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Premier League
Sunderland
0–0Finished
Leeds
Sun 25 Oct 2026 · 16:30 GMTMatchday 8 · Stadium of Light, Sunderland

Sunderland v Leeds match analysis

This analysis was locked at kick-off on Sun 25 Oct 2026 and has not been changed since.

Pre-match analysis · as published

How the match could end · our estimate before kick-off

  • 30%Sunderland win
  • 29%Draw
  • 41%Leeds win

PRO analysis

The full analysis is part of PRO

PRO members can read the full analysis exactly as it was published: the evidence and the risks behind our estimate.

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Free on every match: kick-off time, our estimate of each result, form, past meetings and whether we found a signal.

Form · newest first

SunderlandSunderland

Last 5: 1 win, 1 draw, 3 defeats

LeedsLeeds

Last 5: 1 win, 2 draws, 2 defeats

Past results

From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.

Trends

  • Sunderland won 20 of 31 matches in which they scored first, since 26 Oct 2024.
  • Leeds won 31 of 42 matches in which they scored first, since 26 Oct 2024.
  • Sunderland won 2 of the last 6 meetings.
  • Under 2.5 goals in 7 of Sunderland's last 10 home league games.

Last meetings

Meetings in the competitions Ledger covers.

6 meetings: Sunderland 2, draws 3, Leeds 1

Goals: Sunderland 6, Leeds 5

DateMatchScore
3 Mar 2026Leeds v Sunderland0–1
28 Dec 2025Sunderland v Leeds1–1
17 Feb 2025Leeds v SunderlandChampionship2–1
4 Oct 2024Sunderland v LeedsChampionship2–2
9 Apr 2024Leeds v SunderlandChampionship0–0
12 Dec 2023Sunderland v LeedsChampionship1–0

Home and away

Sunderland

Sunderland at home

Last 5: 3 won, 0 drawn, 2 lost

  • LostBrighton10 Oct 20260–2
  • WonAZ AlkmaarUEFA Europa League16 Sep 20261–0
  • LostArsenal12 Sep 20260–2
  • WonHull CityLeague Cup8 Sep 20261–0
  • WonFulham30 Aug 20261–0

Sunderland: home league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
5 scored, 15 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
2 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
3 of 10
Clean sheets
3 of 10
Leeds

Leeds away

Last 5: 2 won, 1 drawn, 2 lost

  • LostArsenal10 Oct 20261–2
  • LostChelseaLeague Cup9 Sep 20263–6
  • DrawnBrighton5 Sep 20261–1
  • WonNottingham ForestLeague Cup25 Aug 20262–0
  • WonNottingham Forest22 Aug 20261–0

Leeds: away league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
11 scored, 13 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
7 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
5 of 10
Clean sheets
2 of 10

Rest and schedule

Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.

Sunderland
Last match
3 days before22 Oct 2026 · v Lech Poznan · UEFA Europa League
Next match
3 days after28 Oct 2026 · v Brentford · League Cup
Leeds
Last match
7 days before18 Oct 2026 · v Manchester United · Premier League
Next match
6 days after31 Oct 2026 · v Bournemouth · Premier League

When the score changes

Each team's results from a given score, in its covered competitions since 26 Oct 2024. Every figure shows how many matches it covers.

Sunderland

ScoreSunderlandLeague sides
Scored first20 won, 9 drawn, 2 lost in 31 matches746 won, 241 drawn, 169 lost in 1156 matches
Conceded first12 won, 8 drawn, 26 lost in 46 matches169 won, 241 drawn, 746 lost in 1156 matches
Level at half-time13 won, 16 drawn, 12 lost in 41 matches303 won, 328 drawn, 303 lost in 934 matches
Level after 60 minutes17 won, 18 drawn, 7 lost in 42 matches211 won, 326 drawn, 211 lost in 748 matches
Level after 70 minutes13 won, 16 drawn, 6 lost in 35 matches166 won, 358 drawn, 166 lost in 690 matches
1 goal up after 80 minutes19 won, 5 drawn, 0 lost in 24 matches359 won, 99 drawn, 22 lost in 480 matches
Level after 80 minutes8 won, 16 drawn, 5 lost in 29 matches124 won, 392 drawn, 124 lost in 640 matches
Level after 15 minutes23 won, 22 drawn, 24 lost in 69 matches618 won, 456 drawn, 618 lost in 1692 matches
Level after 30 minutes15 won, 16 drawn, 17 lost in 48 matches432 won, 386 drawn, 432 lost in 1250 matches

Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.

Goals after 75 minutes
ScoreSunderlandLeague sides
All matches24 scored, 22 conceded (86)878 scored, 878 conceded (2430)
When leading after 75 minutes2 scored, 7 conceded (28)315 scored, 327 conceded (886)
When level after 75 minutes11 scored, 7 conceded (30)236 scored, 236 conceded (658)
When trailing after 75 minutes11 scored, 8 conceded (28)327 scored, 315 conceded (886)

After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 46 times, equalised within 15 minutes 8, by full time 26(league sides: 1,370 times, within 15 minutes 231, by full time 656)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.

Leeds

ScoreLeedsLeague sides
Scored first31 won, 7 drawn, 4 lost in 42 matches746 won, 241 drawn, 169 lost in 1156 matches
Conceded first5 won, 13 drawn, 13 lost in 31 matches169 won, 241 drawn, 746 lost in 1156 matches
Level at half-time5 won, 16 drawn, 7 lost in 28 matches303 won, 328 drawn, 303 lost in 934 matches
Level after 60 minutes8 won, 16 drawn, 7 lost in 31 matches211 won, 326 drawn, 211 lost in 748 matches
Level after 70 minutes8 won, 16 drawn, 4 lost in 28 matches166 won, 358 drawn, 166 lost in 690 matches
2+ goals up after 80 minutes19 won, 1 drawn, 0 lost in 20 matches409 won, 5 drawn, 1 lost in 415 matches
Level after 80 minutes7 won, 21 drawn, 2 lost in 30 matches124 won, 392 drawn, 124 lost in 640 matches
Level after 15 minutes19 won, 22 drawn, 14 lost in 55 matches618 won, 456 drawn, 618 lost in 1692 matches
Level after 30 minutes12 won, 17 drawn, 10 lost in 39 matches432 won, 386 drawn, 432 lost in 1250 matches

Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.

Goals after 75 minutes
ScoreLeedsLeague sides
All matches31 scored, 23 conceded (80)878 scored, 878 conceded (2430)
When leading after 75 minutes13 scored, 10 conceded (32)315 scored, 327 conceded (886)
When level after 75 minutes13 scored, 8 conceded (30)236 scored, 236 conceded (658)

After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 35 times, equalised within 15 minutes 7, by full time 21(league sides: 1,370 times, within 15 minutes 231, by full time 656)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.

League sides: every team in this league since 11 Aug 2023, both venues, each match counted once for each side. Shown for context, not as a comparison.

xG and expected points

Each team's xG and points from its own earlier league matches, before this kick-off. Facts about past matches, not a forecast for this one.

Since 26 Oct 2024

SunderlandLeeds
82Matches with xG80
95.07xG for135.85
89Goals scored134
107.70xG against88.08
99Goals conceded84

Sunderland

xG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)Last matches with xG, oldest on the left
Show the numbers
Sunderland: Last matches with xG, newest first
DateOpponentxG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)
18 Oct 2026at Bournemouth0.134.400–2
10 Oct 2026v Brighton0.721.410–2
20 Sep 2026at Manchester City3.572.823–5
12 Sep 2026v Arsenal1.801.880–2
5 Sep 2026at Brentford1.711.211–1
30 Aug 2026v Fulham2.020.951–0
22 Aug 2026at Ipswich0.661.801–2
24 May 2026v Chelsea1.840.892–1
17 May 2026at Everton0.761.043–1
9 May 2026v Manchester United1.250.620–0

Leeds

xG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)Last matches with xG, oldest on the left
Show the numbers
Leeds: Last matches with xG, newest first
DateOpponentxG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)
18 Oct 2026v Manchester United1.480.931–1
10 Oct 2026at Arsenal0.622.331–2
20 Sep 2026v Crystal Palace1.311.060–0
14 Sep 2026v Newcastle2.080.884–1
5 Sep 2026at Brighton2.492.191–1
30 Aug 2026v Brentford1.461.671–1
22 Aug 2026at Nottingham Forest0.470.661–0
24 May 2026at West Ham1.592.610–3
17 May 2026v Brighton0.393.061–0
11 May 2026at Tottenham1.341.271–1

Sunderland: 1 without xG left out

This league season

Premier League matches since 21 Aug 2026.

SunderlandLeeds
7 of 7Matches with xG7 of 7
4Points in those matches10
8.38xPts9.78
10.61xG for9.91
14.47xG against9.72

Each figure is a total over the matches shown beside it.

xG: API-Football. xPts: Ledger, from xG with a Poisson model that treats the two teams' goals as independent. That model slightly under-counts draws, so xPts totals come out a little high.

PRO depth

PRO depth: Sunderland and Leeds

  • Corners won and concededPRO
  • Shots and shots on target, for and againstPRO
  • Yellow cards, own and opponent'sPRO
  • First-half goals, scored and concededPRO
PRO: these figures for both teams

Injuries and suspensions

  • SunderlandSunderland
    Ruled out
    D. Ballard (Muscle Injury) · K. Danso (Red Card) · R. Mundle (Knee Injury)
    Doubtful
    W. Isidor (Injury) · T. Meunier (Muscle Injury)
  • LeedsLeeds
    Ruled out
    M. Joseph (Knee Injury) · J. Rodon (Muscle Injury)
    Doubtful
    D. Calvert-Lewin (Foot Injury) · N. Okafor (Groin Injury) · A. Stach (Groin Injury)

Published 25 Oct 2026, 15:29 GMT · not changed since

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