Torino v Como match analysis
This analysis was locked at kick-off on Tue 27 Oct 2026 and has not been changed since.
Pre-match analysis · as published
Written before kick-off
The model gives Como a 52% chance of winning, compared to 22% for Torino, with a draw at 26%. Como dominated the recent head-to-head, winning 6-0 away and 5-1 at home, though Torino won the other meeting 1-0. Both teams have won three of their last five matches. Expected goals stand at 1.65 for Como and 0.97 for Torino. Torino will be without two defenders, with three more players doubtful.
How the match could end · our estimate before kick-off
- 22%Torino win
- 26%Draw
- 52%Como win
PRO analysis
The full analysis is part of PRO
PRO members can read the full analysis exactly as it was published: the evidence and the risks behind our estimate.
See PRO plansFree on every match: kick-off time, our estimate of each result, form, past meetings and whether we found a signal.
Form · newest first
TorinoLast 5: 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 defeat
ComoLast 5: 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 defeat
Past results
From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.
Trends
- Torino won 19 of 27 matches in which they scored first, since 31 Oct 2024.
- Como won 32 of 47 matches in which they scored first, since 31 Oct 2024.
- Como won 3 of the last 4 meetings.
- Over 2.5 goals in 8 of Torino's last 10 home league games.
Last meetings
Meetings in the competitions Ledger covers.
4 meetings: Torino 1, draws 0, Como 3
Goals: Torino 2, Como 12
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan 2026 | Como v Torino | 6–0 |
| 24 Nov 2025 | Torino v Como | 1–5 |
| 13 Apr 2025 | Como v Torino | 1–0 |
| 25 Oct 2024 | Torino v Como | 1–0 |
Home and away
TorinoTorino at home
Last 5: 2 won, 0 drawn, 3 lost
- WonMonza23 Oct 20263–2
- WonUdinese12 Oct 20262–1
- LostAS Roma14 Sep 20260–2
- LostMonzaCoppa Italia1 Sep 20260–1
- LostAC Milan23 Aug 20261–2
Torino: home league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 20 scored, 14 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 8 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 8 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 10
ComoComo away
Last 5: 3 won, 0 drawn, 2 lost
- WonFiorentina18 Oct 20263–1
- LostFeyenoordUEFA Champions League14 Oct 20262–3
- LostFrosinone20 Sep 20260–2
- WonGenoa4 Sep 20264–1
- WonNapoli30 Aug 20262–1
Como: away league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 18 scored, 9 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 6 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 5 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 10
Rest and schedule
Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.
Torino- Last match
- 4 days before23 Oct 2026 · v Monza · Serie A
- Next match
- 5 days after1 Nov 2026 · v Frosinone · Serie A
Como- Last match
- 3 days before24 Oct 2026 · v Sassuolo · Serie A
- Next match
- 5 days after1 Nov 2026 · v Venezia · Serie A
When the score changes
Each team's results from a given score, in its covered competitions since 31 Oct 2024. Every figure shows how many matches it covers.
Torino
| Score | Torino | League sides |
|---|---|---|
| Scored first | 19 won, 5 drawn, 3 lost in 27 matches | 762 won, 238 drawn, 125 lost in 1125 matches |
| Conceded first | 3 won, 11 drawn, 28 lost in 42 matches | 125 won, 238 drawn, 762 lost in 1125 matches |
| Level at half-time | 10 won, 12 drawn, 10 lost in 32 matches | 323 won, 394 drawn, 323 lost in 1040 matches |
| 1 goal down at half-time | 1 won, 7 drawn, 14 lost in 22 matches | 56 won, 123 drawn, 336 lost in 515 matches |
| Level after 60 minutes | 6 won, 11 drawn, 6 lost in 23 matches | 239 won, 406 drawn, 239 lost in 884 matches |
| 1 goal down after 60 minutes | 3 won, 9 drawn, 15 lost in 27 matches | 34 won, 112 drawn, 373 lost in 519 matches |
| Level after 70 minutes | 2 won, 15 drawn, 5 lost in 22 matches | 179 won, 448 drawn, 179 lost in 806 matches |
| 1 goal down after 70 minutes | 1 won, 7 drawn, 15 lost in 23 matches | 23 won, 96 drawn, 391 lost in 510 matches |
| Level after 80 minutes | 2 won, 18 drawn, 1 lost in 21 matches | 109 won, 488 drawn, 109 lost in 706 matches |
| Level after 15 minutes | 15 won, 19 drawn, 25 lost in 59 matches | 621 won, 538 drawn, 621 lost in 1780 matches |
| Level after 30 minutes | 13 won, 15 drawn, 15 lost in 43 matches | 453 won, 424 drawn, 453 lost in 1330 matches |
Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.
| Score | Torino | League sides |
|---|---|---|
| All matches | 19 scored, 15 conceded (75) | 708 scored, 708 conceded (2440) |
| When level after 75 minutes | 5 scored, 4 conceded (22) | 231 scored, 231 conceded (780) |
| When trailing after 75 minutes | 10 scored, 9 conceded (34) | 229 scored, 248 conceded (830) |
After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 50 times, equalised within 15 minutes 8, by full time 22(league sides: 1,256 times, within 15 minutes 185, by full time 557)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.
Como
| Score | Como | League sides |
|---|---|---|
| Scored first | 32 won, 8 drawn, 7 lost in 47 matches | 762 won, 238 drawn, 125 lost in 1125 matches |
| Conceded first | 6 won, 5 drawn, 13 lost in 24 matches | 125 won, 238 drawn, 762 lost in 1125 matches |
| 1 goal up at half-time | 17 won, 6 drawn, 4 lost in 27 matches | 336 won, 123 drawn, 56 lost in 515 matches |
| Level at half-time | 12 won, 11 drawn, 8 lost in 31 matches | 323 won, 394 drawn, 323 lost in 1040 matches |
| 1 goal up after 60 minutes | 18 won, 7 drawn, 2 lost in 27 matches | 373 won, 112 drawn, 34 lost in 519 matches |
| Level after 60 minutes | 8 won, 11 drawn, 4 lost in 23 matches | 239 won, 406 drawn, 239 lost in 884 matches |
| 1 goal up after 70 minutes | 16 won, 4 drawn, 1 lost in 21 matches | 391 won, 96 drawn, 23 lost in 510 matches |
| Level after 70 minutes | 7 won, 14 drawn, 3 lost in 24 matches | 179 won, 448 drawn, 179 lost in 806 matches |
| 2+ goals up after 80 minutes | 23 won, 0 drawn, 0 lost in 23 matches | 333 won, 4 drawn, 0 lost in 337 matches |
| Level after 15 minutes | 21 won, 18 drawn, 17 lost in 56 matches | 621 won, 538 drawn, 621 lost in 1780 matches |
| Level after 30 minutes | 20 won, 15 drawn, 11 lost in 46 matches | 453 won, 424 drawn, 453 lost in 1330 matches |
Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.
| Score | Como | League sides |
|---|---|---|
| All matches | 30 scored, 15 conceded (78) | 708 scored, 708 conceded (2440) |
| When leading after 75 minutes | 19 scored, 5 conceded (35) | 248 scored, 229 conceded (830) |
| When level after 75 minutes | 7 scored, 3 conceded (25) | 231 scored, 231 conceded (780) |
After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 29 times, equalised within 15 minutes 5, by full time 12(league sides: 1,256 times, within 15 minutes 185, by full time 557)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.
League sides: every team in this league since 19 Aug 2023, both venues, each match counted once for each side. Shown for context, not as a comparison.
xG and expected points
Each team's xG and points from its own earlier league matches, before this kick-off. Facts about past matches, not a forecast for this one.
Since 31 Oct 2024
| Torino | Como | |
|---|---|---|
| 75 | Matches with xG | 75 |
| 79.45 | xG for | 110.23 |
| 81 | Goals scored | 117 |
| 101.24 | xG against | 78.04 |
| 105 | Goals conceded | 72 |
Torino
Show the numbers
| Date | Opponent | xG for | xG against | Goals (tick; no tick = 0) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct 2026 | v Monza | 1.40 | 0.68 | 3–2 |
| 19 Oct 2026 | at Parma | 1.58 | 1.61 | 3–0 |
| 12 Oct 2026 | v Udinese | 2.62 | 0.76 | 2–1 |
| 19 Sep 2026 | at Bologna | 1.14 | 0.92 | 1–1 |
| 14 Sep 2026 | v AS Roma | 0.86 | 1.85 | 0–2 |
| 5 Sep 2026 | at Fiorentina | 0.58 | 1.67 | 2–1 |
| 29 Aug 2026 | at Sassuolo | 1.26 | 1.85 | 1–2 |
| 23 Aug 2026 | v AC Milan | 1.29 | 2.15 | 1–2 |
| 24 May 2026 | v Juventus | 0.85 | 1.92 | 2–2 |
| 17 May 2026 | at Cagliari | 0.99 | 1.32 | 1–2 |
Como
Show the numbers
| Date | Opponent | xG for | xG against | Goals (tick; no tick = 0) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct 2026 | v Sassuolo | 1.69 | 0.26 | 2–0 |
| 18 Oct 2026 | at Fiorentina | 1.59 | 2.11 | 3–1 |
| 11 Oct 2026 | v AS Roma | 1.35 | 1.08 | 0–0 |
| 20 Sep 2026 | at Frosinone | 2.12 | 2.18 | 0–2 |
| 14 Sep 2026 | v Parma | 2.98 | 1.15 | 2–1 |
| 4 Sep 2026 | at Genoa | 1.78 | 0.78 | 4–1 |
| 30 Aug 2026 | at Napoli | 1.05 | 1.39 | 2–1 |
| 22 Aug 2026 | at Udinese | 1.50 | 2.14 | 1–1 |
| 24 May 2026 | at Cremonese | 2.47 | 1.06 | 4–1 |
| 17 May 2026 | v Parma | 2.77 | 0.43 | 1–0 |
This league season
Serie A matches since 22 Aug 2026.
| Torino | Como | |
|---|---|---|
| 8 of 8 | Matches with xG | 8 of 8 |
| 13 | Points in those matches | 17 |
| 10.48 | xPts | 13.00 |
| 10.73 | xG for | 14.06 |
| 11.49 | xG against | 11.09 |
Each figure is a total over the matches shown beside it.
xG: API-Football. xPts: Ledger, from xG with a Poisson model that treats the two teams' goals as independent. That model slightly under-counts draws, so xPts totals come out a little high.
PRO depth
PRO depth: Torino and Como
- Corners won and concededPRO
- Shots and shots on target, for and againstPRO
- Yellow cards, own and opponent'sPRO
- First-half goals, scored and concededPRO
Injuries and suspensions
- Ruled out
- F. Israel (Shoulder Injury) · R. Mandragora (Muscle Injury) · R. Rodriguez (Thigh Injury)
- Doubtful
- N. Fortini (Thigh Injury) · E. Ilkhan (Muscle Injury)
- Ruled out
- T. Chalobah (Injury) · A. Diao (Thigh Injury) · M. Kean (Leg Injury) · M. Liberali (Leg Injury) · J. Rodriguez (Injury)
Published 27 Oct 2026, 18:42 GMT · not changed since
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