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Premier League
Tottenham
3–1Finished
Coventry
Mon 19 Oct 2026 · 20:00 BSTMatchday 7 · Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, London

Tottenham v Coventry match analysis

This analysis was locked at kick-off on Mon 19 Oct 2026 and has not been changed since.

Pre-match analysis · as published

Written before kick-off

Tottenham host Coventry with the model giving the home side a 50% win chance, though a draw is also likely at 25%. Expected goals total 2.91, with Tottenham favoured to create more chances. Both teams have struggled recently in the league.

How the match could end · our estimate before kick-off

  • 51%Tottenham win
  • 25%Draw
  • 24%Coventry win

PRO analysis

The full analysis is part of PRO

PRO members can read the full analysis exactly as it was published: the evidence and the risks behind our estimate.

See PRO plans

Free on every match: kick-off time, our estimate of each result, form, past meetings and whether we found a signal.

Form · newest first

TottenhamTottenham

Last 5: no wins, 3 draws, 2 defeats

CoventryCoventry

Last 5: 2 wins, no draws, 3 defeats

Past results

From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.

Trends

  • Premier League, since 11 Aug 2023: home sides leading by one goal after 70 minutes won 187 of 266.
  • Coventry won 42 of 54 matches in which they scored first, since 22 Oct 2024.
  • Not both teams scored in 8 of Coventry's last 10 away league games.

Last meetings

Meetings in the competitions Ledger covers.

1 meeting: Tottenham 1, draws 0, Coventry 0

Goals: Tottenham 2, Coventry 1

DateMatchScore
18 Sep 2024Coventry v TottenhamLeague Cup1–2

Home and away

Tottenham

Tottenham at home

Last 5: 2 won, 1 drawn, 2 lost

  • LostAston Villa19 Sep 20262–3
  • DrawnEverton12 Sep 20260–0
  • LostNewcastle29 Aug 20260–2
  • WonCharltonLeague Cup26 Aug 20265–1
  • WonEverton24 May 20261–0

Tottenham: home league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
9 scored, 20 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
6 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
6 of 10
Clean sheets
2 of 10
Coventry

Coventry away

Last 5: 3 won, 0 drawn, 2 lost

  • WonNottingham Forest19 Sep 20261–0
  • LostManchester City5 Sep 20260–1
  • WonPlymouthLeague Cup25 Aug 20264–2
  • LostArsenal21 Aug 20260–3
  • WonWatfordChampionship2 May 20264–0

Coventry: away league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
15 scored, 6 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
2 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
4 of 10
Clean sheets
6 of 10

Rest and schedule

Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.

Tottenham
Last match
9 days before10 Oct 2026 · v Manchester United · Premier League
Next match
5 days after24 Oct 2026 · v Chelsea · Premier League
Coventry
Last match
7 days before12 Oct 2026 · v Newcastle · Premier League
Next match
5 days after24 Oct 2026 · v Fulham · Premier League

When the score changes

Each team's results from a given score, in its covered competitions since 22 Oct 2024. Every figure shows how many matches it covers.

Coventry

ScoreCoventryLeague sides
Scored first42 won, 6 drawn, 6 lost in 54 matches741 won, 240 drawn, 169 lost in 1150 matches
Conceded first7 won, 6 drawn, 17 lost in 30 matches169 won, 240 drawn, 741 lost in 1150 matches
1 goal up at half-time16 won, 4 drawn, 3 lost in 23 matches326 won, 126 drawn, 74 lost in 526 matches
Level at half-time15 won, 10 drawn, 8 lost in 33 matches301 won, 326 drawn, 301 lost in 928 matches
2+ goals up after 60 minutes21 won, 0 drawn, 0 lost in 21 matches291 won, 11 drawn, 4 lost in 306 matches
Level after 60 minutes15 won, 9 drawn, 7 lost in 31 matches209 won, 324 drawn, 209 lost in 742 matches
1 goal up after 70 minutes16 won, 3 drawn, 1 lost in 20 matches348 won, 113 drawn, 37 lost in 498 matches
Level after 70 minutes12 won, 10 drawn, 5 lost in 27 matches164 won, 356 drawn, 164 lost in 684 matches
2+ goals up after 80 minutes24 won, 0 drawn, 0 lost in 24 matches408 won, 5 drawn, 1 lost in 414 matches
Level after 80 minutes8 won, 13 drawn, 3 lost in 24 matches124 won, 390 drawn, 124 lost in 638 matches
Level after 15 minutes32 won, 13 drawn, 19 lost in 64 matches616 won, 456 drawn, 616 lost in 1688 matches
1 goal up after 30 minutes19 won, 2 drawn, 2 lost in 23 matches313 won, 103 drawn, 78 lost in 494 matches
Level after 30 minutes20 won, 13 drawn, 13 lost in 46 matches430 won, 386 drawn, 430 lost in 1246 matches

Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.

Goals after 75 minutes
ScoreCoventryLeague sides
All matches39 scored, 20 conceded (90)874 scored, 874 conceded (2418)
When leading after 75 minutes16 scored, 10 conceded (41)314 scored, 327 conceded (883)
When level after 75 minutes12 scored, 3 conceded (24)233 scored, 233 conceded (652)
When trailing after 75 minutes11 scored, 7 conceded (25)327 scored, 314 conceded (883)

After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 38 times, equalised within 15 minutes 6, by full time 19(league sides: 1,364 times, within 15 minutes 231, by full time 653)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.

League sides: every team in this league since 11 Aug 2023, both venues, each match counted once for each side. Shown for context, not as a comparison.

xG and expected points

Each team's xG and points from its own earlier league matches, before this kick-off. Facts about past matches, not a forecast for this one.

Earlier league matches

TottenhamCoventry
74Since 27 Oct 2024Matches with xG89Since 22 Oct 2024
90.09xG for151.59
97Goals scored157
116.10xG against103.41
122Goals conceded102

Tottenham

xG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)Last matches with xG, oldest on the left
Show the numbers
Tottenham: Last matches with xG, newest first
DateOpponentxG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)
10 Oct 2026at Manchester United1.620.801–1
19 Sep 2026v Aston Villa1.561.162–3
12 Sep 2026v Everton0.691.110–0
5 Sep 2026at Nottingham Forest1.060.920–0
29 Aug 2026v Newcastle1.120.720–2
22 Aug 2026at Brentford0.573.870–3
24 May 2026v Everton1.150.411–0
19 May 2026at Chelsea1.720.631–2
11 May 2026v Leeds1.271.341–1
3 May 2026at Aston Villa0.990.322–1

Coventry

xG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)Last matches with xG, oldest on the left
Show the numbers
Coventry: Last matches with xG, newest first
DateOpponentxG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)
12 Oct 2026v Newcastle1.471.844–1
19 Sep 2026at Nottingham Forest0.671.101–0
13 Sep 2026v Brighton1.332.810–5
5 Sep 2026at Manchester City1.372.120–1
29 Aug 2026v Hull City1.290.720–1
21 Aug 2026at Arsenal0.201.880–3
2 May 2026at Watford1.391.704–0
26 Apr 2026v Wrexham1.581.253–1
21 Apr 2026v Portsmouth3.260.105–1
17 Apr 2026at Blackburn1.491.041–1

Coventry: 1 without xG left out

This league season

Premier League matches since 21 Aug 2026.

TottenhamCoventry
6 of 6Matches with xG6 of 6
3Points in those matches6
7.84xPts5.79
6.62xG for6.33
8.58xG against10.47

Each figure is a total over the matches shown beside it.

xG: API-Football. xPts: Ledger, from xG with a Poisson model that treats the two teams' goals as independent. That model slightly under-counts draws, so xPts totals come out a little high.

PRO depth

PRO depth: Tottenham and Coventry

  • Corners won and concededPRO
  • Shots and shots on target, for and againstPRO
  • Yellow cards, own and opponent'sPRO
  • First-half goals, scored and concededPRO
PRO: these figures for both teams

Injuries and suspensions

  • TottenhamTottenham
    Ruled out
    R. Bentancur (Red Card) · M. Mudryk (Ankle Injury) · W. Odobert (Knee Injury) · X. Simons (Knee Injury)
    Doubtful
    D. Kulusevski (Knee Injury) · P. Porro (Muscle Injury)
  • CoventryCoventry
    Ruled out
    A. Amenda (Calf Injury) · J. Eccles (Injury) · L. Woolfenden (Knee Injury) · H. Wright (Muscle Injury)

Published 19 Oct 2026, 18:57 BST · not changed since

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