Venezia v Inter match analysis
This analysis was locked at kick-off on Wed 28 Oct 2026 and has not been changed since.
Pre-match analysis · as published
Written before kick-off
The model gives Inter a 65% chance of winning this match, with Venezia at 14% and a draw at 20%. Inter are projected to score 2.16 goals and Venezia 0.92, creating a gap of 1.24 in Inter's favour. Venezia have lost four of their last five games, while Inter have won three of theirs; Inter won their last meeting 5-1.
How the match could end · our estimate before kick-off
- 15%Venezia win
- 20%Draw
- 65%Inter win
PRO analysis
The full analysis is part of PRO
PRO members can read the full analysis exactly as it was published: the evidence and the risks behind our estimate.
See PRO plansFree on every match: kick-off time, our estimate of each result, form, past meetings and whether we found a signal.
Form · newest first
VeneziaLast 5: 1 win, no draws, 4 defeats
InterLast 5: 4 wins, no draws, 1 defeat
Past results
From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.
Trends
- Serie A, since 19 Aug 2023: home sides leading by one goal after 70 minutes won 218 of 276.
- Inter won 5 of the last 5 meetings.
- Not both teams scored in 7 of Venezia's last 10 home league games.
Last meetings
Meetings in the competitions Ledger covers.
5 meetings: Venezia 0, draws 0, Inter 5
Goals: Venezia 2, Inter 11
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 3 Dec 2025 | Inter v VeneziaCoppa Italia | 5–1 |
| 12 Jan 2025 | Venezia v Inter | 0–1 |
| 3 Nov 2024 | Inter v Venezia | 1–0 |
| 22 Jan 2022 | Inter v Venezia | 2–1 |
| 27 Nov 2021 | Venezia v Inter | 0–2 |
Home and away
VeneziaVenezia at home
Last 5: 2 won, 0 drawn, 3 lost
- WonNapoli17 Oct 20261–0
- LostLazio19 Sep 20260–2
- LostFiorentina11 Sep 20262–4
- LostLecce23 Aug 20260–2
- WonModenaCoppa Italia15 Aug 20263–2
Venezia: home league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 19 scored, 10 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 3 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 4 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 5 of 10
InterInter away
Last 5: 2 won, 2 drawn, 1 lost
- WonBologna17 Oct 20263–1
- DrawnAS Roma19 Sep 20262–2
- LostReal MadridUEFA Champions League8 Sep 20261–2
- WonCagliari30 Aug 20261–0
- DrawnBologna23 May 20263–3
Inter: away league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 21 scored, 13 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 6 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 6 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 10
Rest and schedule
Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.
Venezia- Last match
- 3 days before25 Oct 2026 · v Genoa · Serie A
- Next match
- 4 days after1 Nov 2026 · v Como · Serie A
Inter- Last match
- 3 days before25 Oct 2026 · v Fiorentina · Serie A
- Next match
- 3 days after31 Oct 2026 · v AC Milan · Serie A
xG and expected points
Each team's xG and points from its own earlier league matches, before this kick-off. Facts about past matches, not a forecast for this one.
Since 30 Oct 2024
| Venezia | Inter | |
|---|---|---|
| 37 | Matches with xG | 74 |
| 41.95 | xG for | 146.11 |
| 31 | Goals scored | 170 |
| 60.55 | xG against | 67.59 |
| 57 | Goals conceded | 64 |
Venezia
Show the numbers
| Date | Opponent | xG for | xG against | Goals (tick; no tick = 0) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct 2026 | at Genoa | 1.82 | 0.41 | 0–1 |
| 17 Oct 2026 | v Napoli | 0.67 | 2.46 | 1–0 |
| 12 Oct 2026 | at Atalanta | 2.48 | 2.19 | 1–3 |
| 19 Sep 2026 | v Lazio | 1.89 | 1.60 | 0–2 |
| 11 Sep 2026 | v Fiorentina | 0.49 | 3.31 | 2–4 |
| 6 Sep 2026 | at Frosinone | 2.17 | 1.90 | 2–3 |
| 28 Aug 2026 | at AC Milan | 0.80 | 2.21 | 0–2 |
| 23 Aug 2026 | v Lecce | 2.05 | 2.70 | 0–2 |
| 25 May 2025 | v Juventus | 0.88 | 1.96 | 2–3 |
| 18 May 2025 | at Cagliari | 0.68 | 1.52 | 0–3 |
Inter
Show the numbers
| Date | Opponent | xG for | xG against | Goals (tick; no tick = 0) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct 2026 | v Fiorentina | 3.15 | 0.24 | 2–1 |
| 17 Oct 2026 | at Bologna | 3.22 | 1.09 | 3–1 |
| 10 Oct 2026 | v Parma | 2.42 | 0.46 | 3–0 |
| 19 Sep 2026 | at AS Roma | 2.86 | 1.66 | 2–2 |
| 14 Sep 2026 | v Udinese | 3.05 | 0.92 | 5–3 |
| 5 Sep 2026 | v Napoli | 3.86 | 2.43 | 3–2 |
| 30 Aug 2026 | at Cagliari | 3.67 | 0.48 | 1–0 |
| 22 Aug 2026 | v Monza | 1.05 | 1.23 | 4–1 |
| 23 May 2026 | at Bologna | 1.78 | 1.40 | 3–3 |
| 17 May 2026 | v Hellas Verona | 2.56 | 1.19 | 1–1 |
Inter: 1 without xG left out
This league season
Serie A matches since 22 Aug 2026.
| Venezia | Inter | |
|---|---|---|
| 8 of 8 | Matches with xG | 8 of 8 |
| 3 | Points in those matches | 22 |
| 9.22 | xPts | 18.55 |
| 12.37 | xG for | 23.28 |
| 16.78 | xG against | 8.51 |
Each figure is a total over the matches shown beside it.
xG: API-Football. xPts: Ledger, from xG with a Poisson model that treats the two teams' goals as independent. That model slightly under-counts draws, so xPts totals come out a little high.
PRO depth
PRO depth: Venezia and Inter
- Corners won and concededPRO
- Shots and shots on target, for and againstPRO
- Yellow cards, own and opponent'sPRO
- First-half goals, scored and concededPRO
Injuries and suspensions
- Ruled out
- A. Adorante (Hernia) · T. Correia (Thigh Injury) · B. Franjic (Shoulder Injury) · M. Sverko (Hip Injury)
- Ruled out
- C. Jones (Thigh Injury) · Luis Henrique (Thigh Injury) · L. Martinez (Thigh Injury) · B. Pavard (Thigh Injury) · J. Stones (Injury)
Published 28 Oct 2026, 16:28 GMT · not changed since
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