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Bundesliga
VfB Stuttgart
17:30
Werder Bremen
Sat 7 Nov 2026 · GMTMatchday 9 · MHP Arena, Stuttgart

VfB Stuttgart v Werder Bremen · analysis and preview

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Most likely: VfB Stuttgart win

The model gives Stuttgart a 61% chance of winning against Bremen, who have won only one of their last five games while Stuttgart have won three. Stuttgart are expected to create more chances, with an expected goals tally of 2.16 to Bremen's 1.15, a gap of 1.01 in Stuttgart's favour. The two teams drew 1–1 in their most recent meeting last April.

How the match could end · our estimate

  • 61%VfB Stuttgart win
  • 21%Draw
  • 18%Werder Bremen win

PRO analysis

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Free on every match: kick-off time, our estimate of each result, form, past meetings and whether we found a signal.

Form · newest first

VfB StuttgartVfB Stuttgart

Last 5: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 defeats

  1. lost0–2at Galatasaray
  2. won4–2at Bayer Leverkusen
  3. won1–0at SC Paderborn 07
  4. lost2–3v Borussia Mönchengladbach
  5. drew1–1v Atletico Madrid
Werder BremenWerder Bremen

Last 5: 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 defeat

  1. won2–0v 1899 Hoffenheim
  2. lost2–3at Borussia Dortmund
  3. won3–2at FSV Mainz 05
  4. drew2–2v SC Paderborn 07
  5. drew2–2at Borussia Dortmund

Past results

From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.

Trends

  • Bundesliga, since 18 Aug 2023: home sides leading by one goal after 70 minutes won 149 of 200.
  • Werder Bremen won 19 of 27 matches in which they scored first, since 9 Nov 2024.
  • Werder Bremen won 3 of the last 8 meetings.
  • Both teams scored in 8 of Werder Bremen's last 10 away league games.

Last meetings

Meetings in the competitions Ledger covers.

8 meetings: VfB Stuttgart 2, draws 3, Werder Bremen 3

Goals: VfB Stuttgart 13, Werder Bremen 11

DateMatchScore
26 Apr 2026VfB Stuttgart v Werder Bremen1–1
14 Dec 2025Werder Bremen v VfB Stuttgart0–4
13 Apr 2025VfB Stuttgart v Werder Bremen1–2
30 Nov 2024Werder Bremen v VfB Stuttgart2–2
21 Apr 2024Werder Bremen v VfB Stuttgart2–1
2 Dec 2023VfB Stuttgart v Werder Bremen2–0
5 Feb 2023VfB Stuttgart v Werder Bremen0–2
13 Aug 2022Werder Bremen v VfB Stuttgart2–2

Home and away

VfB Stuttgart

VfB Stuttgart at home

Last 5: 2 won, 1 drawn, 2 lost

  • LostBorussia Mönchengladbach23 Oct 20262–3
  • DrawnAtletico MadridUEFA Champions League20 Oct 20261–1
  • LostBorussia Dortmund19 Sep 20260–1
  • WonVikingUEFA Champions League9 Sep 20263–1
  • Won1. FC Köln4 Sep 20264–1

VfB Stuttgart: home league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
22 scored, 10 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
5 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
6 of 10
Clean sheets
3 of 10
Werder Bremen

Werder Bremen away

Last 5: 1 won, 2 drawn, 2 lost

  • LostBorussia DortmundDFB Pokal27 Oct 20262–3
  • WonFSV Mainz 0524 Oct 20263–2
  • DrawnBorussia Dortmund9 Oct 20262–2
  • Drawn1. FC Köln12 Sep 20261–1
  • LostSC Freiburg30 Aug 20261–4

Werder Bremen: away league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
15 scored, 17 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
8 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
6 of 10
Clean sheets
1 of 10

Rest and schedule

Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.

VfB Stuttgart
Last match
4 days before3 Nov 2026 · v Galatasaray · UEFA Champions League
Next match
Not known
Werder Bremen
Last match
7 days before31 Oct 2026 · v 1899 Hoffenheim · Bundesliga
Next match
Not known

When the score changes

Each team's results from a given score, in its covered competitions since 9 Nov 2024. Every figure shows how many matches it covers.

Werder Bremen

ScoreWerder BremenLeague sides
Scored first19 won, 6 drawn, 2 lost in 27 matches615 won, 199 drawn, 128 lost in 942 matches
Conceded first4 won, 8 drawn, 26 lost in 38 matches128 won, 199 drawn, 615 lost in 942 matches
Level at half-time8 won, 9 drawn, 5 lost in 22 matches209 won, 294 drawn, 209 lost in 712 matches
Level after 15 minutes15 won, 11 drawn, 17 lost in 43 matches494 won, 366 drawn, 494 lost in 1354 matches
Level after 30 minutes8 won, 10 drawn, 12 lost in 30 matches326 won, 318 drawn, 326 lost in 970 matches

Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.

Goals after 75 minutes
ScoreWerder BremenLeague sides
All matches33 scored, 26 conceded (68)724 scored, 724 conceded (1992)
When leading after 75 minutes11 scored, 5 conceded (21)302 scored, 271 conceded (743)
When trailing after 75 minutes15 scored, 16 conceded (33)271 scored, 302 conceded (743)

After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 43 times, equalised within 15 minutes 5, by full time 17(league sides: 1,137 times, within 15 minutes 195, by full time 518)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.

League sides: every team in this league since 18 Aug 2023, both venues, each match counted once for each side. Shown for context, not as a comparison.

xG and expected points

Each team's xG and points from its own earlier league matches, before this kick-off. Facts about past matches, not a forecast for this one.

Earlier league matches

VfB StuttgartWerder Bremen
67Since 10 Nov 2024Matches with xG67Since 9 Nov 2024
123.93xG for92.81
132Goals scored93
102.82xG against102.34
101Goals conceded111

VfB Stuttgart

xG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)Last matches with xG, oldest on the left
Show the numbers
VfB Stuttgart: Last matches with xG, newest first
DateOpponentxG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)
31 Oct 2026at Bayer Leverkusen2.882.074–2
23 Oct 2026v Borussia Mönchengladbach1.602.662–3
17 Oct 2026at Hamburger SV1.711.460–1
10 Oct 2026at SC Paderborn 072.471.962–0
19 Sep 2026v Borussia Dortmund0.871.340–1
12 Sep 2026at 1899 Hoffenheim2.162.761–2
4 Sep 2026v 1. FC Köln3.472.864–1
28 Aug 2026at Bayern München0.794.061–5
16 May 2026at Eintracht Frankfurt1.322.562–2
9 May 2026v Bayer Leverkusen3.040.543–1

Werder Bremen

xG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)Last matches with xG, oldest on the left
Show the numbers
Werder Bremen: Last matches with xG, newest first
DateOpponentxG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)
31 Oct 2026v 1899 Hoffenheim1.201.152–0
24 Oct 2026at FSV Mainz 052.581.733–2
17 Oct 2026v SC Paderborn 072.871.012–2
9 Oct 2026at Borussia Dortmund1.132.422–2
19 Sep 2026v FC Augsburg2.781.123–2
12 Sep 2026at 1. FC Köln1.121.651–1
5 Sep 2026v RB Leipzig0.951.503–1
30 Aug 2026at SC Freiburg0.542.371–4
16 May 2026v Borussia Dortmund0.492.740–2
9 May 2026at 1899 Hoffenheim1.071.520–1

This league season

Bundesliga matches since 28 Aug 2026.

VfB StuttgartWerder Bremen
8 of 8Matches with xG8 of 8
9Points in those matches15
9.86xPts11.00
15.95xG for13.17
19.17xG against12.95

Each figure is a total over the matches shown beside it.

xG: API-Football. xPts: Ledger, from xG with a Poisson model that treats the two teams' goals as independent. That model slightly under-counts draws, so xPts totals come out a little high.

PRO depth

PRO depth: VfB Stuttgart and Werder Bremen

  • Corners won and concededPRO
  • Shots and shots on target, for and againstPRO
  • Yellow cards, own and opponent'sPRO
  • First-half goals, scored and concededPRO
PRO: these figures for both teams

Injuries and suspensions

Team news not available yet.

Updated 6 Nov 2026, 17:33 GMT

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