
  5. won2–0v Charlton

Past results

From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.

Trends

  • Sheffield Utd won 36 of 54 matches in which they scored first, since 23 Nov 2024.
  • Watford won 18 of 29 matches in which they scored first, since 22 Nov 2024.
  • Sheffield Utd won 5 of the last 6 meetings.
  • Watford without a win in their last 5 away games.

Last meetings

Meetings in the competitions Ledger covers.

6 meetings: Sheffield Utd 5, draws 0, Watford 1

Goals: Sheffield Utd 7, Watford 2

DateMatchScore
18 Apr 2026Watford v Sheffield Utd0–2
18 Oct 2025Sheffield Utd v Watford1–0
4 Jan 2025Watford v Sheffield Utd1–2
1 Sep 2024Sheffield Utd v Watford1–0
25 Feb 2023Sheffield Utd v Watford1–0
1 Aug 2022Watford v Sheffield Utd1–0

Home and away

Sheffield Utd

Sheffield Utd at home

Last 5: 2 won, 1 drawn, 2 lost

  • WonWrexham30 Oct 20261–0
  • DrawnDerby24 Oct 20261–1
  • WonLincoln10 Oct 20263–0
  • LostWolves13 Sep 20260–1
  • LostNorwich5 Sep 20261–3

Sheffield Utd: home league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
14 scored, 14 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
6 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
6 of 10
Clean sheets
3 of 10
Watford

Watford away

Last 5: 0 won, 0 drawn, 5 lost

  • LostNorwich31 Oct 20262–3
  • LostWolves24 Oct 20260–1
  • LostCardiff13 Oct 20261–5
  • LostBristol City18 Sep 20260–1
  • LostWest Brom5 Sep 20260–1

Watford: away league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
5 scored, 24 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
4 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
4 of 10
Clean sheets
0 of 10

Rest and schedule

Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.

Sheffield Utd
Last match
14 days before7 Nov 2026 · v Charlton · Championship
Next match
Not known
Watford
Last match
14 days before7 Nov 2026 · v Middlesbrough · Championship
Next match
Not known

When the score changes

Each team's results from a given score, in its covered competitions. Every figure shows how many matches it covers.

Sheffield Utd

Since 23 Nov 2024

ScoreSheffield UtdLeague sides
Scored first36 won, 7 drawn, 11 lost in 54 matches1138 won, 353 drawn, 221 lost in 1712 matches
Conceded first8 won, 5 drawn, 24 lost in 37 matches221 won, 353 drawn, 1138 lost in 1712 matches
1 goal up at half-time15 won, 2 drawn, 8 lost in 25 matches518 won, 167 drawn, 96 lost in 781 matches
Level at half-time16 won, 12 drawn, 9 lost in 37 matches467 won, 584 drawn, 467 lost in 1518 matches
1 goal down at half-time4 won, 1 drawn, 15 lost in 20 matches96 won, 167 drawn, 518 lost in 781 matches
1 goal up after 60 minutes14 won, 5 drawn, 5 lost in 24 matches549 won, 172 drawn, 68 lost in 789 matches
Level after 60 minutes12 won, 9 drawn, 6 lost in 27 matches344 won, 590 drawn, 344 lost in 1278 matches
1 goal down after 60 minutes2 won, 1 drawn, 17 lost in 20 matches68 won, 172 drawn, 549 lost in 789 matches
1 goal up after 70 minutes21 won, 3 drawn, 4 lost in 28 matches576 won, 153 drawn, 47 lost in 776 matches
Level after 70 minutes6 won, 10 drawn, 6 lost in 22 matches279 won, 640 drawn, 279 lost in 1198 matches
1 goal up after 80 minutes24 won, 3 drawn, 1 lost in 28 matches654 won, 121 drawn, 19 lost in 794 matches
Level after 80 minutes3 won, 12 drawn, 7 lost in 22 matches175 won, 712 drawn, 175 lost in 1062 matches
Level after 15 minutes29 won, 13 drawn, 27 lost in 69 matches937 won, 750 drawn, 937 lost in 2624 matches
Level after 30 minutes26 won, 11 drawn, 15 lost in 52 matches669 won, 640 drawn, 669 lost in 1978 matches

Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.

Goals after 75 minutes
ScoreSheffield UtdLeague sides
All matches20 scored, 27 conceded (94)1065 scored, 1065 conceded (3678)
When leading after 75 minutes12 scored, 14 conceded (46)356 scored, 386 conceded (1286)
When level after 75 minutes4 scored, 9 conceded (21)323 scored, 323 conceded (1106)
When trailing after 75 minutes4 scored, 4 conceded (27)386 scored, 356 conceded (1286)

After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 44 times, equalised within 15 minutes 11, by full time 19(league sides: 1,929 times, within 15 minutes 327, by full time 852)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.

Watford

Since 22 Nov 2024

ScoreWatfordLeague sides
Scored first18 won, 7 drawn, 4 lost in 29 matches1138 won, 353 drawn, 221 lost in 1712 matches
Conceded first8 won, 13 drawn, 36 lost in 57 matches221 won, 353 drawn, 1138 lost in 1712 matches
Level at half-time9 won, 18 drawn, 11 lost in 38 matches467 won, 584 drawn, 467 lost in 1518 matches
1 goal down at half-time5 won, 4 drawn, 16 lost in 25 matches96 won, 167 drawn, 518 lost in 781 matches
1 goal up after 60 minutes13 won, 6 drawn, 1 lost in 20 matches549 won, 172 drawn, 68 lost in 789 matches
Level after 60 minutes6 won, 16 drawn, 6 lost in 28 matches344 won, 590 drawn, 344 lost in 1278 matches
1 goal down after 60 minutes2 won, 3 drawn, 18 lost in 23 matches68 won, 172 drawn, 549 lost in 789 matches
Level after 70 minutes7 won, 16 drawn, 5 lost in 28 matches279 won, 640 drawn, 279 lost in 1198 matches
1 goal down after 70 minutes1 won, 4 drawn, 19 lost in 24 matches47 won, 153 drawn, 576 lost in 776 matches
1 goal up after 80 minutes19 won, 4 drawn, 0 lost in 23 matches654 won, 121 drawn, 19 lost in 794 matches
Level after 80 minutes2 won, 17 drawn, 3 lost in 22 matches175 won, 712 drawn, 175 lost in 1062 matches
1 goal down after 80 minutes1 won, 4 drawn, 20 lost in 25 matches19 won, 121 drawn, 654 lost in 794 matches
Level after 15 minutes14 won, 20 drawn, 27 lost in 61 matches937 won, 750 drawn, 937 lost in 2624 matches
Level after 30 minutes10 won, 18 drawn, 18 lost in 46 matches669 won, 640 drawn, 669 lost in 1978 matches
1 goal down after 30 minutes6 won, 7 drawn, 14 lost in 27 matches108 won, 149 drawn, 445 lost in 702 matches

Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.

Goals after 75 minutes
ScoreWatfordLeague sides
All matches26 scored, 20 conceded (91)1065 scored, 1065 conceded (3678)
When leading after 75 minutes3 scored, 5 conceded (24)356 scored, 386 conceded (1286)
When level after 75 minutes8 scored, 5 conceded (25)323 scored, 323 conceded (1106)
When trailing after 75 minutes15 scored, 10 conceded (42)386 scored, 356 conceded (1286)

After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 60 times, equalised within 15 minutes 5, by full time 23(league sides: 1,929 times, within 15 minutes 327, by full time 852)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.

League sides: every team in this league since 4 Aug 2023, both venues, each match counted once for each side. Shown for context, not as a comparison.

xG and expected points

Each team's xG and points from its own earlier league matches, before this kick-off. Facts about past matches, not a forecast for this one.

Earlier league matches

Sheffield UtdWatford
94Since 23 Nov 2024Matches with xG91Since 22 Nov 2024
139.80xG for102.91
137Goals scored96
112.84xG against117.85
114Goals conceded127

Sheffield Utd

xG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)Last matches with xG, oldest on the left
Show the numbers
Sheffield Utd: Last matches with xG, newest first
DateOpponentxG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)
3 Nov 2026at Preston2.020.963–2
30 Oct 2026v Wrexham1.330.701–0
24 Oct 2026v Derby2.551.151–1
17 Oct 2026at Bristol City1.230.581–0
14 Oct 2026at Portsmouth1.802.012–3
10 Oct 2026v Lincoln0.681.393–0
19 Sep 2026at Stoke City0.360.651–2
13 Sep 2026v Wolves0.631.570–1
8 Sep 2026at Blackburn0.471.602–1
5 Sep 2026v Norwich0.793.041–3

Watford

xG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)Last matches with xG, oldest on the left
Show the numbers
Watford: Last matches with xG, newest first
DateOpponentxG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)
3 Nov 2026v Lincoln0.710.831–0
31 Oct 2026at Norwich1.001.192–3
24 Oct 2026at Wolves0.151.880–1
17 Oct 2026v Charlton2.871.312–0
13 Oct 2026at Cardiff1.463.671–5
10 Oct 2026v Burnley0.641.940–4
18 Sep 2026at Bristol City0.521.560–1
12 Sep 2026v Stoke City0.391.501–2
8 Sep 2026v Preston1.262.442–1
5 Sep 2026at West Brom1.261.140–1

This league season

Championship matches since 14 Aug 2026. Play-off rounds count here as league matches.

Sheffield UtdWatford
14 of 15Matches with xG14 of 15
22Points in those matches14
17.87xPts12.85
17.10xG for14.20
19.14xG against24.69

Each figure is a total over the matches shown beside it.

xG: API-Football. xPts: Ledger, from xG with a Poisson model that treats the two teams' goals as independent. That model slightly under-counts draws, so xPts totals come out a little high.

PRO depth

PRO depth: Sheffield Utd and Watford

  • Corners won and concededPRO
  • Shots and shots on target, for and againstPRO
  • Yellow cards, own and opponent'sPRO
  • First-half goals, scored and concededPRO
PRO: these figures for both teams

Injuries and suspensions

Team news not available yet.

Updated 7 Nov 2026, 17:53 GMT

All fixtures