Swansea v West Brom · analysis and preview
Add to JournalNo signal on this match
Most likely: Swansea win
How the match could end · our estimate
- 40%Swansea win
- 29%Draw
- 31%West Brom win
PRO analysis
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Form · newest first
SwanseaLast 5: 1 win, no draws, 4 defeats
- lost1–2at Birmingham
- lost1–3at Portsmouth
- won4–0v Blackburn
- lost0–5at QPR
- lost0–1v West Ham
West BromLast 5: 3 wins, 2 draws, no defeats
- won3–0v Millwall
- drew1–1v Southampton
- won3–1at West Ham
- drew1–1at Preston
- won3–2v Blackburn
Past results
From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.
Trends
- Swansea won 32 of 43 matches in which they scored first, since 24 Nov 2024.
- West Brom won 24 of 41 matches in which they scored first, since 23 Nov 2024.
- Swansea won 5 of the last 10 meetings.
Last meetings
Meetings in the competitions Ledger covers.
10 meetings: Swansea 5, draws 2, West Brom 3
Goals: Swansea 16, West Brom 13
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan 2026 | Swansea v West BromFA Cup | 1–1 PEN |
| 1 Jan 2026 | Swansea v West Brom | 1–0 |
| 29 Nov 2025 | West Brom v Swansea | 3–2 |
| 4 Jan 2025 | Swansea v West Brom | 1–1 |
| 31 Aug 2024 | West Brom v Swansea | 1–0 |
| 1 Jan 2024 | Swansea v West Brom | 1–0 |
| 12 Aug 2023 | West Brom v Swansea | 3–2 |
| 8 May 2023 | Swansea v West Brom | 3–2 |
| 1 Oct 2022 | West Brom v Swansea | 2–3 |
| 28 Feb 2022 | West Brom v Swansea | 0–2 |
Home and away
SwanseaSwansea at home
Last 5: 3 won, 1 drawn, 1 lost
- WonBlackburn31 Oct 20264–0
- LostWest Ham17 Oct 20260–1
- WonNorwich10 Oct 20262–1
- WonBurnley12 Sep 20263–1
- DrawnWrexham5 Sep 20260–0
Swansea: home league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 17 scored, 8 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 5 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 6 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 4 of 10
West BromWest Brom away
Last 5: 3 won, 1 drawn, 1 lost
- WonWest Ham31 Oct 20263–1
- DrawnPreston24 Oct 20261–1
- WonWrexham13 Oct 20262–1
- LostWolves20 Sep 20260–1
- WonDerby9 Sep 20261–0
West Brom: away league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 13 scored, 10 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 6 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 5 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 10
Rest and schedule
Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.
Swansea- Last match
- 14 days before7 Nov 2026 · v Birmingham · Championship
- Next match
- Not known
West Brom- Last match
- 14 days before7 Nov 2026 · v Millwall · Championship
- Next match
- Not known
When the score changes
Each team's results from a given score, in its covered competitions. Every figure shows how many matches it covers.
Swansea
Since 24 Nov 2024
| Score | Swansea | League sides |
|---|---|---|
| Scored first | 32 won, 5 drawn, 6 lost in 43 matches | 1138 won, 353 drawn, 221 lost in 1712 matches |
| Conceded first | 6 won, 9 drawn, 29 lost in 44 matches | 221 won, 353 drawn, 1138 lost in 1712 matches |
| Level at half-time | 18 won, 11 drawn, 7 lost in 36 matches | 467 won, 584 drawn, 467 lost in 1518 matches |
| 1 goal down at half-time | 3 won, 5 drawn, 14 lost in 22 matches | 96 won, 167 drawn, 518 lost in 781 matches |
| 1 goal up after 60 minutes | 16 won, 5 drawn, 1 lost in 22 matches | 549 won, 172 drawn, 68 lost in 789 matches |
| Level after 60 minutes | 10 won, 7 drawn, 9 lost in 26 matches | 344 won, 590 drawn, 344 lost in 1278 matches |
| 1 goal down after 60 minutes | 1 won, 6 drawn, 14 lost in 21 matches | 68 won, 172 drawn, 549 lost in 789 matches |
| 1 goal up after 70 minutes | 19 won, 4 drawn, 1 lost in 24 matches | 576 won, 153 drawn, 47 lost in 776 matches |
| Level after 70 minutes | 7 won, 10 drawn, 8 lost in 25 matches | 279 won, 640 drawn, 279 lost in 1198 matches |
| 1 goal up after 80 minutes | 22 won, 2 drawn, 0 lost in 24 matches | 654 won, 121 drawn, 19 lost in 794 matches |
| Level after 80 minutes | 4 won, 12 drawn, 4 lost in 20 matches | 175 won, 712 drawn, 175 lost in 1062 matches |
| 1 goal down after 80 minutes | 0 won, 4 drawn, 18 lost in 22 matches | 19 won, 121 drawn, 654 lost in 794 matches |
| Level after 15 minutes | 25 won, 15 drawn, 24 lost in 64 matches | 937 won, 750 drawn, 937 lost in 2624 matches |
| Level after 30 minutes | 18 won, 11 drawn, 18 lost in 47 matches | 669 won, 640 drawn, 669 lost in 1978 matches |
Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.
| Score | Swansea | League sides |
|---|---|---|
| All matches | 25 scored, 28 conceded (91) | 1065 scored, 1065 conceded (3678) |
| When leading after 75 minutes | 9 scored, 5 conceded (35) | 356 scored, 386 conceded (1286) |
| When level after 75 minutes | 7 scored, 9 conceded (23) | 323 scored, 323 conceded (1106) |
| When trailing after 75 minutes | 9 scored, 14 conceded (33) | 386 scored, 356 conceded (1286) |
After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 50 times, equalised within 15 minutes 7, by full time 23(league sides: 1,929 times, within 15 minutes 327, by full time 852)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.
West Brom
Since 23 Nov 2024
| Score | West Brom | League sides |
|---|---|---|
| Scored first | 24 won, 14 drawn, 3 lost in 41 matches | 1138 won, 353 drawn, 221 lost in 1712 matches |
| Conceded first | 5 won, 8 drawn, 29 lost in 42 matches | 221 won, 353 drawn, 1138 lost in 1712 matches |
| 1 goal up at half-time | 13 won, 7 drawn, 1 lost in 21 matches | 518 won, 167 drawn, 96 lost in 781 matches |
| Level at half-time | 9 won, 19 drawn, 12 lost in 40 matches | 467 won, 584 drawn, 467 lost in 1518 matches |
| 1 goal up after 60 minutes | 16 won, 6 drawn, 0 lost in 22 matches | 549 won, 172 drawn, 68 lost in 789 matches |
| Level after 60 minutes | 6 won, 20 drawn, 8 lost in 34 matches | 344 won, 590 drawn, 344 lost in 1278 matches |
| Level after 70 minutes | 4 won, 22 drawn, 9 lost in 35 matches | 279 won, 640 drawn, 279 lost in 1198 matches |
| Level after 80 minutes | 3 won, 24 drawn, 8 lost in 35 matches | 175 won, 712 drawn, 175 lost in 1062 matches |
| Level after 15 minutes | 20 won, 24 drawn, 25 lost in 69 matches | 937 won, 750 drawn, 937 lost in 2624 matches |
| 1 goal up after 30 minutes | 16 won, 7 drawn, 1 lost in 24 matches | 445 won, 149 drawn, 108 lost in 702 matches |
| Level after 30 minutes | 11 won, 20 drawn, 18 lost in 49 matches | 669 won, 640 drawn, 669 lost in 1978 matches |
Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.
| Score | West Brom | League sides |
|---|---|---|
| All matches | 20 scored, 27 conceded (91) | 1065 scored, 1065 conceded (3678) |
| When leading after 75 minutes | 6 scored, 14 conceded (32) | 356 scored, 386 conceded (1286) |
| When level after 75 minutes | 3 scored, 7 conceded (31) | 323 scored, 323 conceded (1106) |
| When trailing after 75 minutes | 11 scored, 6 conceded (28) | 386 scored, 356 conceded (1286) |
After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 42 times, equalised within 15 minutes 7, by full time 18(league sides: 1,929 times, within 15 minutes 327, by full time 852)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.
League sides: every team in this league since 4 Aug 2023, both venues, each match counted once for each side. Shown for context, not as a comparison.
xG and expected points
Each team's xG and points from its own earlier league matches, before this kick-off. Facts about past matches, not a forecast for this one.
Earlier league matches
| Swansea | West Brom | |
|---|---|---|
| 91Since 24 Nov 2024 | Matches with xG | 91Since 23 Nov 2024 |
| 113.35 | xG for | 117.83 |
| 118 | Goals scored | 109 |
| 113.88 | xG against | 99.04 |
| 121 | Goals conceded | 111 |
Swansea
Show the numbers
| Date | Opponent | xG for | xG against | Goals (tick; no tick = 0) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov 2026 | at Portsmouth | 2.31 | 1.44 | 1–3 |
| 31 Oct 2026 | v Blackburn | 2.82 | 0.54 | 4–0 |
| 24 Oct 2026 | at QPR | 0.27 | 3.30 | 0–5 |
| 17 Oct 2026 | v West Ham | 1.08 | 1.21 | 0–1 |
| 13 Oct 2026 | at Millwall | 1.82 | 1.05 | 1–0 |
| 10 Oct 2026 | v Norwich | 2.36 | 0.68 | 2–1 |
| 19 Sep 2026 | at Lincoln | 0.92 | 2.11 | 2–1 |
| 12 Sep 2026 | v Burnley | 2.63 | 1.73 | 3–1 |
| 8 Sep 2026 | at Southampton | 1.22 | 1.44 | 1–3 |
| 5 Sep 2026 | v Wrexham | 0.74 | 0.67 | 0–0 |
West Brom
Show the numbers
| Date | Opponent | xG for | xG against | Goals (tick; no tick = 0) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov 2026 | v Southampton | 2.51 | 1.40 | 1–1 |
| 31 Oct 2026 | at West Ham | 2.08 | 0.95 | 3–1 |
| 24 Oct 2026 | at Preston | 2.09 | 1.83 | 1–1 |
| 17 Oct 2026 | v Blackburn | 3.72 | 0.84 | 3–2 |
| 13 Oct 2026 | at Wrexham | 0.94 | 0.38 | 2–1 |
| 10 Oct 2026 | v Birmingham | 1.05 | 2.55 | 0–1 |
| 20 Sep 2026 | at Wolves | 0.29 | 1.95 | 0–1 |
| 12 Sep 2026 | v QPR | 1.22 | 0.62 | 1–1 |
| 9 Sep 2026 | at Derby | 0.38 | 1.27 | 1–0 |
| 5 Sep 2026 | v Watford | 1.14 | 1.26 | 1–0 |
This league season
Championship matches since 14 Aug 2026. Play-off rounds count here as league matches.
| Swansea | West Brom | |
|---|---|---|
| 14 of 15 | Matches with xG | 14 of 15 |
| 26 | Points in those matches | 25 |
| 22.35 | xPts | 19.53 |
| 23.07 | xG for | 20.79 |
| 17.86 | xG against | 20.13 |
Each figure is a total over the matches shown beside it.
xG: API-Football. xPts: Ledger, from xG with a Poisson model that treats the two teams' goals as independent. That model slightly under-counts draws, so xPts totals come out a little high.
PRO depth
PRO depth: Swansea and West Brom
- Corners won and concededPRO
- Shots and shots on target, for and againstPRO
- Yellow cards, own and opponent'sPRO
- First-half goals, scored and concededPRO
Injuries and suspensions
Team news not available yet.
Updated 7 Nov 2026, 17:53 GMT
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