Universidad Catolica v Macara match analysis
This analysis was locked at kick-off on Sun 11 Oct 2026 and has not been changed since.
Pre-match analysis · as published
Written before kick-off
Universidad Católica are favoured at home with a 44% chance of victory over Macará, though a draw at 28% remains likely. The model expects 2.73 goals and a relatively even contest, with Macará's recent form adding doubt to Católica's position as clear favourites.
How the match could end · our estimate before kick-off
- 44%Universidad Catolica win
- 27%Draw
- 29%Macara win
PRO analysis
The full analysis is part of PRO
PRO members can read the full analysis exactly as it was published: the evidence and the risks behind our estimate.
See PRO plansFree on every match: kick-off time, our estimate of each result, form, past meetings and whether we found a signal.
Form · newest first
Last 5: 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 defeat
Last 5: 4 wins, no draws, 1 defeat
Past results
From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.
Trends
- Universidad Catolica won 7 of the last 10 meetings.
- Universidad Catolica unbeaten in their last 5 home games.
- Over 2.5 goals in 8 of Universidad Catolica's last 10 home league games.
- Both teams scored in 7 of Universidad Catolica's last 10 home league games.
Last meetings
Meetings in the competitions Ledger covers.
10 meetings: Universidad Catolica 7, draws 3, Macara 0
Goals: Universidad Catolica 23, Macara 8
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug 2026 | Macara v Universidad Catolica | 1–1 |
| 24 Apr 2026 | Universidad Catolica v Macara | 4–0 |
| 27 Jul 2025 | Macara v Universidad Catolica | 1–4 |
| 6 Apr 2025 | Universidad Catolica v Macara | 1–0 |
| 30 Nov 2024 | Macara v Universidad Catolica | 1–2 |
| 2 Jun 2024 | Universidad Catolica v Macara | 3–0 |
| 31 Jul 2022 | Macara v Universidad Catolica | 1–3 |
| 13 Mar 2022 | Universidad Catolica v Macara | 2–2 |
| 29 Aug 2021 | Macara v Universidad Catolica | 1–2 |
| 1 Apr 2021 | Universidad Catolica v Macara | 1–1 |
Home and away
Universidad Catolica at home
Last 5: 4 won, 1 drawn, 0 lost
- WonOrense SC15 Sep 20262–1
- DrawnAucas3 Sep 20261–1
- WonManta FC22 Aug 20265–1
- WonTecnico Universitario1 Aug 20265–0
- WonBarcelona SC22 Jul 20262–1
Universidad Catolica: home league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 26 scored, 12 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 7 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 8 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 10
Macara away
Last 5: 2 won, 0 drawn, 3 lost
- WonAucas19 Sep 20262–1
- LostIndependiente del Valle6 Sep 20261–3
- WonOrense SC30 Aug 20262–1
- LostLibertad25 Aug 20260–1
- LostSantosCONMEBOL Sudamericana13 Aug 20261–2
Macara: away league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 15 scored, 13 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 7 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 6 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 10
Rest and schedule
Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.
- Last match
- 21 days before21 Sep 2026 · v LDU de Quito · Liga Pro
- Next match
- 7 days after18 Oct 2026 · v Barcelona SC · Liga Pro
- Last match
- 22 days before19 Sep 2026 · v Aucas · Liga Pro
- Next match
- 6 days after17 Oct 2026 · v Independiente del Valle · Liga Pro
Injuries and suspensions
Team news was not available for this match.
Published 11 Oct 2026, 17:13 BST · not changed since
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