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Championship
West Brom
1–1Finished
Southampton
Tue 3 Nov 2026 · 20:00 GMTMatchday 14 · The Hawthorns, West Bromwich

West Brom v Southampton match analysis

This analysis was locked at kick-off on Tue 3 Nov 2026 and has not been changed since.

Pre-match analysis · as published

Written before kick-off

Southampton has started well with two wins in its last three matches, whilst West Brom has struggled for consistency with two draws in five games. Expected goals total 2.64 with a gap of 0.16 in Southampton's favour. Head-to-head history shows a 1–1 draw most recently, with Southampton winning 3–2 when they visited West Brom earlier this year.

How the match could end · our estimate before kick-off

  • 33%West Brom win
  • 28%Draw
  • 39%Southampton win

PRO analysis

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Free on every match: kick-off time, our estimate of each result, form, past meetings and whether we found a signal.

Form · newest first

West BromWest Brom

Last 5: 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 defeat

  1. won3–1at West Ham
  2. drew1–1at Preston
  3. won3–2v Blackburn
  4. won2–1at Wrexham
  5. lost0–1v Birmingham
SouthamptonSouthampton

Last 5: 4 wins, 1 draw, no defeats

  1. won4–1v QPR
  2. won3–2at West Ham
  3. drew0–0v Bolton
  4. won1–0at Norwich
  5. won1–0v Portsmouth

Past results

From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.

Trends

  • West Brom won 25 of 41 matches in which they scored first, since 7 Nov 2024.
  • Championship, since 4 Aug 2023: home sides leading by one goal after 70 minutes won 326 of 418.
  • Southampton won 4 of the last 6 meetings.
  • Both teams scored in 8 of Southampton's last 10 away league games.

Last meetings

Meetings in the competitions Ledger covers.

6 meetings: West Brom 0, draws 2, Southampton 4

Goals: West Brom 5, Southampton 11

DateMatchScore
11 Mar 2026West Brom v Southampton1–1
9 Dec 2025Southampton v West Brom3–2
17 May 2024Southampton v West Brom3–1
12 May 2024West Brom v Southampton0–0
16 Feb 2024West Brom v Southampton0–2
11 Nov 2023Southampton v West Brom2–1

Home and away

West Brom

West Brom at home

Last 5: 2 won, 2 drawn, 1 lost

  • WonBlackburn17 Oct 20263–2
  • LostBirmingham10 Oct 20260–1
  • DrawnQPR12 Sep 20261–1
  • WonWatford5 Sep 20261–0
  • DrawnCharlton2 Sep 20261–1

West Brom: home league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
14 scored, 8 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
5 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
4 of 10
Clean sheets
4 of 10
Southampton

Southampton away

Last 5: 2 won, 2 drawn, 1 lost

  • WonWest Ham24 Oct 20263–2
  • WonNorwich14 Oct 20261–0
  • LostWrexham19 Sep 20261–2
  • DrawnLincoln5 Sep 20261–1
  • DrawnBirmingham1 Sep 20261–1

Southampton: away league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
18 scored, 11 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
8 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
6 of 10
Clean sheets
2 of 10

Rest and schedule

Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.

West Brom
Last match
3 days before31 Oct 2026 · v West Ham · Championship
Next match
4 days after7 Nov 2026 · v Millwall · Championship
Southampton
Last match
3 days before31 Oct 2026 · v QPR · Championship
Next match
4 days after7 Nov 2026 · v Preston · Championship

When the score changes

Each team's results from a given score, in its covered competitions since 7 Nov 2024. Every figure shows how many matches it covers.

West Brom

ScoreWest BromLeague sides
Scored first25 won, 13 drawn, 3 lost in 41 matches1131 won, 350 drawn, 219 lost in 1700 matches
Conceded first5 won, 8 drawn, 29 lost in 42 matches219 won, 350 drawn, 1131 lost in 1700 matches
1 goal up at half-time14 won, 6 drawn, 1 lost in 21 matches515 won, 165 drawn, 95 lost in 775 matches
Level at half-time9 won, 20 drawn, 12 lost in 41 matches465 won, 584 drawn, 465 lost in 1514 matches
1 goal up after 60 minutes17 won, 6 drawn, 0 lost in 23 matches545 won, 171 drawn, 67 lost in 783 matches
Level after 60 minutes6 won, 20 drawn, 8 lost in 34 matches343 won, 588 drawn, 343 lost in 1274 matches
Level after 70 minutes4 won, 22 drawn, 9 lost in 35 matches279 won, 636 drawn, 279 lost in 1194 matches
Level after 80 minutes3 won, 24 drawn, 8 lost in 35 matches175 won, 708 drawn, 175 lost in 1058 matches
Level after 15 minutes20 won, 24 drawn, 25 lost in 69 matches931 won, 746 drawn, 931 lost in 2608 matches
1 goal up after 30 minutes16 won, 6 drawn, 1 lost in 23 matches444 won, 147 drawn, 108 lost in 699 matches
Level after 30 minutes11 won, 21 drawn, 18 lost in 50 matches663 won, 638 drawn, 663 lost in 1964 matches

Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.

Goals after 75 minutes
ScoreWest BromLeague sides
All matches20 scored, 27 conceded (92)1056 scored, 1056 conceded (3654)
When leading after 75 minutes6 scored, 14 conceded (33)353 scored, 380 conceded (1276)
When level after 75 minutes3 scored, 7 conceded (31)323 scored, 323 conceded (1102)
When trailing after 75 minutes11 scored, 6 conceded (28)380 scored, 353 conceded (1276)

After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 42 times, equalised within 15 minutes 7, by full time 18(league sides: 1,916 times, within 15 minutes 327, by full time 846)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.

League sides: every team in this league since 4 Aug 2023, both venues, each match counted once for each side. Shown for context, not as a comparison.

xG and expected points

Each team's xG and points from its own earlier league matches, before this kick-off. Facts about past matches, not a forecast for this one.

Earlier league matches

West BromSouthampton
92Since 7 Nov 2024Matches with xG88Since 9 Nov 2024
117.21xG for122.60
110Goals scored129
99.66xG against141.43
111Goals conceded136

West Brom

xG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)Last matches with xG, oldest on the left
Show the numbers
West Brom: Last matches with xG, newest first
DateOpponentxG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)
31 Oct 2026at West Ham2.080.953–1
24 Oct 2026at Preston2.091.831–1
17 Oct 2026v Blackburn3.720.843–2
13 Oct 2026at Wrexham0.940.382–1
10 Oct 2026v Birmingham1.052.550–1
20 Sep 2026at Wolves0.291.950–1
12 Sep 2026v QPR1.220.621–1
9 Sep 2026at Derby0.381.271–0
5 Sep 2026v Watford1.141.261–0
2 Sep 2026v Charlton0.570.391–1

Southampton

xG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)Last matches with xG, oldest on the left
Show the numbers
Southampton: Last matches with xG, newest first
DateOpponentxG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)
31 Oct 2026v QPR1.250.784–1
24 Oct 2026at West Ham1.611.603–2
17 Oct 2026v Bolton1.911.240–0
14 Oct 2026at Norwich2.161.261–0
11 Oct 2026v Portsmouth1.281.181–0
19 Sep 2026at Wrexham2.080.541–2
12 Sep 2026v Bristol City1.712.244–1
8 Sep 2026v Swansea1.441.223–1
5 Sep 2026at Lincoln0.772.271–1
1 Sep 2026at Birmingham1.021.551–1

Southampton: 1 without xG left out

This league season

Championship matches since 14 Aug 2026. Play-off rounds count here as league matches.

West BromSouthampton
13 of 13Matches with xG13 of 13
24Points in those matches27
17.50xPts21.53
18.28xG for22.88
18.73xG against16.97

Each figure is a total over the matches shown beside it.

xG: API-Football. xPts: Ledger, from xG with a Poisson model that treats the two teams' goals as independent. That model slightly under-counts draws, so xPts totals come out a little high.

PRO depth

PRO depth: West Brom and Southampton

  • Corners won and concededPRO
  • Shots and shots on target, for and againstPRO
  • Yellow cards, own and opponent'sPRO
  • First-half goals, scored and concededPRO
PRO: these figures for both teams

Injuries and suspensions

  • West BromWest Brom
    Ruled out
    T. Collyer (Injury) · N. Galves (Knee Injury) · M. Johnston (Broken Leg)
  • SouthamptonSouthampton
    Doubtful
    C. Larin (Hamstring Injury)

Published 3 Nov 2026, 18:57 GMT · not changed since

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