West Ham v West Brom match analysis
This analysis was locked at kick-off on Sat 31 Oct 2026 and has not been changed since.
Pre-match analysis · as published
Written before kick-off
West Ham are favoured to win with a 64% chance, compared to 22% for a draw and West Brom to win. The hosts have won two of five recent matches but also drawn twice, while the visitors have dropped their last two games after an earlier run of wins. Expected goals favour West Ham at 2.06 to 0.92, a gap of 1.14 in their favour.
How the match could end · our estimate before kick-off
- 64%West Ham win
- 22%Draw
- 14%West Brom win
PRO analysis
The full analysis is part of PRO
PRO members can read the full analysis exactly as it was published: the evidence and the risks behind our estimate.
See PRO plansFree on every match: kick-off time, our estimate of each result, form, past meetings and whether we found a signal.
Form · newest first
West HamLast 5: 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 defeat
- lost2–3v Southampton
- won1–0at Swansea
- won6–0at Lincoln
- drew1–1v QPR
- drew2–2at Millwall
West BromLast 5: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 defeats
- drew1–1at Preston
- won3–2v Blackburn
- won2–1at Wrexham
- lost0–1v Birmingham
- lost0–1at Wolves
Head-to-head
Head-to-head data was not available for this match.
Past results
From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.
Trends
- West Ham won 22 of 35 matches in which they scored first, since 2 Nov 2024.
- West Brom won 24 of 41 matches in which they scored first, since 1 Nov 2024.
- Over 2.5 goals in 8 of West Ham's last 10 home league games.
Home and away
West HamWest Ham at home
Last 5: 2 won, 1 drawn, 2 lost
- LostSouthampton24 Oct 20262–3
- DrawnQPR9 Oct 20261–1
- LostFulhamLeague Cup15 Sep 20262–3
- WonWrexham11 Sep 20266–0
- WonDerby5 Sep 20263–0
West Ham: home league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 26 scored, 10 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 5 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 8 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 4 of 10
West BromWest Brom away
Last 5: 2 won, 1 drawn, 2 lost
- DrawnPreston24 Oct 20261–1
- WonWrexham13 Oct 20262–1
- LostWolves20 Sep 20260–1
- WonDerby9 Sep 20261–0
- LostMiddlesbrough29 Aug 20261–3
West Brom: away league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 11 scored, 9 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 5 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 4 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 4 of 10
Rest and schedule
Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.
West Ham- Last match
- 7 days before24 Oct 2026 · v Southampton · Championship
- Next match
- 4 days after4 Nov 2026 · v Cardiff · Championship
West Brom- Last match
- 7 days before24 Oct 2026 · v Preston · Championship
- Next match
- 3 days after3 Nov 2026 · v Southampton · Championship
When the score changes
Each team's results from a given score, in its covered competitions. Every figure shows how many matches it covers.
West Ham
Since 2 Nov 2024
| Score | West Ham | League sides |
|---|---|---|
| Scored first | 22 won, 8 drawn, 5 lost in 35 matches | 1122 won, 350 drawn, 218 lost in 1690 matches |
| Conceded first | 2 won, 10 drawn, 29 lost in 41 matches | 218 won, 350 drawn, 1122 lost in 1690 matches |
| Level at half-time | 8 won, 13 drawn, 7 lost in 28 matches | 463 won, 582 drawn, 463 lost in 1508 matches |
| Level after 60 minutes | 5 won, 10 drawn, 8 lost in 23 matches | 343 won, 586 drawn, 343 lost in 1272 matches |
| Level after 70 minutes | 5 won, 13 drawn, 7 lost in 25 matches | 278 won, 634 drawn, 278 lost in 1190 matches |
| Level after 80 minutes | 2 won, 14 drawn, 5 lost in 21 matches | 175 won, 706 drawn, 175 lost in 1056 matches |
| Level after 15 minutes | 17 won, 16 drawn, 17 lost in 50 matches | 928 won, 744 drawn, 928 lost in 2600 matches |
| Level after 30 minutes | 14 won, 14 drawn, 11 lost in 39 matches | 661 won, 636 drawn, 661 lost in 1958 matches |
| 1 goal down after 30 minutes | 2 won, 4 drawn, 16 lost in 22 matches | 108 won, 147 drawn, 439 lost in 694 matches |
Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.
| Score | West Ham | League sides |
|---|---|---|
| All matches | 28 scored, 29 conceded (79) | 1050 scored, 1050 conceded (3632) |
| When leading after 75 minutes | 12 scored, 10 conceded (27) | 350 scored, 377 conceded (1266) |
| When level after 75 minutes | 9 scored, 9 conceded (22) | 323 scored, 323 conceded (1100) |
| When trailing after 75 minutes | 7 scored, 10 conceded (30) | 377 scored, 350 conceded (1266) |
After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 43 times, equalised within 15 minutes 7, by full time 16(league sides: 1,903 times, within 15 minutes 325, by full time 842)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.
West Brom
Since 1 Nov 2024
| Score | West Brom | League sides |
|---|---|---|
| Scored first | 24 won, 14 drawn, 3 lost in 41 matches | 1122 won, 350 drawn, 218 lost in 1690 matches |
| Conceded first | 5 won, 8 drawn, 29 lost in 42 matches | 218 won, 350 drawn, 1122 lost in 1690 matches |
| 1 goal up at half-time | 14 won, 7 drawn, 1 lost in 22 matches | 512 won, 165 drawn, 95 lost in 772 matches |
| Level at half-time | 8 won, 20 drawn, 12 lost in 40 matches | 463 won, 582 drawn, 463 lost in 1508 matches |
| 1 goal up after 60 minutes | 16 won, 6 drawn, 0 lost in 22 matches | 544 won, 171 drawn, 65 lost in 780 matches |
| Level after 60 minutes | 6 won, 21 drawn, 8 lost in 35 matches | 343 won, 586 drawn, 343 lost in 1272 matches |
| Level after 70 minutes | 4 won, 23 drawn, 9 lost in 36 matches | 278 won, 634 drawn, 278 lost in 1190 matches |
| Level after 80 minutes | 3 won, 25 drawn, 8 lost in 36 matches | 175 won, 706 drawn, 175 lost in 1056 matches |
| Level after 15 minutes | 19 won, 25 drawn, 25 lost in 69 matches | 928 won, 744 drawn, 928 lost in 2600 matches |
| 1 goal up after 30 minutes | 16 won, 6 drawn, 1 lost in 23 matches | 439 won, 147 drawn, 108 lost in 694 matches |
| Level after 30 minutes | 10 won, 22 drawn, 18 lost in 50 matches | 661 won, 636 drawn, 661 lost in 1958 matches |
Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.
| Score | West Brom | League sides |
|---|---|---|
| All matches | 20 scored, 27 conceded (92) | 1050 scored, 1050 conceded (3632) |
| When leading after 75 minutes | 6 scored, 14 conceded (32) | 350 scored, 377 conceded (1266) |
| When level after 75 minutes | 3 scored, 7 conceded (32) | 323 scored, 323 conceded (1100) |
| When trailing after 75 minutes | 11 scored, 6 conceded (28) | 377 scored, 350 conceded (1266) |
After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 42 times, equalised within 15 minutes 7, by full time 18(league sides: 1,903 times, within 15 minutes 325, by full time 842)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.
League sides: every team in this league since 4 Aug 2023, both venues, each match counted once for each side. Shown for context, not as a comparison.
xG and expected points
Each team's xG and points from its own earlier league matches, before this kick-off. Facts about past matches, not a forecast for this one.
Earlier league matches
| West Ham | West Brom | |
|---|---|---|
| 79Since 2 Nov 2024 | Matches with xG | 92Since 1 Nov 2024 |
| 105.04 | xG for | 115.85 |
| 111 | Goals scored | 108 |
| 119.52 | xG against | 99.66 |
| 126 | Goals conceded | 111 |
West Ham
Show the numbers
| Date | Opponent | xG for | xG against | Goals (tick; no tick = 0) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct 2026 | v Southampton | 1.60 | 1.61 | 2–3 |
| 17 Oct 2026 | at Swansea | 1.21 | 1.08 | 1–0 |
| 14 Oct 2026 | at Lincoln | 3.23 | 0.39 | 6–0 |
| 9 Oct 2026 | v QPR | 1.44 | 1.27 | 1–1 |
| 19 Sep 2026 | at Millwall | 1.87 | 2.68 | 2–2 |
| 11 Sep 2026 | v Wrexham | 2.96 | 0.44 | 6–0 |
| 8 Sep 2026 | at Bolton | 2.22 | 1.56 | 3–2 |
| 5 Sep 2026 | v Derby | 3.79 | 0.11 | 3–0 |
| 1 Sep 2026 | v Wolves | 2.05 | 0.94 | 4–2 |
| 29 Aug 2026 | at Watford | 0.89 | 1.60 | 1–1 |
West Brom
Show the numbers
| Date | Opponent | xG for | xG against | Goals (tick; no tick = 0) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct 2026 | at Preston | 2.09 | 1.83 | 1–1 |
| 17 Oct 2026 | v Blackburn | 3.72 | 0.84 | 3–2 |
| 13 Oct 2026 | at Wrexham | 0.94 | 0.38 | 2–1 |
| 10 Oct 2026 | v Birmingham | 1.05 | 2.55 | 0–1 |
| 20 Sep 2026 | at Wolves | 0.29 | 1.95 | 0–1 |
| 12 Sep 2026 | v QPR | 1.22 | 0.62 | 1–1 |
| 9 Sep 2026 | at Derby | 0.38 | 1.27 | 1–0 |
| 5 Sep 2026 | v Watford | 1.14 | 1.26 | 1–0 |
| 2 Sep 2026 | v Charlton | 0.57 | 0.39 | 1–1 |
| 29 Aug 2026 | at Middlesbrough | 1.32 | 2.55 | 1–3 |
This league season
Championship matches since 14 Aug 2026. Play-off rounds count here as league matches.
| West Ham | West Brom | |
|---|---|---|
| 12 of 12 | Matches with xG | 12 of 12 |
| 22 | Points in those matches | 21 |
| 21.92 | xPts | 15.39 |
| 25.43 | xG for | 16.20 |
| 14.63 | xG against | 17.78 |
Each figure is a total over the matches shown beside it.
xG: API-Football. xPts: Ledger, from xG with a Poisson model that treats the two teams' goals as independent. That model slightly under-counts draws, so xPts totals come out a little high.
PRO depth
PRO depth: West Ham and West Brom
- Corners won and concededPRO
- Shots and shots on target, for and againstPRO
- Yellow cards, own and opponent'sPRO
- First-half goals, scored and concededPRO
Injuries and suspensions
- Ruled out
- K. Mavropanos (Knee Injury)
- Doubtful
- K. Lamadrid (Injury) · J. Veltman (Health problems)
- Ruled out
- T. Collyer (Injury) · N. Galves (Knee Injury) · M. Johnston (Broken Leg)
Published 31 Oct 2026, 13:58 GMT · not changed since
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