Telstar v Feyenoord match analysis
This analysis was locked at kick-off on Sat 17 Oct 2026 and has not been changed since.
Pre-match analysis · as published
Written before kick-off
Feyenoord are clear favourites at 58% to win, with an expected goals gap of 0.94 in their favour despite missing seven players. Telstar have drawn three of their last five and rarely trouble top-six sides; the model expects 3.24 goals total.
How the match could end · our estimate before kick-off
- 20%Telstar win
- 22%Draw
- 58%Feyenoord win
PRO analysis
The full analysis is part of PRO
PRO members can read the full analysis exactly as it was published: the evidence and the risks behind our estimate.
See PRO plansFree on every match: kick-off time, our estimate of each result, form, past meetings and whether we found a signal.
Form · newest first
TelstarLast 5: no wins, 3 draws, 2 defeats
FeyenoordLast 5: 4 wins, no draws, 1 defeat
Past results
From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.
Trends
- Telstar won 11 of 21 matches in which they scored first, since 13 May 2025.
- Feyenoord won 40 of 48 matches in which they scored first, since 19 Oct 2024.
- Over 2.5 goals in 8 of Telstar's last 10 home league games.
Last meetings
Meetings in the competitions Ledger covers.
2 meetings: Telstar 0, draws 0, Feyenoord 2
Goals: Telstar 2, Feyenoord 4
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb 2026 | Feyenoord v Telstar | 2–1 |
| 30 Nov 2025 | Telstar v Feyenoord | 1–2 |
Home and away
TelstarTelstar at home
Last 5: 1 won, 2 drawn, 2 lost
- DrawnADO Den Haag11 Oct 20262–2
- DrawnCambuur6 Sep 20262–2
- LostAjax30 Aug 20260–4
- LostSparta Rotterdam14 Aug 20261–3
- WonHeracles10 May 20263–0
Telstar: home league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 19 scored, 16 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 6 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 8 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 10
FeyenoordFeyenoord away
Last 5: 4 won, 0 drawn, 1 lost
- WonPEC Zwolle13 Sep 20267–0
- LostBarcelonaUEFA Champions League9 Sep 20261–5
- WonNEC Nijmegen5 Sep 20263–1
- WonCambuur23 Aug 20265–2
- WonSparta Rotterdam9 Aug 20261–0
Feyenoord: away league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 24 scored, 10 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 5 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 5 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 4 of 10
Rest and schedule
Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.
Telstar- Last match
- 6 days before11 Oct 2026 · v ADO Den Haag · Eredivisie
- Next match
- 6 days after23 Oct 2026 · v GO Ahead Eagles · Eredivisie
Feyenoord- Last match
- 3 days before14 Oct 2026 · v Como · UEFA Champions League
- Next match
- 4 days after21 Oct 2026 · v Real Betis · UEFA Champions League
When the score changes
Each team's results from a given score, in its covered competitions. Every figure shows how many matches it covers.
Telstar
Since 13 May 2025
| Score | Telstar | League sides |
|---|---|---|
| Scored first | 11 won, 9 drawn, 1 lost in 21 matches | 643 won, 223 drawn, 117 lost in 983 matches |
| Conceded first | 2 won, 4 drawn, 18 lost in 24 matches | 117 won, 223 drawn, 643 lost in 983 matches |
| Level after 60 minutes | 6 won, 9 drawn, 5 lost in 20 matches | 166 won, 286 drawn, 166 lost in 618 matches |
| Level after 15 minutes | 7 won, 13 drawn, 12 lost in 32 matches | 480 won, 392 drawn, 480 lost in 1352 matches |
| Level after 30 minutes | 6 won, 11 drawn, 6 lost in 23 matches | 339 won, 312 drawn, 339 lost in 990 matches |
Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.
| Score | Telstar | League sides |
|---|---|---|
| All matches | 15 scored, 21 conceded (48) | 750 scored, 750 conceded (2048) |
| When leading after 75 minutes | 6 scored, 10 conceded (20) | 332 scored, 236 conceded (761) |
After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 26 times, equalised within 15 minutes 4, by full time 9(league sides: 1,168 times, within 15 minutes 199, by full time 538)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.
Feyenoord
Since 19 Oct 2024
| Score | Feyenoord | League sides |
|---|---|---|
| Scored first | 40 won, 5 drawn, 3 lost in 48 matches | 643 won, 223 drawn, 117 lost in 983 matches |
| Conceded first | 9 won, 8 drawn, 22 lost in 39 matches | 117 won, 223 drawn, 643 lost in 983 matches |
| 1 goal up at half-time | 20 won, 3 drawn, 1 lost in 24 matches | 295 won, 102 drawn, 51 lost in 448 matches |
| Level at half-time | 11 won, 5 drawn, 6 lost in 22 matches | 229 won, 296 drawn, 229 lost in 754 matches |
| 1 goal down at half-time | 2 won, 7 drawn, 11 lost in 20 matches | 51 won, 102 drawn, 295 lost in 448 matches |
| 1 goal up after 60 minutes | 25 won, 3 drawn, 3 lost in 31 matches | 286 won, 100 drawn, 27 lost in 413 matches |
| 2+ goals up after 70 minutes | 23 won, 0 drawn, 0 lost in 23 matches | 349 won, 11 drawn, 0 lost in 360 matches |
| 1 goal up after 70 minutes | 21 won, 4 drawn, 2 lost in 27 matches | 272 won, 93 drawn, 18 lost in 383 matches |
| 2+ goals up after 80 minutes | 24 won, 0 drawn, 0 lost in 24 matches | 378 won, 3 drawn, 0 lost in 381 matches |
| 1 goal up after 80 minutes | 22 won, 3 drawn, 1 lost in 26 matches | 303 won, 91 drawn, 4 lost in 398 matches |
| Level after 15 minutes | 28 won, 13 drawn, 15 lost in 56 matches | 480 won, 392 drawn, 480 lost in 1352 matches |
| Level after 30 minutes | 20 won, 9 drawn, 12 lost in 41 matches | 339 won, 312 drawn, 339 lost in 990 matches |
Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.
| Score | Feyenoord | League sides |
|---|---|---|
| All matches | 46 scored, 37 conceded (90) | 750 scored, 750 conceded (2048) |
| When leading after 75 minutes | 27 scored, 17 conceded (50) | 332 scored, 236 conceded (761) |
| When trailing after 75 minutes | 14 scored, 12 conceded (23) | 236 scored, 332 conceded (761) |
After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 44 times, equalised within 15 minutes 8, by full time 26(league sides: 1,168 times, within 15 minutes 199, by full time 538)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.
League sides: every team in this league since 11 Aug 2023, both venues, each match counted once for each side. Shown for context, not as a comparison.
xG and expected points
Each team's xG and points from its own earlier league matches, before this kick-off. Facts about past matches, not a forecast for this one.
Earlier league matches
| Telstar | Feyenoord | |
|---|---|---|
| 41Since 10 Aug 2025 | Matches with xG | 68Since 19 Oct 2024 |
| 59.33 | xG for | 139.30 |
| 53 | Goals scored | 158 |
| 76.71 | xG against | 73.84 |
| 69 | Goals conceded | 81 |
Telstar
Show the numbers
| Date | Opponent | xG for | xG against | Goals (tick; no tick = 0) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct 2026 | v ADO Den Haag | 2.44 | 1.11 | 2–2 |
| 20 Sep 2026 | at AZ Alkmaar | 0.10 | 2.35 | 0–1 |
| 13 Sep 2026 | at Heerenveen | 0.71 | 1.54 | 0–0 |
| 9 Sep 2026 | at Twente | 0.52 | 2.65 | 0–1 |
| 6 Sep 2026 | v Cambuur | 2.12 | 0.98 | 2–2 |
| 30 Aug 2026 | v Ajax | 1.13 | 2.13 | 0–4 |
| 14 Aug 2026 | v Sparta Rotterdam | 1.40 | 2.54 | 1–3 |
| 8 Aug 2026 | at NEC Nijmegen | 1.66 | 2.15 | 2–1 |
| 17 May 2026 | at FC Volendam | 1.40 | 1.09 | 2–1 |
| 2 May 2026 | at NEC Nijmegen | 1.22 | 2.11 | 1–1 |
Feyenoord
Show the numbers
| Date | Opponent | xG for | xG against | Goals (tick; no tick = 0) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct 2026 | v AZ Alkmaar | 2.30 | 0.77 | 2–0 |
| 20 Sep 2026 | v Utrecht | 3.41 | 0.58 | 5–0 |
| 13 Sep 2026 | at PEC Zwolle | 3.40 | 0.19 | 7–0 |
| 5 Sep 2026 | at NEC Nijmegen | 1.11 | 0.74 | 3–1 |
| 30 Aug 2026 | v ADO Den Haag | 2.47 | 0.24 | 2–2 |
| 23 Aug 2026 | at Cambuur | 2.62 | 0.96 | 5–2 |
| 16 Aug 2026 | v GO Ahead Eagles | 2.89 | 1.51 | 2–2 |
| 9 Aug 2026 | at Sparta Rotterdam | 3.53 | 1.01 | 1–0 |
| 17 May 2026 | at PEC Zwolle | 3.21 | 0.80 | 2–0 |
| 3 May 2026 | at Fortuna Sittard | 2.50 | 0.77 | 2–1 |
Telstar: 1 without xG left outFeyenoord: 1 without xG left out
This league season
Eredivisie matches since 7 Aug 2026. Play-off rounds count here as league matches.
| Telstar | Feyenoord | |
|---|---|---|
| 8 of 8 | Matches with xG | 8 of 8 |
| 6 | Points in those matches | 20 |
| 8.13 | xPts | 19.39 |
| 10.08 | xG for | 21.73 |
| 15.45 | xG against | 6.00 |
Each figure is a total over the matches shown beside it.
xG: API-Football. xPts: Ledger, from xG with a Poisson model that treats the two teams' goals as independent. That model slightly under-counts draws, so xPts totals come out a little high.
PRO depth
PRO depth: Telstar and Feyenoord
- Corners won and concededPRO
- Shots and shots on target, for and againstPRO
- Yellow cards, own and opponent'sPRO
- First-half goals, scored and concededPRO
Injuries and suspensions
- Ruled out
- T. Beelen (Broken Leg) · J. Bos (Knee Injury) · J. Moder (Knee Injury) · R. Nelson (Muscle Injury) · B. Nieuwkoop (Knee Injury) · G. Smal (Ankle Injury) · S. van Persie (Knock)
Published 17 Oct 2026, 17:57 BST · not changed since
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