LEDGER
Sign inGo PRO
Championship
Wolves
1–1Finished
Portsmouth
Tue 20 Oct 2026 · 19:45 BSTMatchday 6 · Molineux Stadium, Wolverhampton

Wolves v Portsmouth match analysis

This analysis was locked at kick-off on Tue 20 Oct 2026 and has not been changed since.

Pre-match analysis · as published

How the match could end · our estimate before kick-off

  • 59%Wolves win
  • 24%Draw
  • 17%Portsmouth win

PRO analysis

The full analysis is part of PRO

PRO members can read the full analysis exactly as it was published: the evidence and the risks behind our estimate.

See PRO plans

Free on every match: kick-off time, our estimate of each result, form, past meetings and whether we found a signal.

Form · newest first

WolvesWolves

Last 5: 2 wins, no draws, 3 defeats

PortsmouthPortsmouth

Last 5: 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 defeat

Head-to-head

Head-to-head data was not available for this match.

Past results

From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.

Trends

  • Championship, since 4 Aug 2023: home sides leading by one goal after 70 minutes won 322 of 412.
  • Portsmouth won 28 of 41 matches in which they scored first, since 22 Oct 2024.
  • Both teams scored in 7 of Wolves's last 10 home league games.

Home and away

Wolves

Wolves at home

Last 5: 3 won, 1 drawn, 1 lost

  • LostBolton13 Oct 20261–3
  • WonWest Brom20 Sep 20261–0
  • WonStoke City29 Aug 20264–1
  • DrawnBlackburn14 Aug 20262–2
  • WonPort ValeLeague Cup7 Aug 20263–0

Wolves: home league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
16 scored, 12 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
7 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
5 of 10
Clean sheets
2 of 10
Portsmouth

Portsmouth away

Last 5: 2 won, 1 drawn, 2 lost

  • WonNorwich17 Oct 20261–0
  • LostSouthampton11 Oct 20260–1
  • DrawnCharlton12 Sep 20260–0
  • LostBristol City29 Aug 20261–2
  • WonLincoln22 Aug 20263–1

Portsmouth: away league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
12 scored, 17 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
6 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
5 of 10
Clean sheets
3 of 10

Rest and schedule

Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.

Wolves
Last match
4 days before16 Oct 2026 · v Burnley · Championship
Next match
4 days after24 Oct 2026 · v Watford · Championship
Portsmouth
Last match
3 days before17 Oct 2026 · v Norwich · Championship
Next match
4 days after24 Oct 2026 · v Millwall · Championship

When the score changes

Each team's results from a given score, in its covered competitions since 22 Oct 2024. Every figure shows how many matches it covers.

Portsmouth

ScorePortsmouthLeague sides
Scored first28 won, 9 drawn, 4 lost in 41 matches1115 won, 347 drawn, 215 lost in 1677 matches
Conceded first3 won, 8 drawn, 35 lost in 46 matches215 won, 347 drawn, 1115 lost in 1677 matches
1 goal up at half-time14 won, 4 drawn, 2 lost in 20 matches508 won, 164 drawn, 95 lost in 767 matches
Level at half-time9 won, 13 drawn, 11 lost in 33 matches460 won, 576 drawn, 460 lost in 1496 matches
1 goal down at half-time2 won, 5 drawn, 15 lost in 22 matches95 won, 164 drawn, 508 lost in 767 matches
Level after 60 minutes7 won, 17 drawn, 12 lost in 36 matches342 won, 580 drawn, 342 lost in 1264 matches
Level after 70 minutes4 won, 17 drawn, 9 lost in 30 matches277 won, 630 drawn, 277 lost in 1184 matches
Level after 80 minutes3 won, 20 drawn, 5 lost in 28 matches174 won, 702 drawn, 174 lost in 1050 matches
Level after 15 minutes27 won, 16 drawn, 24 lost in 67 matches923 won, 736 drawn, 923 lost in 2582 matches
Level after 30 minutes19 won, 13 drawn, 17 lost in 49 matches656 won, 628 drawn, 656 lost in 1940 matches
1 goal down after 30 minutes1 won, 5 drawn, 15 lost in 21 matches107 won, 147 drawn, 436 lost in 690 matches

Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.

Goals after 75 minutes
ScorePortsmouthLeague sides
All matches24 scored, 21 conceded (92)1040 scored, 1040 conceded (3604)
When leading after 75 minutes6 scored, 3 conceded (28)346 scored, 374 conceded (1255)
When level after 75 minutes7 scored, 10 conceded (28)320 scored, 320 conceded (1094)
When trailing after 75 minutes11 scored, 8 conceded (36)374 scored, 346 conceded (1255)

After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 48 times, equalised within 15 minutes 6, by full time 17(league sides: 1,889 times, within 15 minutes 323, by full time 837)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.

League sides: every team in this league since 4 Aug 2023, both venues, each match counted once for each side. Shown for context, not as a comparison.

xG and expected points

Each team's xG and points from its own earlier league matches, before this kick-off. Facts about past matches, not a forecast for this one.

Earlier league matches

WolvesPortsmouth
78Since 26 Oct 2024Matches with xG92Since 22 Oct 2024
90.49xG for110.08
89Goals scored109
111.87xG against116.89
129Goals conceded127

Wolves

xG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)Last matches with xG, oldest on the left
Show the numbers
Wolves: Last matches with xG, newest first
DateOpponentxG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)
16 Oct 2026at Burnley2.021.072–1
13 Oct 2026v Bolton2.231.621–3
10 Oct 2026at Middlesbrough0.680.900–1
20 Sep 2026v West Brom1.950.291–0
13 Sep 2026at Sheffield Utd1.570.631–0
6 Sep 2026at Birmingham2.471.392–2
1 Sep 2026at West Ham0.942.052–4
29 Aug 2026v Stoke City2.660.834–1
22 Aug 2026at Preston1.540.663–1
14 Aug 2026v Blackburn2.040.822–2

Portsmouth

xG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)Last matches with xG, oldest on the left
Show the numbers
Portsmouth: Last matches with xG, newest first
DateOpponentxG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)
17 Oct 2026at Norwich1.250.371–0
14 Oct 2026v Sheffield Utd2.011.803–2
11 Oct 2026at Southampton1.181.280–1
19 Sep 2026v Blackburn1.600.592–2
12 Sep 2026at Charlton0.400.820–0
5 Sep 2026v Cardiff2.071.372–0
1 Sep 2026v Derby0.840.550–2
29 Aug 2026at Bristol City1.370.611–2
22 Aug 2026at Lincoln1.212.323–1
15 Aug 2026v QPR2.172.071–3

This league season

Championship matches since 14 Aug 2026. Play-off rounds count here as league matches.

WolvesPortsmouth
10 of 10Matches with xG10 of 10
17Points in those matches14
18.78xPts15.44
18.10xG for14.10
10.26xG against11.78

Each figure is a total over the matches shown beside it.

xG: API-Football. xPts: Ledger, from xG with a Poisson model that treats the two teams' goals as independent. That model slightly under-counts draws, so xPts totals come out a little high.

PRO depth

PRO depth: Wolves and Portsmouth

  • Corners won and concededPRO
  • Shots and shots on target, for and againstPRO
  • Yellow cards, own and opponent'sPRO
  • First-half goals, scored and concededPRO
PRO: these figures for both teams

Injuries and suspensions

  • WolvesWolves
    Ruled out
    A. Armstrong (Back Injury) · R. Gomes (Foot Injury) · R. Jimenez (Knee Injury) · B. Traore (Injury)
  • PortsmouthPortsmouth
    Ruled out
    B. Arthur (Back Injury) · L. Brooke-Smith (Ankle Injury) · M. Kosznovszky (Knee Injury) · J. Murphy (Groin Injury) · C. Ogilvie (Knee Injury) · F. Umeh (Hamstring Injury) · T. Waddingham (Ankle Injury)
    Doubtful
    K. Anderson (Overload) · C. Shaughnessy (Injury)

Published 20 Oct 2026, 18:42 BST · not changed since

All fixtures