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Serie A
Venezia
19:45
Udinese
Fri 6 Nov 2026 · GMTMatchday 11 · Stadio Pier Luigi Penzo, Venice

Venezia v Udinese · analysis and preview

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Most likely: Venezia win

Venezia, without three key defenders, faces Udinese in a match where the model estimates a 41% chance for a home win and 31% for away victory. Udinese has won both recent encounters against Venezia and will have fewer available defensive options with David Alaba among five injured players. Expected goals are 1.4 for Venezia and 1.21 for Udinese, with a 0.19 gap in the home side's favour.

How the match could end · our estimate

  • 41%Venezia win
  • 28%Draw
  • 31%Udinese win

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Form · newest first

VeneziaVenezia

Last 5: 1 win, no draws, 4 defeats

  1. lost0–1at Como
  2. lost0–2v Inter
  3. lost0–1at Genoa
  4. won1–0v Napoli
  5. lost1–3at Atalanta
UdineseUdinese

Last 5: no wins, 1 draw, 4 defeats

  1. lost2–5v AS Roma
  2. drew0–0at Parma
  3. lost0–2v AC Milan
  4. lost0–3v Lecce
  5. lost1–2at Torino

Past results

From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.

Trends

  • Serie A, since 19 Aug 2023: home sides leading by one goal after 70 minutes won 222 of 281.
  • Udinese won 20 of 33 matches in which they scored first, since 10 Nov 2024.
  • Udinese won 4 of the last 5 meetings.
  • Under 2.5 goals in 7 of Venezia's last 10 home league games.

Last meetings

Meetings in the competitions Ledger covers.

5 meetings: Venezia 1, draws 0, Udinese 4

Goals: Venezia 7, Udinese 12

DateMatchScore
2 Sep 2026Udinese v VeneziaCoppa Italia2–1
1 Feb 2025Udinese v Venezia3–2
30 Oct 2024Venezia v Udinese3–2
10 Apr 2022Venezia v Udinese1–2
27 Aug 2021Udinese v Venezia3–0

Home and away

Venezia

Venezia at home

Last 5: 1 won, 0 drawn, 4 lost

  • LostInter28 Oct 20260–2
  • WonNapoli17 Oct 20261–0
  • LostLazio19 Sep 20260–2
  • LostFiorentina11 Sep 20262–4
  • LostLecce23 Aug 20260–2

Venezia: home league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
15 scored, 12 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
3 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
3 of 10
Clean sheets
4 of 10
Udinese

Udinese away

Last 5: 1 won, 1 drawn, 3 lost

  • DrawnParma28 Oct 20260–0
  • LostTorino12 Oct 20261–2
  • LostInter14 Sep 20263–5
  • WonMonza29 Aug 20263–2
  • LostNapoli24 May 20260–1

Udinese: away league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
19 scored, 15 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
5 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
6 of 10
Clean sheets
4 of 10

Rest and schedule

Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.

Venezia
Last match
5 days before1 Nov 2026 · v Como · Serie A
Next match
Not known
Udinese
Last match
6 days before31 Oct 2026 · v AS Roma · Serie A
Next match
Not known

When the score changes

Each team's results from a given score, in its covered competitions since 10 Nov 2024. Every figure shows how many matches it covers.

Udinese

ScoreUdineseLeague sides
Scored first20 won, 6 drawn, 7 lost in 33 matches775 won, 239 drawn, 130 lost in 1144 matches
Conceded first2 won, 6 drawn, 29 lost in 37 matches130 won, 239 drawn, 775 lost in 1144 matches
1 goal up at half-time10 won, 5 drawn, 5 lost in 20 matches340 won, 124 drawn, 58 lost in 522 matches
Level at half-time8 won, 9 drawn, 13 lost in 30 matches330 won, 396 drawn, 330 lost in 1056 matches
Level after 60 minutes4 won, 12 drawn, 9 lost in 25 matches243 won, 410 drawn, 243 lost in 896 matches
1 goal down after 60 minutes0 won, 1 drawn, 19 lost in 20 matches35 won, 112 drawn, 380 lost in 527 matches
Level after 70 minutes1 won, 14 drawn, 7 lost in 22 matches182 won, 450 drawn, 182 lost in 814 matches
Level after 80 minutes1 won, 15 drawn, 5 lost in 21 matches110 won, 492 drawn, 110 lost in 712 matches
1 goal down after 80 minutes0 won, 2 drawn, 20 lost in 22 matches13 won, 85 drawn, 442 lost in 540 matches
Level after 15 minutes17 won, 15 drawn, 24 lost in 56 matches632 won, 542 drawn, 632 lost in 1806 matches
Level after 30 minutes13 won, 11 drawn, 19 lost in 43 matches458 won, 428 drawn, 458 lost in 1344 matches

Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.

Goals after 75 minutes
ScoreUdineseLeague sides
All matches13 scored, 26 conceded (75)726 scored, 726 conceded (2480)
When leading after 75 minutes7 scored, 4 conceded (23)255 scored, 235 conceded (845)
When level after 75 minutes3 scored, 11 conceded (22)236 scored, 236 conceded (790)
When trailing after 75 minutes3 scored, 11 conceded (30)235 scored, 255 conceded (845)

After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 42 times, equalised within 15 minutes 5, by full time 13(league sides: 1,282 times, within 15 minutes 191, by full time 570)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.

League sides: every team in this league since 19 Aug 2023, both venues, each match counted once for each side. Shown for context, not as a comparison.

xG and expected points

Each team's xG and points from its own earlier league matches, before this kick-off. Facts about past matches, not a forecast for this one.

Earlier league matches

VeneziaUdinese
37Since 9 Nov 2024Matches with xG75Since 10 Nov 2024
40.39xG for83.36
28Goals scored83
61.30xG against110.97
57Goals conceded111

Venezia

xG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)Last matches with xG, oldest on the left
Show the numbers
Venezia: Last matches with xG, newest first
DateOpponentxG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)
1 Nov 2026at Como0.231.630–1
28 Oct 2026v Inter1.672.390–2
25 Oct 2026at Genoa1.820.410–1
17 Oct 2026v Napoli0.672.461–0
12 Oct 2026at Atalanta2.482.191–3
19 Sep 2026v Lazio1.891.600–2
11 Sep 2026v Fiorentina0.493.312–4
6 Sep 2026at Frosinone2.171.902–3
28 Aug 2026at AC Milan0.802.210–2
23 Aug 2026v Lecce2.052.700–2

Udinese

xG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)Last matches with xG, oldest on the left
Show the numbers
Udinese: Last matches with xG, newest first
DateOpponentxG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)
31 Oct 2026v AS Roma1.852.822–5
28 Oct 2026at Parma1.431.200–0
25 Oct 2026v AC Milan0.553.590–2
18 Oct 2026v Lecce0.543.470–3
12 Oct 2026at Torino0.762.621–2
19 Sep 2026v Cagliari2.131.120–1
14 Sep 2026at Inter0.923.053–5
7 Sep 2026v Lazio0.851.831–2
29 Aug 2026at Monza0.981.703–2
22 Aug 2026v Como2.141.501–1

This league season

Serie A matches since 22 Aug 2026.

VeneziaUdinese
10 of 10Matches with xG10 of 10
3Points in those matches5
10.57xPts8.92
14.27xG for12.15
20.80xG against22.90

Each figure is a total over the matches shown beside it.

xG: API-Football. xPts: Ledger, from xG with a Poisson model that treats the two teams' goals as independent. That model slightly under-counts draws, so xPts totals come out a little high.

PRO depth

PRO depth: Venezia and Udinese

  • Corners won and concededPRO
  • Shots and shots on target, for and againstPRO
  • Yellow cards, own and opponent'sPRO
  • First-half goals, scored and concededPRO
PRO: these figures for both teams

Injuries and suspensions

  • VeneziaVenezia
    Ruled out
    A. Adorante (Hernia) · B. Franjic (Shoulder Injury) · M. Sverko (Hip Injury)
    Doubtful
    T. Correia (Thigh Injury)
  • UdineseUdinese
    Ruled out
    D. Alaba (Calf Injury) · I. Gueye (Ankle Injury)
    Doubtful
    V. Bayo (Thigh Injury) · O. Solet (Muscle Injury) · A. Zanoli (Muscle Injury)

Updated 6 Nov 2026, 18:42 GMT

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