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Serie A
Udinese
2–5Finished
AS Roma
Sat 31 Oct 2026 · 17:00 GMTMatchday 10 · Bluenergy Stadium, Udine

Udinese v AS Roma match analysis

This analysis was locked at kick-off on Sat 31 Oct 2026 and has not been changed since.

Pre-match analysis · as published

Written before kick-off

The model gives Roma a 56% chance of winning this match, with Udinese at 19% and a draw at 25%. Roma are expected to create significantly more chances, with expected goals of 1.76 to Udinese's 0.92 and a gap of 0.84 in Roma's favour. Udinese have won just one of their last five matches, while Roma have three wins in that span, though both squads are dealing with multiple injuries.

How the match could end · our estimate before kick-off

  • 19%Udinese win
  • 25%Draw
  • 56%AS Roma win

PRO analysis

The full analysis is part of PRO

PRO members can read the full analysis exactly as it was published: the evidence and the risks behind our estimate.

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Free on every match: kick-off time, our estimate of each result, form, past meetings and whether we found a signal.

Form · newest first

UdineseUdinese

Last 5: no wins, 1 draw, 4 defeats

  1. drew0–0at Parma
  2. lost0–2v AC Milan
  3. lost0–3v Lecce
  4. lost1–2at Torino
  5. lost0–1v Cagliari
AS RomaAS Roma

Last 5: 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 defeat

  1. won4–2v Cagliari
  2. drew3–3at Napoli
  3. won4–0v Slovan Bratislava
  4. won2–0v Genoa
  5. lost3–4v Real Madrid

Past results

From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.

Trends

  • Udinese won 20 of 33 matches in which they scored first, since 2 Nov 2024.
  • AS Roma won 50 of 58 matches in which they scored first, since 31 Oct 2024.
  • AS Roma won 7 of the last 10 meetings.
  • AS Roma unbeaten in their last 5 away games.

Last meetings

Meetings in the competitions Ledger covers.

10 meetings: Udinese 2, draws 1, AS Roma 7

Goals: Udinese 9, AS Roma 17

DateMatchScore
2 Feb 2026Udinese v AS Roma1–0
9 Nov 2025AS Roma v Udinese2–0
26 Jan 2025Udinese v AS Roma1–2
22 Sep 2024AS Roma v Udinese3–0
25 Apr 2024Udinese v AS Roma1–2
26 Nov 2023AS Roma v Udinese3–1
16 Apr 2023AS Roma v Udinese3–0
4 Sep 2022Udinese v AS Roma4–0
13 Mar 2022Udinese v AS Roma1–1
23 Sep 2021AS Roma v Udinese1–0

Home and away

Udinese

Udinese at home

Last 5: 1 won, 0 drawn, 4 lost

  • LostAC Milan25 Oct 20260–2
  • LostLecce18 Oct 20260–3
  • LostCagliari19 Sep 20260–1
  • LostLazio7 Sep 20261–2
  • WonVeneziaCoppa Italia2 Sep 20262–1

Udinese: home league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
4 scored, 12 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
2 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
2 of 10
Clean sheets
2 of 10
AS Roma

AS Roma away

Last 5: 2 won, 3 drawn, 0 lost

  • DrawnNapoli24 Oct 20263–3
  • DrawnComo11 Oct 20260–0
  • WonTorino14 Sep 20262–0
  • DrawnFenerbahçeUEFA Champions League10 Sep 20261–1
  • WonLecce31 Aug 20264–0

AS Roma: away league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
20 scored, 14 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
5 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
6 of 10
Clean sheets
5 of 10

Rest and schedule

Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.

Udinese
Last match
3 days before28 Oct 2026 · v Parma · Serie A
Next match
6 days after6 Nov 2026 · v Venezia · Serie A
AS Roma
Last match
4 days before27 Oct 2026 · v Cagliari · Serie A
Next match
3 days after3 Nov 2026 · v Manchester United · UEFA Champions League

When the score changes

Each team's results from a given score, in its covered competitions. Every figure shows how many matches it covers.

Udinese

Since 2 Nov 2024

ScoreUdineseLeague sides
Scored first20 won, 6 drawn, 7 lost in 33 matches768 won, 239 drawn, 128 lost in 1135 matches
Conceded first2 won, 6 drawn, 29 lost in 37 matches128 won, 239 drawn, 768 lost in 1135 matches
1 goal up at half-time10 won, 5 drawn, 5 lost in 20 matches337 won, 124 drawn, 58 lost in 519 matches
Level at half-time8 won, 9 drawn, 13 lost in 30 matches326 won, 396 drawn, 326 lost in 1048 matches
Level after 60 minutes4 won, 12 drawn, 9 lost in 25 matches241 won, 410 drawn, 241 lost in 892 matches
1 goal down after 60 minutes0 won, 1 drawn, 19 lost in 20 matches35 won, 112 drawn, 376 lost in 523 matches
Level after 70 minutes1 won, 14 drawn, 7 lost in 22 matches180 won, 450 drawn, 180 lost in 810 matches
Level after 80 minutes1 won, 15 drawn, 5 lost in 21 matches109 won, 492 drawn, 109 lost in 710 matches
1 goal down after 80 minutes0 won, 2 drawn, 20 lost in 22 matches13 won, 85 drawn, 437 lost in 535 matches
Level after 15 minutes17 won, 15 drawn, 25 lost in 57 matches626 won, 542 drawn, 626 lost in 1794 matches
Level after 30 minutes13 won, 11 drawn, 19 lost in 43 matches454 won, 428 drawn, 454 lost in 1336 matches

Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.

Goals after 75 minutes
ScoreUdineseLeague sides
All matches12 scored, 25 conceded (75)719 scored, 719 conceded (2462)
When leading after 75 minutes7 scored, 4 conceded (23)252 scored, 234 conceded (838)
When level after 75 minutes3 scored, 11 conceded (22)233 scored, 233 conceded (786)
When trailing after 75 minutes2 scored, 10 conceded (30)234 scored, 252 conceded (838)

After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 42 times, equalised within 15 minutes 5, by full time 13(league sides: 1,272 times, within 15 minutes 190, by full time 567)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.

AS Roma

Since 31 Oct 2024

ScoreAS RomaLeague sides
Scored first50 won, 6 drawn, 2 lost in 58 matches768 won, 239 drawn, 128 lost in 1135 matches
Conceded first7 won, 11 drawn, 20 lost in 38 matches128 won, 239 drawn, 768 lost in 1135 matches
1 goal up at half-time26 won, 2 drawn, 1 lost in 29 matches337 won, 124 drawn, 58 lost in 519 matches
Level at half-time18 won, 10 drawn, 10 lost in 38 matches326 won, 396 drawn, 326 lost in 1048 matches
1 goal up after 60 minutes32 won, 4 drawn, 0 lost in 36 matches376 won, 112 drawn, 35 lost in 523 matches
Level after 60 minutes8 won, 7 drawn, 8 lost in 23 matches241 won, 410 drawn, 241 lost in 892 matches
2+ goals up after 70 minutes22 won, 1 drawn, 1 lost in 24 matches297 won, 13 drawn, 1 lost in 311 matches
1 goal up after 70 minutes29 won, 2 drawn, 0 lost in 31 matches394 won, 97 drawn, 24 lost in 515 matches
1 goal down after 70 minutes1 won, 8 drawn, 11 lost in 20 matches24 won, 97 drawn, 394 lost in 515 matches
2+ goals up after 80 minutes27 won, 0 drawn, 1 lost in 28 matches337 won, 4 drawn, 0 lost in 341 matches
1 goal up after 80 minutes27 won, 2 drawn, 0 lost in 29 matches437 won, 85 drawn, 13 lost in 535 matches
1 goal up after 15 minutes17 won, 2 drawn, 1 lost in 20 matches208 won, 60 drawn, 42 lost in 310 matches
Level after 15 minutes38 won, 14 drawn, 15 lost in 67 matches626 won, 542 drawn, 626 lost in 1794 matches
1 goal up after 30 minutes26 won, 2 drawn, 1 lost in 29 matches297 won, 111 drawn, 61 lost in 469 matches
Level after 30 minutes25 won, 12 drawn, 14 lost in 51 matches454 won, 428 drawn, 454 lost in 1336 matches

Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.

Goals after 75 minutes
ScoreAS RomaLeague sides
All matches34 scored, 28 conceded (97)719 scored, 719 conceded (2462)
When leading after 75 minutes17 scored, 15 conceded (56)252 scored, 234 conceded (838)
When level after 75 minutes8 scored, 10 conceded (21)233 scored, 233 conceded (786)
When trailing after 75 minutes9 scored, 3 conceded (20)234 scored, 252 conceded (838)

After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 41 times, equalised within 15 minutes 12, by full time 27(league sides: 1,272 times, within 15 minutes 190, by full time 567)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.

League sides: every team in this league since 19 Aug 2023, both venues, each match counted once for each side. Shown for context, not as a comparison.

xG and expected points

Each team's xG and points from its own earlier league matches, before this kick-off. Facts about past matches, not a forecast for this one.

Earlier league matches

UdineseAS Roma
75Since 2 Nov 2024Matches with xG76Since 31 Oct 2024
82.11xG for116.89
81Goals scored129
109.44xG against80.05
108Goals conceded63

Udinese

xG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)Last matches with xG, oldest on the left
Show the numbers
Udinese: Last matches with xG, newest first
DateOpponentxG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)
28 Oct 2026at Parma1.431.200–0
25 Oct 2026v AC Milan0.553.590–2
18 Oct 2026v Lecce0.543.470–3
12 Oct 2026at Torino0.762.621–2
19 Sep 2026v Cagliari2.131.120–1
14 Sep 2026at Inter0.923.053–5
7 Sep 2026v Lazio0.851.831–2
29 Aug 2026at Monza0.981.703–2
22 Aug 2026v Como2.141.501–1
24 May 2026at Napoli0.371.760–1

AS Roma

xG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)Last matches with xG, oldest on the left
Show the numbers
AS Roma: Last matches with xG, newest first
DateOpponentxG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)
27 Oct 2026v Cagliari2.962.684–2
24 Oct 2026at Napoli1.962.513–3
17 Oct 2026v Genoa1.370.492–0
11 Oct 2026at Como1.081.350–0
19 Sep 2026v Inter1.662.862–2
14 Sep 2026at Torino1.850.862–0
5 Sep 2026v Atalanta2.970.702–1
31 Aug 2026at Lecce3.270.804–0
24 Aug 2026v Fiorentina3.070.354–0
24 May 2026at Hellas Verona3.390.842–0

This league season

Serie A matches since 22 Aug 2026.

UdineseAS Roma
9 of 9Matches with xG9 of 9
5Points in those matches21
8.01xPts16.71
10.30xG for20.19
20.08xG against12.60

Each figure is a total over the matches shown beside it.

xG: API-Football. xPts: Ledger, from xG with a Poisson model that treats the two teams' goals as independent. That model slightly under-counts draws, so xPts totals come out a little high.

PRO depth

PRO depth: Udinese and AS Roma

  • Corners won and concededPRO
  • Shots and shots on target, for and againstPRO
  • Yellow cards, own and opponent'sPRO
  • First-half goals, scored and concededPRO
PRO: these figures for both teams

Injuries and suspensions

  • UdineseUdinese
    Ruled out
    D. Alaba (Calf Injury) · V. Bayo (Thigh Injury) · I. Gueye (Ankle Injury) · A. Zanoli (Muscle Injury)
  • AS RomaAS Roma
    Ruled out
    P. Dybala (Calf Injury) · M. Kone (Muscle Injury) · L. Pellegrini (Thigh Injury) · M. Svilar (Toe Injury)

Published 31 Oct 2026, 15:57 GMT · not changed since

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