Union Berlin v SV Elversberg match analysis
This analysis was locked at kick-off on Sat 10 Oct 2026 and has not been changed since.
Pre-match analysis · as published
How the match could end · our estimate before kick-off
- 38%Union Berlin win
- 26%Draw
- 36%SV Elversberg win
PRO analysis
The full analysis is part of PRO
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Form · newest first
Union BerlinLast 5: no wins, 2 draws, 3 defeats
SV ElversbergLast 5: 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 defeat
Head-to-head
Head-to-head data was not available for this match.
Past results
From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.
Trends
- Union Berlin won 14 of 22 matches in which they scored first, since 20 Oct 2024.
- Bundesliga, since 18 Aug 2023: home sides leading by one goal after 70 minutes won 147 of 194.
- Over 2.5 goals in 7 of Union Berlin's last 10 home league games.
- Both teams scored in 7 of Union Berlin's last 10 home league games.
Home and away
Union BerlinUnion Berlin at home
Last 5: 1 won, 2 drawn, 2 lost
- LostFC Schalke 0411 Sep 20261–3
- DrawnEintracht Frankfurt29 Aug 20263–3
- WonFC Augsburg16 May 20264–0
- Drawn1. FC Köln2 May 20262–2
- LostVfL Wolfsburg18 Apr 20261–2
Union Berlin: home league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 15 scored, 19 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 7 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 7 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 10
SV ElversbergSV Elversberg away
Last 5: 2 won, 2 drawn, 1 lost
- DrawnFC Schalke 0420 Sep 20260–0
- WonBorussia Mönchengladbach5 Sep 20264–3
- WonMSV DuisburgDFB Pokal22 Aug 20263–1
- LostFortuna Düsseldorf2. Bundesliga10 May 20261–3
- DrawnSV Darmstadt 982. Bundesliga25 Apr 20263–3
SV Elversberg: away league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 17 scored, 18 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 8 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 6 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 10
Rest and schedule
Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.
Union Berlin- Last match
- 22 days before18 Sep 2026 · v Bayern München · Bundesliga
- Next match
- 7 days after17 Oct 2026 · v Borussia Dortmund · Bundesliga
SV Elversberg- Last match
- 20 days before20 Sep 2026 · v FC Schalke 04 · Bundesliga
- Next match
- 7 days after17 Oct 2026 · v FC Augsburg · Bundesliga
When the score changes
Each team's results from a given score, in its covered competitions since 20 Oct 2024. Every figure shows how many matches it covers.
Union Berlin
| Score | Union Berlin | League sides |
|---|---|---|
| Scored first | 14 won, 4 drawn, 4 lost in 22 matches | 591 won, 194 drawn, 125 lost in 910 matches |
| Conceded first | 3 won, 10 drawn, 26 lost in 39 matches | 125 won, 194 drawn, 591 lost in 910 matches |
| Level at half-time | 5 won, 11 drawn, 4 lost in 20 matches | 194 won, 286 drawn, 194 lost in 674 matches |
| 1 goal down at half-time | 2 won, 7 drawn, 11 lost in 20 matches | 55 won, 91 drawn, 265 lost in 411 matches |
| Level after 60 minutes | 5 won, 11 drawn, 5 lost in 21 matches | 147 won, 282 drawn, 147 lost in 576 matches |
| 2+ goals down after 60 minutes | 0 won, 0 drawn, 20 lost in 20 matches | 6 won, 14 drawn, 293 lost in 313 matches |
| Level after 70 minutes | 5 won, 13 drawn, 4 lost in 22 matches | 99 won, 290 drawn, 99 lost in 488 matches |
| 2+ goals down after 70 minutes | 0 won, 3 drawn, 20 lost in 23 matches | 3 won, 7 drawn, 325 lost in 335 matches |
| Level after 15 minutes | 13 won, 15 drawn, 19 lost in 47 matches | 479 won, 354 drawn, 479 lost in 1312 matches |
| Level after 30 minutes | 8 won, 11 drawn, 13 lost in 32 matches | 314 won, 308 drawn, 314 lost in 936 matches |
Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.
| Score | Union Berlin | League sides |
|---|---|---|
| All matches | 26 scored, 22 conceded (66) | 691 scored, 691 conceded (1922) |
| When trailing after 75 minutes | 13 scored, 14 conceded (35) | 258 scored, 293 conceded (722) |
After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 43 times, equalised within 15 minutes 4, by full time 15(league sides: 1,103 times, within 15 minutes 191, by full time 501)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.
League sides: every team in this league since 18 Aug 2023, both venues, each match counted once for each side. Shown for context, not as a comparison.
xG and expected points
Each team's xG and points from its own earlier league matches, before this kick-off. Facts about past matches, not a forecast for this one.
Since 20 Oct 2024
| Union Berlin | SV Elversberg | |
|---|---|---|
| 66 | Matches with xG | — |
| 82.10 | xG for | — |
| 78 | Goals scored | — |
| 106.25 | xG against | — |
| 121 | Goals conceded | — |
Union Berlin
Show the numbers
| Date | Opponent | xG for | xG against | Goals (tick; no tick = 0) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep 2026 | at Bayern München | 0.34 | 3.71 | 0–7 |
| 11 Sep 2026 | v FC Schalke 04 | 1.95 | 2.52 | 1–3 |
| 5 Sep 2026 | at Bayer Leverkusen | 0.39 | 3.11 | 0–4 |
| 29 Aug 2026 | v Eintracht Frankfurt | 1.84 | 1.47 | 3–3 |
| 16 May 2026 | v FC Augsburg | 3.68 | 0.61 | 4–0 |
| 10 May 2026 | at FSV Mainz 05 | 2.68 | 1.57 | 3–1 |
| 2 May 2026 | v 1. FC Köln | 1.15 | 1.75 | 2–2 |
| 24 Apr 2026 | at RB Leipzig | 0.19 | 4.49 | 1–3 |
| 18 Apr 2026 | v VfL Wolfsburg | 1.79 | 0.19 | 1–2 |
| 11 Apr 2026 | at 1. FC Heidenheim | 0.99 | 1.85 | 1–3 |
Each figure is a total over the matches shown beside it.
xG: API-Football. xPts: Ledger, from xG with a Poisson model that treats the two teams' goals as independent. That model slightly under-counts draws, so xPts totals come out a little high.
PRO depth
PRO depth: Union Berlin and SV Elversberg
- Corners won and concededPRO
- Shots and shots on target, for and againstPRO
- Yellow cards, own and opponent'sPRO
- First-half goals, scored and concededPRO
Injuries and suspensions
Published 10 Oct 2026, 13:27 BST · not changed since
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