Derby match analysis
Derby play Championship football. Here are their upcoming matches with our estimate of each result, their recent form and past analyses. Estimates are free; when a match is marked “Signal found”, the full analysis of that signal is part of PRO.
Championship
23rd of 24 in Championship · 7 points from 14 games View table
Table as of 6 Nov 2026, 05:02 GMT · Source: API-Football
Updated 6 Nov 2026, 18:57 GMT · times in UK time
Next matches
Each percentage is our estimate of how likely that result is.
BoltonForm · newest first
Last 5 matches: 0 wins, 1 draw, 4 defeats · 3 scored, 14 conceded.
Recently analysed
Each analysis is kept exactly as it was published before kick-off.
Derby v NorwichChampionship0–4Tue 3 Nov 2026Analysis as published
Derby v Stoke CityChampionship0–1Sat 17 Oct 2026Analysis as published
Derby v WrexhamChampionship1–1Sat 10 Oct 2026Analysis as published
This season
Championship games since 14 Aug 2026, 90-minute score. Each figure shows how many games it covers.
- All games
- 14 games: 1 won, 4 drawn, 9 lost · 11 scored, 29 conceded
- Home
- 7 games: 0 won, 2 drawn, 5 lost · 4 scored, 14 conceded
- Away
- 7 games: 1 won, 2 drawn, 4 lost · 7 scored, 15 conceded
Scoring
- Goals
- 11 scored, 29 conceded in 14
- Both teams scored
- 8 of 14
- Over 2.5 goals
- 8 of 14
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 14
Results
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov 2026 | Norwich | Home | 0–4 | Lost |
| 31 Oct 2026 | Millwall | Away | 1–4 | Lost |
| 24 Oct 2026 | Sheffield Utd | Away | 1–1 | Drawn |
| 17 Oct 2026 | Stoke City | Home | 0–1 | Lost |
| 14 Oct 2026 | QPR | Away | 1–4 | Lost |
| 10 Oct 2026 | Wrexham | Home | 1–1 | Drawn |
| 19 Sep 2026 | Burnley | Away | 1–1 | Drawn |
| 12 Sep 2026 | Birmingham | Home | 1–2 | Lost |
| 9 Sep 2026 | West Brom | Home | 0–1 | Lost |
| 5 Sep 2026 | West Ham | Away | 0–3 | Lost |
| 1 Sep 2026 | Portsmouth | Away | 2–0 | Won |
| 29 Aug 2026 | Swansea | Home | 0–3 | Lost |
| 22 Aug 2026 | Cardiff | Home | 2–2 | Drawn |
| 15 Aug 2026 | Charlton | Away | 1–2 | Lost |
xG and expected points
Since 9 Nov 2024
92 league matches with xG
- xG for
- 102.93
- Goals scored
- 108
- xG against
- 116.36
- Goals conceded
- 126
Show the numbers
| Date | Opponent | xG for | xG against | Goals (tick; no tick = 0) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov 2026 | v Norwich | 0.73 | 2.41 | 0–4 |
| 31 Oct 2026 | at Millwall | 1.27 | 3.76 | 1–4 |
| 24 Oct 2026 | at Sheffield Utd | 1.15 | 2.55 | 1–1 |
| 17 Oct 2026 | v Stoke City | 1.07 | 0.62 | 0–1 |
| 14 Oct 2026 | at QPR | 1.02 | 2.05 | 1–4 |
| 10 Oct 2026 | v Wrexham | 0.60 | 1.46 | 1–1 |
| 19 Sep 2026 | at Burnley | 1.75 | 0.45 | 1–1 |
| 12 Sep 2026 | v Birmingham | 1.11 | 3.17 | 1–2 |
| 9 Sep 2026 | v West Brom | 1.27 | 0.38 | 0–1 |
| 5 Sep 2026 | at West Ham | 0.11 | 3.79 | 0–3 |
This league season
Championship matches since 14 Aug 2026. Play-off rounds count here as league matches.
14 of 14 matches with xG
- Points in those matches
- 7
- xPts
- 13.31
- xG for
- 13.95
- xG against
- 27.43
Each figure is a total over the matches shown beside it.
xG: API-Football. xPts: Ledger, from xG with a Poisson model that treats the two teams' goals as independent. That model slightly under-counts draws, so xPts totals come out a little high.