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Ligue 1
Stade Brestois 29
5–1Finished
Angers
Sat 10 Oct 2026 · 19:45 BST

Stade Brestois 29 v Angers match analysis

This analysis was locked at kick-off on Sat 10 Oct 2026 and has not been changed since.

Pre-match analysis · as published

How the match could end · our estimate before kick-off

  • 47%Stade Brestois 29 win
  • 27%Draw
  • 26%Angers win

PRO analysis

The full analysis is part of PRO

PRO members can read the full analysis exactly as it was published: the evidence and the risks behind our estimate.

See PRO plans

Free on every match: kick-off time, our estimate of each result, form, past meetings and whether we found a signal.

Form · newest first

Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 29

Last 5: 1 win, 2 draws, 2 defeats

AngersAngers

Last 5: 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 defeat

Past results

From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.

Trends

  • Stade Brestois 29 won 24 of 37 matches in which they scored first, since 19 Oct 2024.
  • Angers won 21 of 24 matches in which they scored first, since 20 Oct 2024.
  • Stade Brestois 29 won 5 of the last 9 meetings.
  • Stade Brestois 29 without a win in their last 5 home games.

Last meetings

Meetings in the competitions Ledger covers.

9 meetings: Stade Brestois 29 5, draws 2, Angers 2

Goals: Stade Brestois 29 14, Angers 6

DateMatchScore
17 May 2026Stade Brestois 29 v Angers1–1
28 Sep 2025Angers v Stade Brestois 290–2
9 Mar 2025Stade Brestois 29 v Angers2–0
5 Jan 2025Angers v Stade Brestois 292–0
6 Jan 2024Stade Brestois 29 v AngersCoupe de France1–0
29 Jan 2023Stade Brestois 29 v Angers4–0
21 Aug 2022Angers v Stade Brestois 291–3
20 Mar 2022Angers v Stade Brestois 291–0
12 Sep 2021Stade Brestois 29 v Angers1–1

Home and away

Stade Brestois 29

Stade Brestois 29 at home

Last 5: 0 won, 3 drawn, 2 lost

  • LostParis Saint Germain13 Sep 20260–1
  • DrawnToulouse29 Aug 20262–2
  • DrawnAngers17 May 20261–1
  • LostStrasbourg13 May 20261–2
  • DrawnLens24 Apr 20263–3

Stade Brestois 29: home league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
16 scored, 15 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
5 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
4 of 10
Clean sheets
3 of 10
Angers

Angers away

Last 5: 1 won, 2 drawn, 2 lost

  • DrawnLe Havre12 Sep 20260–0
  • WonAuxerre29 Aug 20263–1
  • DrawnStade Brestois 2917 May 20261–1
  • LostAuxerre3 May 20261–3
  • LostRennes11 Apr 20261–2

Angers: away league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
8 scored, 16 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
5 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
4 of 10
Clean sheets
3 of 10

Rest and schedule

Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.

Stade Brestois 29
Last match
20 days before20 Sep 2026 · v Auxerre · Ligue 1
Next match
7 days after17 Oct 2026 · v Lille · Ligue 1
Angers
Last match
21 days before19 Sep 2026 · v Estac Troyes · Ligue 1
Next match
8 days after18 Oct 2026 · v Marseille · Ligue 1

When the score changes

Each team's results from a given score, in its covered competitions. Every figure shows how many matches it covers.

Stade Brestois 29

Since 19 Oct 2024

ScoreStade Brestois 29League sides
Scored first24 won, 7 drawn, 6 lost in 37 matches629 won, 164 drawn, 109 lost in 902 matches
Conceded first1 won, 6 drawn, 26 lost in 33 matches109 won, 164 drawn, 629 lost in 902 matches
1 goal up at half-time16 won, 2 drawn, 2 lost in 20 matches311 won, 83 drawn, 40 lost in 434 matches
1 goal up after 60 minutes17 won, 3 drawn, 0 lost in 20 matches310 won, 82 drawn, 28 lost in 420 matches
1 goal up after 70 minutes15 won, 5 drawn, 0 lost in 20 matches313 won, 79 drawn, 21 lost in 413 matches
Level after 15 minutes16 won, 10 drawn, 19 lost in 45 matches507 won, 352 drawn, 507 lost in 1366 matches
Level after 30 minutes9 won, 9 drawn, 9 lost in 27 matches342 won, 314 drawn, 342 lost in 998 matches
1 goal down after 30 minutes1 won, 4 drawn, 17 lost in 22 matches58 won, 67 drawn, 265 lost in 390 matches

Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.

Goals after 75 minutes
ScoreStade Brestois 29League sides
All matches18 scored, 32 conceded (74)643 scored, 643 conceded (1942)
When leading after 75 minutes10 scored, 9 conceded (26)270 scored, 219 conceded (698)
When trailing after 75 minutes5 scored, 17 conceded (31)219 scored, 270 conceded (698)

After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 44 times, equalised within 15 minutes 7, by full time 16(league sides: 1,049 times, within 15 minutes 158, by full time 458)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.

Angers

Since 20 Oct 2024

ScoreAngersLeague sides
Scored first21 won, 3 drawn, 0 lost in 24 matches629 won, 164 drawn, 109 lost in 902 matches
Conceded first0 won, 7 drawn, 32 lost in 39 matches109 won, 164 drawn, 629 lost in 902 matches
Level at half-time7 won, 7 drawn, 11 lost in 25 matches249 won, 276 drawn, 249 lost in 774 matches
Level after 60 minutes5 won, 10 drawn, 6 lost in 21 matches173 won, 280 drawn, 173 lost in 626 matches
Level after 15 minutes15 won, 9 drawn, 24 lost in 48 matches507 won, 352 drawn, 507 lost in 1366 matches
Level after 30 minutes9 won, 8 drawn, 18 lost in 35 matches342 won, 314 drawn, 342 lost in 998 matches

Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.

Goals after 75 minutes
ScoreAngersLeague sides
All matches18 scored, 11 conceded (66)643 scored, 643 conceded (1942)
When leading after 75 minutes7 scored, 1 conceded (20)270 scored, 219 conceded (698)
When trailing after 75 minutes10 scored, 6 conceded (34)219 scored, 270 conceded (698)

After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 39 times, equalised within 15 minutes 3, by full time 10(league sides: 1,049 times, within 15 minutes 158, by full time 458)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.

League sides: every team in this league since 11 Aug 2023, both venues, each match counted once for each side. Shown for context, not as a comparison.

xG and expected points

Each team's xG and points from its own earlier league matches, before this kick-off. Facts about past matches, not a forecast for this one.

Earlier league matches

Stade Brestois 29Angers
66Since 19 Oct 2024Matches with xG66Since 20 Oct 2024
92.67xG for70.39
92Goals scored62
100.60xG against109.99
109Goals conceded93

Stade Brestois 29

xG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)Last matches with xG, oldest on the left
Show the numbers
Stade Brestois 29: Last matches with xG, newest first
DateOpponentxG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)
20 Sep 2026at Auxerre0.340.961–2
13 Sep 2026v Paris Saint Germain1.241.160–1
5 Sep 2026at Le Havre2.372.022–1
29 Aug 2026v Toulouse3.041.142–2
22 Aug 2026at Le Mans2.720.672–2
17 May 2026v Angers1.570.681–1
13 May 2026v Strasbourg3.062.021–2
10 May 2026at Paris Saint Germain0.171.490–1
3 May 2026at Paris FC0.791.860–4
24 Apr 2026v Lens0.252.763–3

Angers

xG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)Last matches with xG, oldest on the left
Show the numbers
Angers: Last matches with xG, newest first
DateOpponentxG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)
19 Sep 2026v Estac Troyes2.251.022–0
12 Sep 2026at Le Havre0.591.310–0
6 Sep 2026v Rennes1.661.541–2
29 Aug 2026at Auxerre1.551.813–1
23 Aug 2026v Lille1.991.240–2
17 May 2026at Stade Brestois 290.681.571–1
10 May 2026v Strasbourg0.592.021–1
3 May 2026at Auxerre2.202.031–3
25 Apr 2026v Paris Saint Germain0.702.780–3
18 Apr 2026v Le Havre1.071.451–1

This league season

Ligue 1 matches since 21 Aug 2026.

Stade Brestois 29Angers
5 of 5Matches with xG5 of 5
5Points in those matches7
8.71xPts7.48
9.71xG for8.04
5.95xG against6.92

Each figure is a total over the matches shown beside it.

xG: API-Football. xPts: Ledger, from xG with a Poisson model that treats the two teams' goals as independent. That model slightly under-counts draws, so xPts totals come out a little high.

PRO depth

PRO depth: Stade Brestois 29 and Angers

  • Corners won and concededPRO
  • Shots and shots on target, for and againstPRO
  • Yellow cards, own and opponent'sPRO
  • First-half goals, scored and concededPRO
PRO: these figures for both teams

Injuries and suspensions

  • Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 29B. Chardonnet (Calf Injury) · R. Le Guen (Broken Leg) · G. Versini (Leg Injury) · M. Diambou (Ankle Injury)
  • AngersAngersU. Simbakoli (Muscle Injury)

Published 10 Oct 2026, 19:12 BST · not changed since

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