Wrexham v Wolves · analysis and preview
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Most likely: Wolves win
Wolves hold a 39% chance of victory according to the model, ahead of Wrexham's 33% and a 28% draw probability. Expected goals total 2.63 with Wolves favoured by a gap of 0.13. Wolves arrive in strong form with four wins in five, while Wrexham have won just once in their last five matches.
How the match could end · our estimate
- 33%Wrexham win
- 28%Draw
- 39%Wolves win
PRO analysis
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Form · newest first
WrexhamLast 5: 2 wins, no draws, 3 defeats
- won2–0v Middlesbrough
- lost0–1at Sheffield Utd
- lost0–2at Blackburn
- won4–1v Preston
- lost1–2v West Brom
WolvesLast 5: 4 wins, 1 draw, no defeats
- won2–1at Bristol City
- won3–0v Cardiff
- won1–0v Watford
- drew1–1v Portsmouth
- won2–1at Burnley
Head-to-head
Head-to-head data isn’t available yet.
Past results
From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.
Trends
- Wrexham won 18 of 30 matches in which they scored first, since 9 Aug 2025.
- Championship, since 4 Aug 2023: home sides leading by one goal after 70 minutes won 329 of 423.
- Over 2.5 goals in 7 of Wolves's last 10 away league games.
- Both teams scored in 8 of Wrexham's last 10 home league games.
Home and away
WrexhamWrexham at home
Last 5: 3 won, 1 drawn, 1 lost
- WonMiddlesbrough4 Nov 20262–0
- WonPreston17 Oct 20264–1
- LostWest Brom13 Oct 20261–2
- WonSouthampton19 Sep 20262–1
- DrawnBurnley8 Sep 20261–1
Wrexham: home league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 17 scored, 15 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 8 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 6 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 10
WolvesWolves away
Last 5: 3 won, 0 drawn, 2 lost
- WonBristol City4 Nov 20262–1
- WonBurnley16 Oct 20262–1
- LostMiddlesbrough10 Oct 20260–1
- LostEvertonLeague Cup16 Sep 20260–1
- WonSheffield Utd13 Sep 20261–0
Wolves: away league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 13 scored, 17 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 6 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 7 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 10
Rest and schedule
Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.
Wrexham- Last match
- 3 days before4 Nov 2026 · v Middlesbrough · Championship
- Next match
- Not known
Wolves- Last match
- 3 days before4 Nov 2026 · v Bristol City · Championship
- Next match
- Not known
When the score changes
Each team's results from a given score, in its covered competitions since 9 Aug 2025. Every figure shows how many matches it covers.
Wrexham
| Score | Wrexham | League sides |
|---|---|---|
| Scored first | 18 won, 9 drawn, 3 lost in 30 matches | 1138 won, 353 drawn, 221 lost in 1712 matches |
| Conceded first | 5 won, 7 drawn, 15 lost in 27 matches | 221 won, 353 drawn, 1138 lost in 1712 matches |
| Level at half-time | 7 won, 7 drawn, 6 lost in 20 matches | 467 won, 584 drawn, 467 lost in 1518 matches |
| Level after 60 minutes | 7 won, 9 drawn, 4 lost in 20 matches | 344 won, 590 drawn, 344 lost in 1278 matches |
| 1 goal up after 70 minutes | 12 won, 6 drawn, 2 lost in 20 matches | 576 won, 153 drawn, 47 lost in 776 matches |
| 1 goal up after 80 minutes | 14 won, 5 drawn, 1 lost in 20 matches | 654 won, 121 drawn, 19 lost in 794 matches |
| Level after 15 minutes | 18 won, 10 drawn, 13 lost in 41 matches | 937 won, 750 drawn, 937 lost in 2624 matches |
| Level after 30 minutes | 12 won, 10 drawn, 9 lost in 31 matches | 669 won, 640 drawn, 669 lost in 1978 matches |
Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.
| Score | Wrexham | League sides |
|---|---|---|
| All matches | 20 scored, 25 conceded (60) | 1065 scored, 1065 conceded (3678) |
| When leading after 75 minutes | 6 scored, 12 conceded (25) | 356 scored, 386 conceded (1286) |
After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 33 times, equalised within 15 minutes 6, by full time 19(league sides: 1,929 times, within 15 minutes 327, by full time 852)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.
League sides: every team in this league since 4 Aug 2023, both venues, each match counted once for each side. Shown for context, not as a comparison.
xG and expected points
Each team's xG and points from its own earlier league matches, before this kick-off. Facts about past matches, not a forecast for this one.
Earlier league matches
| Wrexham | Wolves | |
|---|---|---|
| 60Since 9 Aug 2025 | Matches with xG | 80Since 9 Nov 2024 |
| 71.41 | xG for | 94.46 |
| 86 | Goals scored | 92 |
| 78.49 | xG against | 110.97 |
| 84 | Goals conceded | 127 |
Wrexham
Show the numbers
| Date | Opponent | xG for | xG against | Goals (tick; no tick = 0) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Nov 2026 | v Middlesbrough | 1.51 | 0.95 | 2–0 |
| 30 Oct 2026 | at Sheffield Utd | 0.70 | 1.33 | 0–1 |
| 24 Oct 2026 | at Blackburn | 1.74 | 1.61 | 0–2 |
| 17 Oct 2026 | v Preston | 1.97 | 0.79 | 4–1 |
| 13 Oct 2026 | v West Brom | 0.38 | 0.94 | 1–2 |
| 10 Oct 2026 | at Derby | 1.46 | 0.60 | 1–1 |
| 19 Sep 2026 | v Southampton | 0.54 | 2.08 | 2–1 |
| 11 Sep 2026 | at West Ham | 0.44 | 2.96 | 0–6 |
| 8 Sep 2026 | v Burnley | 1.28 | 1.50 | 1–1 |
| 5 Sep 2026 | at Swansea | 0.67 | 0.74 | 0–0 |
Wolves
Show the numbers
| Date | Opponent | xG for | xG against | Goals (tick; no tick = 0) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Nov 2026 | at Bristol City | 2.37 | 1.03 | 2–1 |
| 31 Oct 2026 | v Cardiff | 1.66 | 0.96 | 3–0 |
| 24 Oct 2026 | v Watford | 1.88 | 0.15 | 1–0 |
| 20 Oct 2026 | v Portsmouth | 0.95 | 0.78 | 1–1 |
| 16 Oct 2026 | at Burnley | 2.02 | 1.07 | 2–1 |
| 13 Oct 2026 | v Bolton | 2.23 | 1.62 | 1–3 |
| 10 Oct 2026 | at Middlesbrough | 0.68 | 0.90 | 0–1 |
| 20 Sep 2026 | v West Brom | 1.95 | 0.29 | 1–0 |
| 13 Sep 2026 | at Sheffield Utd | 1.57 | 0.63 | 1–0 |
| 6 Sep 2026 | at Birmingham | 2.47 | 1.39 | 2–2 |
This league season
Championship matches since 14 Aug 2026. Play-off rounds count here as league matches.
| Wrexham | Wolves | |
|---|---|---|
| 14 of 14 | Matches with xG | 14 of 14 |
| 17 | Points in those matches | 27 |
| 19.34 | xPts | 26.89 |
| 16.34 | xG for | 24.96 |
| 16.90 | xG against | 13.18 |
Each figure is a total over the matches shown beside it.
xG: API-Football. xPts: Ledger, from xG with a Poisson model that treats the two teams' goals as independent. That model slightly under-counts draws, so xPts totals come out a little high.
PRO depth
PRO depth: Wrexham and Wolves
- Corners won and concededPRO
- Shots and shots on target, for and againstPRO
- Yellow cards, own and opponent'sPRO
- First-half goals, scored and concededPRO
Injuries and suspensions
Team news not available yet.
Updated 6 Nov 2026, 21:33 GMT
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