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Eredivisie
Telstar
2–2Finished
ADO Den Haag
Sun 11 Oct 2026 · 13:30 BSTMatchday 8

Telstar v ADO Den Haag match analysis

This analysis was locked at kick-off on Sun 11 Oct 2026 and has not been changed since.

Pre-match analysis · as published

How the match could end · our estimate before kick-off

  • 42%Telstar win
  • 25%Draw
  • 33%ADO Den Haag win

PRO analysis

The full analysis is part of PRO

PRO members can read the full analysis exactly as it was published: the evidence and the risks behind our estimate.

See PRO plans

Free on every match: kick-off time, our estimate of each result, form, past meetings and whether we found a signal.

Form · newest first

TelstarTelstar

Last 5: no wins, 2 draws, 3 defeats

ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag

Last 5: no wins, 2 draws, 3 defeats

Past results

From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.

Trends

  • Telstar won 11 of 20 matches in which they scored first, since 13 May 2025.
  • Eredivisie, since 11 Aug 2023: home sides leading by one goal after 70 minutes won 159 of 217.
  • Over 2.5 goals in 7 of Telstar's last 10 home league games.

Last meetings

Meetings in the competitions Ledger covers.

10 meetings: Telstar 3, draws 4, ADO Den Haag 3

Goals: Telstar 11, ADO Den Haag 11

DateMatchScore
17 May 2025ADO Den Haag v Telstar0–1
13 May 2025Telstar v ADO Den Haag2–0
11 Apr 2025Telstar v ADO Den HaagEerste Divisie1–1
20 Sep 2024ADO Den Haag v TelstarEerste Divisie1–1
15 Mar 2024Telstar v ADO Den HaagEerste Divisie3–1
22 Sep 2023ADO Den Haag v TelstarEerste Divisie1–1
31 Mar 2023ADO Den Haag v TelstarEerste Divisie3–1
11 Nov 2022Telstar v ADO Den HaagEerste Divisie0–0
21 Mar 2022ADO Den Haag v TelstarEerste Divisie2–1
19 Nov 2021Telstar v ADO Den HaagEerste Divisie0–2

Home and away

Telstar

Telstar at home

Last 5: 2 won, 1 drawn, 2 lost

  • DrawnCambuur6 Sep 20262–2
  • LostAjax30 Aug 20260–4
  • LostSparta Rotterdam14 Aug 20261–3
  • WonHeracles10 May 20263–0
  • WonSparta Rotterdam22 Apr 20264–1

Telstar: home league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
17 scored, 15 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
5 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
7 of 10
Clean sheets
2 of 10
ADO Den Haag

ADO Den Haag away

Last 5: 1 won, 1 drawn, 3 lost

  • LostTwente12 Sep 20260–2
  • DrawnFeyenoord30 Aug 20262–2
  • LostGO Ahead Eagles23 Aug 20261–3
  • LostAZ Alkmaar8 Aug 20260–2
  • WonDen BoschEerste Divisie24 Apr 20263–1

ADO Den Haag: away league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
10 scored, 13 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
4 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
4 of 10
Clean sheets
2 of 10

Rest and schedule

Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.

Telstar
Last match
21 days before20 Sep 2026 · v AZ Alkmaar · Eredivisie
Next match
6 days after17 Oct 2026 · v Feyenoord · Eredivisie
ADO Den Haag
Last match
22 days before19 Sep 2026 · v Cambuur · Eredivisie
Next match
6 days after17 Oct 2026 · v PSV Eindhoven · Eredivisie

When the score changes

Each team's results from a given score, in its covered competitions since 13 May 2025. Every figure shows how many matches it covers.

Telstar

ScoreTelstarLeague sides
Scored first11 won, 8 drawn, 1 lost in 20 matches639 won, 222 drawn, 116 lost in 977 matches
Conceded first2 won, 4 drawn, 18 lost in 24 matches116 won, 222 drawn, 639 lost in 977 matches
Level after 15 minutes7 won, 13 drawn, 12 lost in 32 matches477 won, 392 drawn, 477 lost in 1346 matches
Level after 30 minutes6 won, 11 drawn, 6 lost in 23 matches337 won, 312 drawn, 337 lost in 986 matches

Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.

Goals after 75 minutes
ScoreTelstarLeague sides
All matches15 scored, 21 conceded (47)744 scored, 744 conceded (2036)
When leading after 75 minutes6 scored, 10 conceded (20)328 scored, 236 conceded (758)

After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 25 times, equalised within 15 minutes 3, by full time 8(league sides: 1,160 times, within 15 minutes 196, by full time 533)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.

League sides: every team in this league since 11 Aug 2023, both venues, each match counted once for each side. Shown for context, not as a comparison.

xG and expected points

Each team's xG and points from its own earlier league matches, before this kick-off. Facts about past matches, not a forecast for this one.

Since 10 Aug 2025

TelstarADO Den Haag
40Matches with xG—
56.89xG for—
51Goals scored—
75.60xG against—
67Goals conceded—

Telstar

xG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)Last matches with xG, oldest on the left
Show the numbers
Telstar: Last matches with xG, newest first
DateOpponentxG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)
20 Sep 2026at AZ Alkmaar0.102.350–1
13 Sep 2026at Heerenveen0.711.540–0
9 Sep 2026at Twente0.522.650–1
6 Sep 2026v Cambuur2.120.982–2
30 Aug 2026v Ajax1.132.130–4
14 Aug 2026v Sparta Rotterdam1.402.541–3
8 Aug 2026at NEC Nijmegen1.662.152–1
17 May 2026at FC Volendam1.401.092–1
2 May 2026at NEC Nijmegen1.222.111–1
22 Apr 2026v Sparta Rotterdam1.701.044–1

Telstar: 1 without xG left out

This league season

Eredivisie matches since 7 Aug 2026. Play-off rounds count here as league matches.

TelstarADO Den Haag
7 of 7Matches with xG6 of 7
5Points in those matches—
5.96xPts—
7.64xG for—
14.34xG against—

ADO Den Haag: — Too few matches with xG so far (6 of 7).

Each figure is a total over the matches shown beside it.

xG: API-Football. xPts: Ledger, from xG with a Poisson model that treats the two teams' goals as independent. That model slightly under-counts draws, so xPts totals come out a little high.

PRO depth

PRO depth: Telstar and ADO Den Haag

  • Corners won and concededPRO
  • Shots and shots on target, for and againstPRO
  • Yellow cards, own and opponent'sPRO
  • First-half goals, scored and concededPRO
PRO: these figures for both teams

Injuries and suspensions

  • TelstarTelstarNo injuries or suspensions reported.
  • ADO Den HaagADO Den HaagM. Jimenez (Injury) · C. Peupion (Knee Injury) · L. Reischl (Groin Injury) · A. Pozo (Lacking Match Fitness) · N. Thomas (Shoulder Injury)

Published 11 Oct 2026, 01:12 BST · not changed since

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